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Pittsburgh at Arizona (02/01/2009)

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Posted: #251
well gota say i am a homer...but i will take the steelers -6.5 (hook)
 
Az does have an awesome offense and their defense has been playing great but i see pittsburgh by 10.
 
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Posted: #252
  Most people are on AZ somehow they missed the boat betting on the Giants last year, so they think not this year. AZ is from the weakest div. They have already lost a game by 40 points. Las Vegas lost a mint on last years SB, it won't happen again, so they make AZ look good +7.0. Steelers win this by 10+. Don't think that AZ's defense is better than the Ravens, Steelers have played better teams and it will show Sunday. AZ will make it a game for a quarter and a half before being smoked.
Good teams win games, Great teams cover the spread!
 
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Posted: #253
Quote Originally Posted by rinconen:

Three player props that I love:
 
E James Over 40 1/2 rushing yards:Big Ben has a big come from behind performance, I don't see him or any Pitt offensive player being an MVP. And, as good as Kurt might be, Fitzgerald makes those big plays. Both guys are human highlight reels.
 
 
this is why vegas makes so much money. pitt gives up only 44 yards rushing a game and zona uses james, hightower and arrington.Big Ben will be MVP he last superbowl he was the young guy on the team. kurt warner will fumble. warner wears the glove because the grip makes up for hand strength which he no longer has, if the steelers do what so many other teams have done to zona they will drop back harrison in coverage and let the pass rush swat at warner.
 
this game will be pitt beating the crap out of zona, zona is not prepared for this kind of physical play.zona gives up too many big plays. pitt defensive backs wont trip over their own feet like the eagles did.
 
 
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Posted: #254
[Quote: Originally Posted by T-One] Pittsburgh 49
Arizona 17

thats about the closest pick ive seen...does everyone forget the arizona team that got blitzed at the end of the year???  pats  viks  eagles  nyg   they got blasted by all of them covered against none, and everygame went over...atl wasnt that good, ari played there best game against carolina, and philly played like shit...i picked pitt to win the super bowl at the beginning of the year and they r going to...this game will be something similar to pitts game against san diego...i think is a lil high, but 31-38 for pitt to around 14-20 for ari
  
TAKE PITT AND THE OVER TO THE BANK...THE CARDINALS R NOT THE GIANTS!!!!!!!!

 
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Posted: #255
Hightower + Fitzgerald + Boldin = 3 TD
Arizona 27 - Pittsburg 19
 
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Posted: #256
I'll be in Las Vegas February 6th if anyones going to be there.... ?  Staying at the Golden Nugget.  Sharp 
 
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Posted: #257
I wish Sharp but work has been keeping me busy here.Have fun and hope you do well on the Super Bowl!
 
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Posted: #258
Quote Originally Posted by shygorilla808:

8 - 0 since the Florida/Oklahoma game. 

My early lean is to stay away from the Superbowl.  Unless you're chasing, this might not be a good play except maybe the OVER.  Arizona getting an early +7?!  Come on how many times is Las Vegas gonna Underdog them?  This is gonna turn into a trap as the line goes down to something like +3.5.  This is already starting to look fishy.

what a complete idiot... MORON

 
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Posted: #259
When Arizona has the ball.....I don't really see them even trying to run.  I think that Pitt can stop their run out of a base pass defense.  That means we will see a lot of short, quick passes.  Don't be suprised if Arizona plays predominately with only one back.  Warner is a vet that is great against the blitz and this o-line is good.  Their receivers are a mismatch against any team.  If Ashanti Samuels couldnt slow down Fitzgerald, what makes people think that Ike Taylor will. Pitt won't let him beat them like other teams, but believe when they are going one on one Taylor will be exploited. 
 
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Posted: #260
When Arizona has the ball.....I don't really see them even trying to run.  I think that Pitt can stop their run out of a base pass defense.  That means we will see a lot of short, quick passes.  Don't be suprised if Arizona plays predominately with only one back.  Warner is a vet that is great against the blitz and this o-line is good.  Their receivers are a mismatch against any team.  If Ashanti Samuels couldnt slow down Fitzgerald, what makes people think that Ike Taylor will. Pitt won't let him beat them like other teams, but believe when they are going one on one Taylor will be exploited. 
 
