-We just keep cashing bets against Sergio. Barely won last week by 1 shot against Andy Sullivan, but that tournament Sergio had great course history at. But Sergio has never played here. 12th last week, but still lost the head to head, and before that 6 missed cuts and a 70th. Cabrera Bello the last 2 times he’s played here he finished 4th, 5th, and his last 4 tournaments he’s been good. 36th at the US Open, 4th, 8th, and 17th the 3 weeks before that.
Andy Sullivan ov Matthew Fitzpatrick
Both guys have been good, but I really like how Sullivan is playing right now.4 top 10 finishes in his last 5 tournaments, Fitzpatrick has 1 top 10 since January. But here’s the big thing. I went back and looked at the last 3 years of Matthew Fitzpatrick. The last 3 years his finishes coming into this tournament are pretty similar. But he’s missed the cut at this tournament the last 3 years. He just doesn’t play good here. Sullivan’s last 3 times playing here 13th, 6th, and 5th.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Euro Picks
Rafa Cabrera Bello ov Sergio Garcia
-We just keep cashing bets against Sergio. Barely won last week by 1 shot against Andy Sullivan, but that tournament Sergio had great course history at. But Sergio has never played here. 12th last week, but still lost the head to head, and before that 6 missed cuts and a 70th. Cabrera Bello the last 2 times he’s played here he finished 4th, 5th, and his last 4 tournaments he’s been good. 36th at the US Open, 4th, 8th, and 17th the 3 weeks before that.
Andy Sullivan ov Matthew Fitzpatrick
Both guys have been good, but I really like how Sullivan is playing right now.4 top 10 finishes in his last 5 tournaments, Fitzpatrick has 1 top 10 since January. But here’s the big thing. I went back and looked at the last 3 years of Matthew Fitzpatrick. The last 3 years his finishes coming into this tournament are pretty similar. But he’s missed the cut at this tournament the last 3 years. He just doesn’t play good here. Sullivan’s last 3 times playing here 13th, 6th, and 5th.
I’ve been betting on Rory Sabbatic a lot this year, I’ll keep doing this week against Trey Mullinax. Sabbatini missed the cut last week, it was his first missed cut of the year. I’m not worried. Rory has finished ahead of Mullinax in 4 out of the last 5 tournaments they’ve played in together, and since the Zurich Open, Mullinax has one finish inside the top 58, including 4 missed cuts.
Richie Werenski ov Andrew Landry
It sounds like a broken record, but here we go again betting against Andrew Landry. Since his win at the Valero Open, Landry hasn’t finished better than 65th, and keeps losing in head to heads. This week he’s against Richie Werenski, who hasn’t been fantastic, but he’s been making cuts, and in the 3 tournaments they’ve played in together since Landry’s win, Werenski has finished ahead of Landry in every tournament, including a 16 shot difference last week at the Travelers.
Peter Malnati ov Aaron Baddeley
Baddeley made the cut at the US Open barely, but he was in the easy tee times with the weather. Other than that 6 missed cuts in the last 7 tournaments for him. Peter Malnati no missed cuts in the last 6 tournaments, and in the last 4 tournaments they’ve played in together, Malnati has beat Baddeley head to head by a combined 25 shots.
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PGA Picks
Rory Sabbatini ov Trey Mullinax
I’ve been betting on Rory Sabbatic a lot this year, I’ll keep doing this week against Trey Mullinax. Sabbatini missed the cut last week, it was his first missed cut of the year. I’m not worried. Rory has finished ahead of Mullinax in 4 out of the last 5 tournaments they’ve played in together, and since the Zurich Open, Mullinax has one finish inside the top 58, including 4 missed cuts.
Richie Werenski ov Andrew Landry
It sounds like a broken record, but here we go again betting against Andrew Landry. Since his win at the Valero Open, Landry hasn’t finished better than 65th, and keeps losing in head to heads. This week he’s against Richie Werenski, who hasn’t been fantastic, but he’s been making cuts, and in the 3 tournaments they’ve played in together since Landry’s win, Werenski has finished ahead of Landry in every tournament, including a 16 shot difference last week at the Travelers.
Peter Malnati ov Aaron Baddeley
Baddeley made the cut at the US Open barely, but he was in the easy tee times with the weather. Other than that 6 missed cuts in the last 7 tournaments for him. Peter Malnati no missed cuts in the last 6 tournaments, and in the last 4 tournaments they’ve played in together, Malnati has beat Baddeley head to head by a combined 25 shots.
here are my four in Paris this week, Andy (bet/return)
Thorbjorn Olesen +135 over Tyrrell Hatton (40/94) Mikko Korhonen even over Haotong Li (50/100) Lucas Bjerregaard -110 over Thomas Pieters (55/105) Matt Wallace +105 over Lee Westwood (50/102.50)
have a write up as to WHY at the new site
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Rafa Cabrera Bello ov Sergio Garcia
Andy Sullivan ov Matthew Fitzpatrick
here are my four in Paris this week, Andy (bet/return)
Thorbjorn Olesen +135 over Tyrrell Hatton (40/94) Mikko Korhonen even over Haotong Li (50/100) Lucas Bjerregaard -110 over Thomas Pieters (55/105) Matt Wallace +105 over Lee Westwood (50/102.50)
I can't believe Hatton is that big of a favorite over Olesen. Great odds on that one.
Ya it is CRAZY. Westgate opened it -110 "flat" and I guess someone "bopped" it early. glad I waited until Tuesday to check the William-Hill lines before booking. hell ex for his tied 6th US Open Ty has been "Mr Missed Cut" lately and Thor has a WIN and tied 2nd his last two with a CUT US Open between. was also tied 3rd @ Le Golf National last season while Ty was a CUT
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Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:
I can't believe Hatton is that big of a favorite over Olesen. Great odds on that one.
Ya it is CRAZY. Westgate opened it -110 "flat" and I guess someone "bopped" it early. glad I waited until Tuesday to check the William-Hill lines before booking. hell ex for his tied 6th US Open Ty has been "Mr Missed Cut" lately and Thor has a WIN and tied 2nd his last two with a CUT US Open between. was also tied 3rd @ Le Golf National last season while Ty was a CUT
I WISH the Las Vegas sportsbooks OFFERED those for tourneys OTHER than the MAJORS. LUCKY to get "to win" and some limited tourney match plays on Euro Tour events
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Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:
any top 10 or even top 5 picks this weekend?
Aphibarnrat at +250 Top Ten looks interesting
I WISH the Las Vegas sportsbooks OFFERED those for tourneys OTHER than the MAJORS. LUCKY to get "to win" and some limited tourney match plays on Euro Tour events
I only do head to heads and some props on the majors. I don't do top 5's and top 10's. I haven't figured out how to make money long-term on that, so I stick to what I know best.
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I only do head to heads and some props on the majors. I don't do top 5's and top 10's. I haven't figured out how to make money long-term on that, so I stick to what I know best.
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