Jordan Spieth ov Rory McIlroy
I don’t have a lot of stats, but I do like this play. There were lots of red flags last week about Rory, and a lot of people ignored them, but the fact is he hasn’t played much recently, he didn’t play much at the US Open cause he horrifically missed the cut, he’s got new equipment, he’s got the injury that could be lingering…Spieth at least made the cut at the US Open, a couple top 13 finishes before that. Spieth in good form…Rory nowhere near good form.
Marc Leishman ov Bubba Watson
Not sure what people are seeing in Bubba Watson. I know he likes this tournament, but I’m still fading him. I was told last week that fading him was a bad idea, and it wasn’t. A website I really respect, and really like has Bubba as one of their picks to win, and I can’t figure it out. He still only has 1 decent finish at a real tournament this year, that was 6th at the Memorial. He comes off that finish into the US Open with huge fairways that should’ve set up nice for him, and he misses the cut. Take out the Zurich, and Match Play, and he has 6 MC’s in the last 9 tournaments. Leishman has been playing really good recently, a 27th at the US Open, 15th, 34th, and 13th before that. Bubba good history at this tournament, but Leishman does as well…finished 9th here last year.
Danny Lee ov Ryan Palmer
Danny Lee only 2 missed cuts since February, he’s got 4 straight made cuts, two of those finishes were 5th, and 6th, Danny Lee also has 3 straight made cuts at this tournament. Ryan Palmer not playing great the last month, his finishes the last 4 tournaments have gotten worse every time, 27th, 70th, 80th, missed cut. Palmer has played here 3 times….2 missed cuts.
Sung Kang ov Smylie Kaufman
Smylie Kaufman started to show signs that he was a decent golfer earlier this year. Seven missed cuts, and then he got on a little bit of a roll when he finished 5th at the Wells Fargo, 12th at the Players, and 35th at the Byron Nelson. Since then…two straight missed cuts, not even close to the cut line, and he missed the cut here last year. Sung Kang no missed cuts at PGA events since the Valspar, he made the cut here last year, and statistically he’s just way better than Kaufman this year. Fun Fact: Sung Kang has more than triple the FedEx Cup points than Kaufman does.
Brian Stuard ov Bryson DeChambeau
They should just call him DeChamBLOWS!!!! He hasn’t made a cut since the first week of April. Brian Stuard…has made a cut since the first week of April. Besides the US Open, Stuard has made the cut in 5 out of the previous tournaments. Not a lot needs to be said here.
David Lingmerth ov Adam Hadwin
Not a huge play, but Lingmerth is in much better form than Hadwin right now. Lingmerth has 4 top 21 finishes in the last 5 tournaments…5 straight made cuts. Hadwin made the cut last week, but in his last 5 tournaments, his best finish is 30th. He started the year strong, but it looks like he’s fading, and Lingmerth is coming on. Lingmerth has played here twice…2 made cuts. Hadwin has played here twice…2 missed cuts.
Grayson Murray ov Hudson Swafford (love)
I’ll just cut to the chase here. Murray 8 straight made cuts, 3 straight top 35 finishes , and regardless of what Murray says on twitter he’s just the better golfer here. Swafford has 4 straight missed cuts, and the last 4 tournaments they’ve played in together, Murray has finished ahead of Swafford. Way ahead. In those 4 tournaments, Murray’s combined score is Even par…Swaffords combined score is +20.