Having some beers, doing research on golf bets that I can't make in the US, I have to go offshore or to a local bookie under the radar...on 4th of July...celebrating our freedom. Odd feeling...lol.
Charles Howell ov Bubba Watson
Bubba has good course history here, Charles Howell doesn’t…I don’t care. All year I keep getting told that “Bubba’s gonna play good this week…he loves this course!!!” And then he goes out and misses the cut. I feel like I go over his stats this year every week, but in regular PGA events this year, 7 missed cuts, only one top 25 finish, 3 missed cuts out of his last 4 tourneys. Charles Howell came out pretty rusty off his break with the rib injury, oh wait he finished second last week. No missed cuts this year for Howell.
Kevin Streelman ov Russell Henley
Streelman has been really really good starting with the Dean and Deluca. Four straight top 18 finishes, including the Quicken Loans last week where he finished 7 shots ahead of Henley. Henley won the Shell Houston Open, and then finished 11th at the Masters, and since then no top 25 finishes, and 3 missed cuts. I see Streelman on a hot streak, and Henley in a bit of a funk.
Grayson Murray ov Trey Mullinex
Grayson Murray won a bet last week, and that’s even with him blowing up in the last round with a +11 performance. Other than that one round he’s been really good. Hasn’t missed a cut since March, 4 top 35 finishes, so he’s been fairly consistent. Mullinex has been all over the board, 46th last week, missed cut at the travelers…9th at the US Open…before that 5 missed cuts out of 6 tournaments. If Murray just shoots even par at the Quicken loans that gives him 5 straight top 35 finishes…I’ll take the consistent golfer in this matchup.
Ricky Barnes ov Jonas Blixt
We cashed a bet with Ricky Barnes last week, let’s do it again. Barnes 1 missed cut the last 10 tournaments, the last 5 tournaments 4 top 35’s, 3 of those top 25 finishes. Blixt the last 5 tournaments, two missed cuts and a 62nd…only one top 20 finish, but the big thing for me is that in the last 5 tournaments they’ve played in together, Barnes has finished ahead of Blixt in 4 of those…the other tournament they finished tied together.
Nick Taylor ov Ted Potter Jr.
Look up Ted Potter’s Pga tournament results this year. There’s only one PGA tournament he’s even played in this year, the US Open which he missed the cut. He’s been on the web.com tour where he’s been very hit or miss…last week he missed the cut at the vaunted Nashville Open. Nick Taylor has at least been playing with PGA tour competition. Nick Taylor has 8 made cuts in the last 9 tournaments, 29th last week, 4 top 30 finishes in the last 8 tournaments. Taylor is just in a better class than Potter.
Brandon Hagy ov Camilo Villegas
Pretty bad matchup here…both guys are not fantastic, but in the last 5 tournaments, Villegas has 3 missed cuts, a WD and a 63rd. Hagy in is last 5 tourneys only has 2 made cuts, but here’s what I like about his play. Here are the last few tournaments they’ve played in together. Quicken Loans, Hagy made the cut Villegas didn’t. FedEx St Jude, Hagy finished 4 strokes ahead of Villegas. Dean and Deluca Villegas WD after a horrific first round, Wells Fargo Hagy a 9 stroke win over Villegas. In fact, in 2017 in 11 of the PGA tournaments they’ve played in together, Hagy has finished ahead of Villegas in 9 of those tournaments.
Bovada pick
Keegan Bradley ov Bubba Watson
We went over Bubba above. Keegan made the cut at the US Open, won the CVS Health Charity Classic, then finished 8th at the Travelers, and 5th at the Quicken Loans. In fact, of the 7 tournaments they’ve played in together in 2017 Keegan has finished ahead or tied with Bubba in 6 of them.