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Posted: #261
When Arizona has the ball.....I don't really see them even trying to run.  I think that Pitt can stop their run out of a base pass defense.  That means we will see a lot of short, quick passes.  Don't be suprised if Arizona plays predominately with only one back.  Warner is a vet that is great against the blitz and this o-line is good.  Their receivers are a mismatch against any team.  If Ashanti Samuels couldnt slow down Fitzgerald, what makes people think that Ike Taylor will. Pitt won't let him beat them like other teams, but believe when they are going one on one Taylor will be exploited. 
 
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Posted: #262
THIS WILL BE A CLOSE GAME. IF PHILIP RIVERS CAN THROW TDS VS PITT, KURT WARNER CAN DO THE SAME.
WILLIE PARKER IS A BUST THIS YEAR AND YOU GUYS KNOW IT. THE ARIZONA DEFENSE PLAYED AWFUL IN THE REGULAR SEASON BUT LIKE THE NY GIANTS OF LAST YEAR, THE ARIZONA DEFENSE IS ABOVE AVERAGE IN THE PLAYOFFS.
 
FINAL PITT  24 - ARIZ 23 OR VICE VERSA
 
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Posted: #263

BTW , ITS NOT LIKE KURT WARNER CANT PICK UP THE BLITZ.

 
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Posted: #264
When Pittsburgh has the ball......I don't think we will see alot of fancy stuff.  A balanced attack with a 50-50 split between the run and pass.  Penderast will call a game with lots of diferent formations and lots of exotic blits to try and confuse Rothlisberger.  Pitts offense will lean heavily on its backs and TEs.  The receiver that will cause Arizona the most problems is Heath Miller.  Arizona struggles to cover tight ends and backs in passing routes.  Ben will take his shots but they will all have to be well timed. 
 
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Posted: #265
Pittsburg ML
 
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Posted: #266
 
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Posted: #267
Intangibles....
 
1. Coaching - HUGE, HUGE, HUGE, advantage for Arizona.  Whisenhunt and Grime both coached for the Steelers.  Please don't make the comparison to the Oak TB SB.  Oak didnt change their playbook or audibles and as a result TB def was calling out their plays at the line of scrimmage.  Pitts playbook is now different, however Arizona coaches have the edge because they had to spend less time preparing for the them and know many of their opponents tendencies.  History speaks for itself. 
 
2. Pyschology - One team expected to be here and win the other wasn't even supposed to make the playoffs.  One qb was horrendous in his lone SB appearance and wants to redeem himself.  The othere is 1-1 in SB's and has the 1 and 2 highest passing games in SB history.  Again I give the edge to the Cards.  
 
I really liked the "us against the world" that Arizona has going for them, but ive started to cool on this.  Most thought that they would loose every round of the playoffs including this game.  Feeding into it Pitt fans are going to be there in bunches.  What has me nervous is way are all of these so called "experts," the sportswriters and commentators, jumping on the Cardinals bandwagon?  Alot of the times I think that they call these upsets just to try to make themselves look smarter than they really are and I hate it.  Its giving Pitt that little extra motivation. 
 
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Posted: #268
anybody else sick of looking at this dude with the speedos??
 
change your damn avitar!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #269
Lang took AZ+7 (buy the hook).  I'm one who usually fades him but it's tough to go against him in the Super Bowl (16-0-2 allegedly).  My early lean was on Pitt but this stat alone has swung my hard earned coin to the Cards. Also love the Under.   BOL to everyone.
 
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Posted: #270
Alot of super bowls tend to be lopsided in scoring ;ide take the better defense of team here ;and look for pitt to close the door on warners nutz-pitt 20 nothing by half time -final 33-14
 
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Posted: #271

Quote Originally Posted by CollegeSharp:

I'll be in Las Vegas February 6th if anyones going to be there.... ?  Staying at the Golden Nugget.  Sharp 

I will be there March 25-28th but would love to meet you if we can connect another time. 

