Houston Open Picks

I’m going to throw a bit on Daniel Berger +150 ov Henrik Stenson

I think this is a great value play.  I don’t know what to expect from Stenson this week.  Last year he missed the cut here, he looked great the last time he played…maybe he just wants to play this week, hit a few shots, and head to Augusta.  Daniel Berger loves this place!!!  Two straight years he’s finished 5th here.  Only 1 missed cut this year for Berger, and he’s even got a couple top 15 finishes.  

Steve Stricker ov Keegan Bradley

If Stricker wins he gets into the Masters.  Can you see Steve Stricker winning this week?  Yes  Can you see Keegan Bradley winning?  No.  Last PGA Tour event Stricker played in was the Valspar…he finished 12th.  Keegan Bradley has one top 25 finish this year.  A top 25 finish.  Keegan pretty decent course history here, that’s why this isn’t a big play for me…but I like Stricker this week.

Scott Piercy ov James Hahn

Really like Piercy this week, and he seems to like this course.  No missed cuts in 6 tries here, and the last 2 times he played here he finished 10th and 19th.  He’s not coming in with a ton of momentum as he has 2 missed cuts in his last 5 tournaments, but he also has two top 20 finishes, so if he’s on a course he likes, he does well.  James Hahn is not great here.  Played here 4 times, 36th is his best finish.  The other 3 finishes, 56th, 49th, MC.  Hahn not great recently, 36th, and 59th his last 2 tournaments.

Harris English ov Ryan Palmer

Harris English on a nice little run, 22nd and 5th his last 2 tournaments.  Meanwhile Ryan Palmer has 2 missed cuts in his last 3 tournaments, and he has a pretty bad record in this tournament.  7 missed cuts here in 12 attempts.  Last year, he missed the cut, and the year before only finished 38th.  Harris English not fantastic here, but he’s never missed the cut here.

Rory Sabbatini ov Shane Lowry

Sabbatini has made 8 cuts in a row, hasn’t missed a cut in 2018.  In fact, he’s also got 3 top 20 finishes in 2018!!!  Can’t really look at his course history cause he hasn’t played here in over a decade.  Shane Lowry?  He’s missed some cuts in 2018…hasn’t missed a meal, but definitely has missed a cut.  No finishes in 2018 better than 43rd.  Three missed cuts this year, and Lowry has actually played this tournament twice…missed the cut both times.

Russell Knox ov Brice Garnett

Easy there on Brice Garnett.  I know he won last week, that was at the Puntacanta.  Before that he was missing cuts at the Honda Classic, and the Genesis Open, and didn’t have a finish inside the top 30.  Sound familiar mediocre golfer randomly wins a tournament out of nowhere?  Ted Potter drop.  Russell Knox is not golfing great right now, but he’s better than Garnett.  Missed cut at the Waste Management by one, missed cut at the Honda, and then he also has 5 top 30 finishes, two of those top 15.  Last time Garnett played here he missed the cut.