Phil Mickelson ov Sergio Garcia
We went over this on the podcast. Since having his baby, in stroke play tournaments Sergio hasn’t made the cut once. Now he’s matched up against Phil who is playing great with only one finish outside the top 25 since January. He’s coming off a 5th place finish last week, he won in Mexico, he’s said he’s gearing up for the US Open, and even though he hasn’t played great here, I’m loving what I’m seeing from Phil this year, and not loving what I’m seeing from Sergio right now.
Adam Hadwin ov Adam Scott
I get a guy who’s finished who hasn’t finished outside of the top 25 since February over a guy who’s best finish in the last 4 tournaments is 32nd? I’ll take it. Adam Scott isn’t an elite golfer now. He just isn’t. I don’t know if it’s because of his kids, or his new focus is on fashion, but he isn’t competing for wins anymore. He’s competing to make the cut. His putting has been terrible. He’s 210th in putts per round., and 127th in driving accuracy. Hadwin is 54th in driving accuracy, and has been one of the most underrated golfers recently. Incredible value on this bet, and last week Hadwin won his matchup over Hatton by 4 shots, and that was with Hatton having an incredibly lucky first round. Hadwin is the real deal.
Louis Oosthuizen ov Branden Grace
Guess who’s playing in his first tournament since having a baby… Branden Grace. Louis is tough to figure out. Missed the cut at the Wells Fargo, 12th at the Masters, did good in match play, 16th at the Valspar, missed the cut at the Arnold Palmer. But here’s what I notice from Louis. He seems to like playing in stacked fields. Check out these stats. This year at the Masters 12th, tied for 9th at the match play, 30th in Mexico at the WGC. Last year 41st at the Masters, 2nd at the Players, 23rd US Open, 10th at the Northen Trust, 30th at the Dell Championship. 2016 15th at the Masters, 28th at the Players, 23rd US Open. When the field is stacked, he steps up his game. I’ll take him this week over a baby-fatigued Branden Grace.
Bubba Watson ov Brooks Koepka
Koepka doesn’t look like he’s in great form yet coming back from injury. He didn’t have one round under 70 last week, he looked rusty, now he’s playing a really tough course. Bubba since making the ball change has been great, even had 2 wins at the genesis, and the match play. Bubba missed the cut here last year, but that was with the old golf ball brand he was using so don’t be scared of that finish. I get the rejuvenated Bubba over a still rusty Koepka…love this one.
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