By the way, I have not posted any rationale for this pick but am going with Pitt -6 (bought a point) and leaning toward the under.  Better defense, rested and when is the last time someone talked about the best offense winning a Super Bowl.  Arizona has surprised me I must admit, but I also had them against Atlanta.  I was on the wrong side against Carolina.  That might have been my worse pick of the year as that game was over just after it started.

I had Pitt against Baltimore and San Diego and believe they will close the deal here.  They have played a much tougher schedule AND still have a significantly better record.

Before the playoffs begas, Arizona only one ONE game against a playoff team....Miami very early in the year.

All the best to everyone here and some of us will be happy late Sunday night.  I will be in Tampa but not sure if I will pay to see this game live.

 
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Posted: #272
Can someone tell me which online betting website is the best and most reliable???????? Thanks!!!!!
 
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Posted: #273
Ok it has been noted that the cards Offense struggled w/ the Pats 3-4 defense (which is what Pitt runs).  Did anyone else run that D at Az. this season??
 
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Posted: #274
Quote Originally Posted by cnard711:

Lang took AZ+7 (buy the hook).  I'm one who usually fades him but it's tough to go against him in the Super Bowl (16-0-2 allegedly).  My early lean was on Pitt but this stat alone has swung my hard earned coin to the Cards. Also love the Under.   BOL to everyone.

ever wonder why lang is back in the sports betting game, i think after that movie about him he is the perfect guy to sway betters. and these guys all claim great stats. anytime you see 16-0-2 even for a trend it loses. remember this is the same guy who picked his way out of the business. if it wasnt for "two for the money" this guy would be gone. if you have to listen to others to bet, then flip a coin. when lang was at his best he watched the games and figured out the game plans, if you do that you wont win them all but at least you'll be able to live with your pick. no worse feeling than not trusting yourself and end up saying why did i listen to that.

pitt and the over

all week long people went from saying the cards can cover to the cards will win. lebeau will have his defense ready and warner will fumble, he wears the gloves to help with grip but he lost his grip when his hand strength was no longer there. in several games this year a 3 man rush made warner fumble by swatting at his hand. the glove helps him throw but not hold onto the ball. when big ben had a hurt hand the lack of strength hurt his game. look for harrison to drop back and take away the short pass and for guys like woodley to cause fumbles.

 
 
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Posted: #275
Quote Originally Posted by Irisheyez:

This game is a joke.......after all the crunching......after all the reading of these threads.......I can't believe that so many are on the Cards.........if they needed a missed field goal and a flee flicker and Donavan missing wide open guys for the whole first half and a Philly defensive collapse in the late 4th to get a comback win at home after leading by 18 at the half with EVERTHING going thier way in the first half to win.........how are they going to deal with one of the iconic franchises in football that are on a roll!!!........The great SF teams.........the Great Packer teams........the great NE teams........and now the  Steelers.........going up against the Cubs of the NFL...........Please........pound the Steelers and the total sacks over 5......along with fist TD scored by a # under 38!!!   Other props I like are tails(LOL) and no score first 6 minutes, Pitt over 27 and Zona under 21.   Longest TD Pitt.......1st sack Pitt........Shortest TD over 1 1/2 yards..........longest FG over 44 1/2 yds...........Zona total first downs under 17 1/2.........total punts over 5.........Pitt scores first..........shortest FG Pitt.........GL everyone!!!!!!  We'll see you next year!!!! 

To the old friends.......your the greatest......to the new friends.....thanks for sharing thoughts and insight with me and I hope to see you all next fall!!!..........stop by and say hi on my page every once in a while as I fill the void playing a little Bball and MLB.........Peace!!!!!!!!!!!!!

this is by far the best post I have seen in my two years on this site.... well done lol

I am very happy to be on your side... good luck

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