ap12moni

GOOD LUCK

This is the 5th and final game *

Montreal vs Detroit at 7:30pm EST

Senators vs. Devils

Anderson vs. Kinkaid

Devils played last night behind, YUP you guessed it, Mackenzie Blackwood!  The kid started his first game last night and played a heck of a game, unfortunately, they couldn't crack Bob-o.  Now they turn to Kinkaid and he's coming off being pulled after 2 periods versus the Maple Leafs, no easy task.  But his L5 games he's posted a .885 SV %, and thru 7 games in December he's 3.64GAA and .878SV %.  Not too flattering and seems to have lost his swag.  After seeing Blackwood play great, he's probably got a little extra pressure on his shoulders to perform.

Devils on B2B this year have played 6 games, scoring 13 goals and giving up 23, a -1.67G differential which is 3rd worst in the league.  This doesn't bode well for the team after grinding out a tough 2-1 loss last night.

Senators now are coming off of a 3 game rest, and actually playing better hockey of late.  Their PK which had sucked terribly early on in the season has somewhat turned around and at least is respectable through December.  Looking at their schedule, they play the Capitals tomorrow for a B2B of their own and then are off for 5 days.  You'd have to think they play the heck out of this game tonight looking for a W against an inferior opponent and then head back to Ottawa and expect a L to Washington.  A split before a 5 day break sounds like a W to me for Ottawa.

Anderson, as ugly as his season stat line looks, has given up 13 goals in the L5 games while posting a .926SV %.  That's darn good.  Problem with the Sens is they give up a ton of shots, the L6 games they've given up an average of 37.5 which is a concern, but Devils have score 16 goals total their L6 games.

Both teams post good numbers at home and crap away stats which favors the Devils tonight.  However, the scheduling and better goalie favor the Senators in this matchup, and the value on the Senators is too good to pass up.

Senators ML +143 is the pick.  Good Luck to All!

CC vs. Schultz.  

CC's September numbers look gross, no doubt.  But this man is a vet and knows that a win here, all but solidifies home field advantage in the WC game vs. Oakland.  Vs. LH hitters, he's given up a .183 average, 4 LH hitters in the TB lineup today.  Carlos Gomez is the only one with decent stats against CC, going 9/21, but in Sept he's 2/23 so i'm throwing that out the window.

Schultz has been great in relief, we can hope he goes 2IP before being removed.  His WHIP is nice and low, BAA is low.  Stanton, Judge, Andujar...all great names but haven't been anything special recently.  The L7 - Andjuar - .240, Stanton .217, Judge .250, Torres .167...and while I know NYY is a hitters ballpark and they can ding a few out at any moment, TB is in the middle of the pack as far as giving up HR this September and their bullpen is a top 10 one throughout the season.  Oddly enough, Voit may be the most feared batter on the Yanks right now.  Not many would've said that this late in the season but it's the truth.

Yanks will be without Cutch and Sanchez, so some better offensive bats will be missing.  No Duffy, Kiermaier for TB, replaced with Lowe and Gomez.  Don't think anything special here.

Quick turnaround from last night's game, maybe we see some sluggish bats as well.  Yanks have Betances and Britton on 2 days rest so they should be available to help out the end of the Yanks pitching today.

L7 Days, Tampa is batting .232, Yanks are .234.  Game in a dome so no wind/weather restrictions.

I think that's about all on this!

GOOD LUCK once again.

Will be on the Under 8.5 (-120)...analysis to follow, just getting the pick out there!

GL to all!  

Pinch hit in the 7th

Thx good luck Bay

Poor Thor...

but me...

Braves don't like to, but they need to take some pitches instead of swinging at the first one they see.  Noah doesn't have the control he wants to tonight, Braves are giving him easy outs

first pitch scheduled at 7:40, tarp is off 

yea i live 45 min from there, rain was coming down hard a little while ago, but has stopped at least for now.  I think it may be delayed, tarps are on the field, but i think they'll get it in tonight.

thanks!

Braves ML (+130)

Touki burnt me last time, but not today.

Mets have 5 LH batters (including Thor) in the starting lineup.  Touki has given up only 3 hits out of 32AB (.094 avg against).

Mets batters L7 have hit .216 while Braves have hit .234.  Atlanta also has the better pen.

Give me the underdog against the Thunderless Thor.

GOOD LUCK

Look at the historical numbers for the batters with these 2 pitchers.  That's all I wanted to see.

Also, with the Cards loss early today, Brewers bats will look to beat up on ol' Matt Harvey and gain a game in the WC race.

Over 8.5 (-120) is my pick!

Flaherty pitched well and then lost all control.  The rookie pitched great too, saw a much closer game but either way loss is a loss.  Will try one more at 7pm.  

 when the Yanks turn a double play on their third try to end a game...sheesh, nothing's easy but called that one pretty good.

Hope y'all tailed.  

Nogood, VV, tuck