San Diego at Denver (10/23/2014)

Morgan, I must say, I have read quite a few of your posts in different threads recently, and can't help but think you are a very contradictory kat and are always looking for some type of (phantom) angle or "info", as you call it, instead of simply handicapping a game for what it is. Then you literally get fired up cuz one or 2 ppl disagree with you and use a cpl of adult slang words within the body of their response. You then usually-ironically-fire back with your own childish banter. Hard to take you seriously man, of course, all it takes is to read a cpl of your posts and one finds it easy to not try.

 As far as this game goes, there is no "look-ahead" to the Pats, and if you truly think Manning, Fox, or any other player on the Broncos are gonna over look their division rivals, then you are the one who needs to go back to sports wagering 101. Do you honestly think Manning, or anyone on the team for that matter, lost any sleep tonight wondering what Brady n Belichek have in store for them?...in Foxboro...a week and  a half from now?...with an arch rival, lead by Rivers for thr chance to supplant their odds of division title even further?? If yes is your answer to any of those, you are doomed from the start. Look aheads, as they are referred to, are VERY rarely a useful "tool" in handicapping, and should not be flippantly used as a pre-requisite evry time there is a follow up game w a big time team the following week...leave that sh*t to the "fans" that you so adamantly say you are not and ESPN that drives that bus.  PS--where was this "look ahead" anomaly last week against the 9ers on Sunday Night?? I mean come on, they had the division foe Chargers on deck 4 days later!!...and now here we are w Manning and co. all rested up after sitting and watching the whole 4th quarter, while a tired and banged up Chargers squad is going into Mile High after a HUGE loss against the Chiefs in their own house.

This is NOT the same team that faced the Seahawks, they are missing their BEST defensive player in Flowers against the most prolific passing game and set of receiver s in NFL today. Oliver, albeit decent, was an undrafted FA for a reason, he may seem like a diamond in the rough now, but I am betting he gets brought back to reality against a Denver run D that is top 10 against the run this year. The Seahawks are a shell of themselves on D this year, away from the confines of their raucous home crowd, and the effing RAMS beat them...let that sink in for a moment...the RAMS!! Here is your cookie for that win!

The Broncos are a complete team from top to bottom, and I am convinced they could beat ANY team in the NFL, anywhere if the SB were to be played right now...we shall see if all can stay healthy come that time tho. Ware and Von Miller are locked in, the Broncos Oline is healthy and playing better than ever, and they have FAR too many weapons and a hurry up offense for the Chargers to handle tonight...hands will be caressing hips early on for Chargers D.

With all that said I will obviously be on the Broncos every which way possible...1st q, 1st half, game, alternate lines of -14.5 and even -17.5 for some fun money...probably over as well, definitely Denver TT over...thinking Broncos 38-24 sounds about right, and that'll only be cuz Chargers will score a garbage TD in last minute or so....BOLTA.

Denver is playing more steadier than San Diego.

Denver by at least 14 points.

Look at it this way:

Play the Chargers +9.5 and the Over 51 (as it stands now).  Parlay it, two single bets, an AR, whatever you like.

Essentially you are betting on the Chargers to score a minimum of 21 points.  SD gets 21 or more and you're guaranteed either the over or a Chargers cover, and a solid shot at both.

When you apply tonight's line and total to the last ten games between these two teams, you get a result of 13-6-1.

NOT ONCE in the last ten matchups has it been Denver winning by 10 or more and less than 51 total points scored.

GL to all

Case in point...another stupid, childish post from 20 something Morgan who calls everyone else "kid"...laughable.

Well...I didn't say it was a perfect strategy or easy lock but I'll play an angle if I think it provides an edge. 

Trying to contribute something other than "Denver Large!!!" or a random score prediction without any reasoning behind it.

Best of luck to you too Rauchy76

I hear ya omb1...not knocking the logic, just the parlays, RR's, etc part...but I absolutely see where your thought process is and tend to agree fully, just think we all may see a change in the close game tween Chargers/Broncos trend tonight. I simply believe THIS will actually be the staple game that the Broncos will want more thn any other prior this season. That D has looked better and better each passing week, while the Chargers D is going in the oppo direction w injuries and lack of TO's forced as of late and that is the idea I am riding. I wouldn't be shocked at all to see Denver keep Rivers n co. to 20 points...not one bit...unlikely?...maybe...but they are an undrafted FA 3rd stringer RB injury or sub par night away from not being able to keep Denvers D honest whatsoever, and one simply cannot cover even a 2 score spread being that one dimensional, if the worst does happen...BOL to ya tho.

PS- love the avatar...the world was a funnier and much better place back when we had the likes of Rodney, Robin Williams, Richard Pryor, and George Carlin making us all laugh our a$$es off.