Casey -125 v Rahm. Don't think Rahm type of course. casey steady good.
Bubba plus money v Rahm (+105); Fowler (+110) and less so against Casey (+120). Bubba playing great and loves this place
Spieth -115 v DJ Spieth so comfortable here and played well last week. DJ not the same DJ as last year
Henley -110 v Moore. Henley a Georgia guy. Small play
Hoffman -120 v Harman. Hoff plays well here. Last 3 years T22;T29;T5
Kuchar -130 v Fleetwood. Kuchar a Georgia guy who plays great here! 4 times in Top 8 here the last 6 years! Geez, I think I need to put more on Kuch who played great in Houston last week.
Vegas -170 v Willet. Free money. Willet stinks and w/d last event with back injury. small play. Too risky
Kizzire -115 v Kaymer. Kaymer was lousy MC last out coming back from injury. But Kizzire a wildcard. Small play
Zach -125 v Smith and +115 v Chappell. Small plays. Zach a Green Jacket winner plays well here
That's alot of action
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I also played the following
Casey -125 v Rahm. Don't think Rahm type of course. casey steady good.
Bubba plus money v Rahm (+105); Fowler (+110) and less so against Casey (+120). Bubba playing great and loves this place
Spieth -115 v DJ Spieth so comfortable here and played well last week. DJ not the same DJ as last year
Henley -110 v Moore. Henley a Georgia guy. Small play
Hoffman -120 v Harman. Hoff plays well here. Last 3 years T22;T29;T5
Kuchar -130 v Fleetwood. Kuchar a Georgia guy who plays great here! 4 times in Top 8 here the last 6 years! Geez, I think I need to put more on Kuch who played great in Houston last week.
Vegas -170 v Willet. Free money. Willet stinks and w/d last event with back injury. small play. Too risky
Kizzire -115 v Kaymer. Kaymer was lousy MC last out coming back from injury. But Kizzire a wildcard. Small play
Zach -125 v Smith and +115 v Chappell. Small plays. Zach a Green Jacket winner plays well here
Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 6:14 PM ET "Quote" Trevor Immelman -115 v Harry Ellis (British Amateur Champion)Here is a history lesson...there have been 30 British Amateur Champions who have played the Masters. Of the 30, 27 have MC. The 3 that didn't were Sergio, Mannasero and Langasque. Best finish was Mannasero T36 (2010) Of the 30 they are a combined +360 over par.Of the 30 their average round 1 score is 81.5Their average round 2 score goes down to 77.5Harry will not be feeling very comfortable at AugustaI know Immelman isn't good anymore, but he isn't terrible.He has been playing better lately.His last event he made the cut at Punta Cana on PGA tour.And his last Eurotour event in last week of January at Omega Dunai Desert Classic he was pretty good at -12 T32.He is a past winner of the Green Jacket.As a past winner he has come back and played this most every year since.He will be comfortable here.I'm gonna take a shot and hope that Harry is the usual no shot British Amateur Champion. Hopefully Harry doesn't surprise me.I'm figuring they both MC but Immelman is better.All thoughts welcome.Good luck
Ellis +11 through 13 lol
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Quote Originally Posted by sacker17:
Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 6:14 PM ET "Quote" Trevor Immelman -115 v Harry Ellis (British Amateur Champion)Here is a history lesson...there have been 30 British Amateur Champions who have played the Masters. Of the 30, 27 have MC. The 3 that didn't were Sergio, Mannasero and Langasque. Best finish was Mannasero T36 (2010) Of the 30 they are a combined +360 over par.Of the 30 their average round 1 score is 81.5Their average round 2 score goes down to 77.5Harry will not be feeling very comfortable at AugustaI know Immelman isn't good anymore, but he isn't terrible.He has been playing better lately.His last event he made the cut at Punta Cana on PGA tour.And his last Eurotour event in last week of January at Omega Dunai Desert Classic he was pretty good at -12 T32.He is a past winner of the Green Jacket.As a past winner he has come back and played this most every year since.He will be comfortable here.I'm gonna take a shot and hope that Harry is the usual no shot British Amateur Champion. Hopefully Harry doesn't surprise me.I'm figuring they both MC but Immelman is better.All thoughts welcome.Good luck
Thanks fellas but it ain’t over till it’s over. One of my favorite movies “The Gambler”with James Caan as the degenerate gambler had a scene where Caan was winning big at Halftime and stopped watching only to be woken up the next morning by his bookie there to collect. He told Caan “they don’t pay off at halftime Axel”
Andy and I hit the RD1 play on this one which in retrospect I should’ve also posted. Lots of books didn’t have a RD1 line on this one but 5dimes did. History had the RD1 score avg 81.5.
Nerves should settle a little for Ellis RD2 and I guess that’s why RD2 history is avg score 77.5. If Immelmann can shoot 79 Ellis would have to break par to beat us. And although Immelman has MC here past 4 years he has no 80 scores.
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Thanks fellas but it ain’t over till it’s over. One of my favorite movies “The Gambler”with James Caan as the degenerate gambler had a scene where Caan was winning big at Halftime and stopped watching only to be woken up the next morning by his bookie there to collect. He told Caan “they don’t pay off at halftime Axel”
Andy and I hit the RD1 play on this one which in retrospect I should’ve also posted. Lots of books didn’t have a RD1 line on this one but 5dimes did. History had the RD1 score avg 81.5.
Nerves should settle a little for Ellis RD2 and I guess that’s why RD2 history is avg score 77.5. If Immelmann can shoot 79 Ellis would have to break par to beat us. And although Immelman has MC here past 4 years he has no 80 scores.
Ellis +8 rd2 (he did improve 6 strokes; history said 4).
Brutal loss RD2 with O’Meara +9. I thought about that one and almost joined u but didn’t trust O’Meara especially at -135. Hope u hit the Immelman bet good.
Andy thx. We all need to file this bet away till next year. Giving us Immelman was a gift. He still plays on PGA tour and has been better lately. They could have give us a senior or an amateur. But one thing for sure, the British Amateur Champion is a bet against. Now 3/31 in cuts made and a combined +382 over par.
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Dirty
Ellis +8 rd2 (he did improve 6 strokes; history said 4).
Brutal loss RD2 with O’Meara +9. I thought about that one and almost joined u but didn’t trust O’Meara especially at -135. Hope u hit the Immelman bet good.
Andy thx. We all need to file this bet away till next year. Giving us Immelman was a gift. He still plays on PGA tour and has been better lately. They could have give us a senior or an amateur. But one thing for sure, the British Amateur Champion is a bet against. Now 3/31 in cuts made and a combined +382 over par.
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