Phil Mickelson ov Justin Thomas
We make fun of Phil a lot, but I can’t ignore his last 2 finishes 5th, and 2nd. Not to mention, this course sets up really good for his game. Fairways are tough to hit, so he’s used to not being able to hit fairways, and scrambling around the greens is super important here, and that’s Phils specialty. He’s got a couple of wins here, no missed cuts, and as good as Justin Thomas was to finish the year, he just hasn’t popped yet. No top 10 finishes in 2018, he’s been good not great, and he doesn’t seem to play great here. His three finishes here are 39th, 54th and 41st. I also think Phils got just a little added motivation with Tiger being in the field this week.
James Hahn ov Adam Scott
Adam Scott has been an atrocity on the golf course recently. Missed cut and was terrible last week, doesn’t have a round under 70 since August. His putting has really been the reason, he’s outside the top 200 in many categories. We talked about him when he just had a baby, now he’s on the cover of a magazine as being the most fashionable guy on tour. Great, he’s more worried about how he dresses, and not how he putts. James Haha has been decent…played in 5 straight tournaments, made the cut in all of them, three top 30 finishes in those, and he’s won this tournament before, and 28th here last year. This line opened at James Hahn +110. It’s now Hahn +135.
Adam Hadwin ov Shane Lowry
Bet against Shane Lowry last week and cashed a winner…Shane Lowry just isn’t sharp so far. Missed cut, 65th and then 43rd in 2018, and he’s only played this tournament once. It was last year and he WD. Hadwin has played here three times, and did pretty good. 33th, 22nd and 16th. So he’s got better tournament history than Lowry, and he’s finished better in both tournaments they’ve played in together this year.
Martin Kaymer ov Ryan Moore
Ryan Moore was awful at the Waste Management a couple weeks ago in his only 2018 tournament, and although he’s played here a lot, he missed the cut here last year. This year is shaping up like a mirror image of last year. Last year he finished 61st at the Waste Management. This year he missed the cut. In the 2016 reach around season last year, he made 3 straight cuts, and had 2 top 20 finishes. Exact same thing happened this year. Three made cuts, 2 top 20 finishes. Last year he missed the cut here…I’m expecting something similar from him. Kaymer solid as always, 19th at the Dubai Classic, 27th at the Abu Dhabi in his tournaments in 2018.
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