ATS_Analytics

OK ok, tough crowd. Damn! You should strive for something better in life. So condescending to everyone on this site, you feel everyone is too stupid to be able to make their own decisions. It's the COVERS POLICE everybody, my gosh what would we do without the neighborhood watch LOL. Grow a pair and post a pick for once. Tell all the weak that need to be coddled your real opinion, come out and be clear, tell them to play a Double Digit road Fav. Tell them that's what an experienced bettor would do. Hey who knows how this game plays out but it's pretty square to play Philadelphia. 

@PuntaGordaBob

Soooo, I'll put you down as a YES for this one?

@vanzack

 And then you doubled down and wasted 5 more minutes typing 15 words trying to hide the fact that you actually liked it! 

Note: This model has been very effective over the decades however this is a situational model only.

This model does NOT rely on any mathematical based analytics. I rarely bet without using advanced stats but when you have almost 3 decades of history these are the times I make an exception. 

Thursday, November 3rd

Philadelphia @ Houston

Line currently at +13.5

Would like to see it over 14 but we will see what happens in the next few days

 Talk soon...

Wake Forest committed 7 Turnovers, third quarter alone saw 6 of them. Wow! I'm an investor/trader by profession and love to use options to protect my portfolio from market surprises, lol, too bad there isn't TURNOVER insurance to hedge against one of the most unpredictable aspects of football. Ok, lets make this really clear, I gave out a bad pick! Bitching and complaining is not a good look, lol, so lets not do that.  See you next week and lets get back on track 

Talk soon...

And just like that Ohio St scores 2TDs in 34 seconds. LOL, who said difficulty? 

Wow! #2 Ohio St having some difficulty @ Penn St. Could this be the case for #3 Tennessee vs Kentucky tonight???

@ndsent1

 Thanks & 

@GamblinDAWG

@Teaser78

@Taurus76

@PapiChullo

 Thanks & 

@ATS-WINNERS

 TY

@LoveCFB1_

 Thanks Brother 

   ***3-0 YTD*** 

 Talk soon...

@PeAceMaKer7690

 I hear you my friend. Tennessee is a good team and I'm not saying to necessarily play on Kentucky. I'm more questioning the viability of them staying in the College Football Playoff race with some of their deficiencies, that they have been able to kind of mask over with their potent offense. 

 brother

@Ocplay1

Had to break post up because there is a 4000 character limit.

While Tennessee has their SNOOTY noses so high in the air thinking their SH!T don’t stink, have they left their GLASS JAW exposed for Kentucky to take a smash at it?

What say you? Hey all this meaningless if Kentucky turns the ball over a bunch of times, right? Oh and 1 more thing, Kentucky is coming off their BYE Week, an extra week to prepare can be golden especially in College Football where there are strict rules on how many practices can be had. Extra time to prepare and study the opponent usually gives the coaches and players more time to implement new or trick plays that Tennessee wouldn't have seen before because there is no tape of it. 

I mostly bet games that qualify under one of my long standing historically high percentage winning models. This game would NOT qualify as a play for me but Tennessee looks like an ABSOLUTE FRAUD of a #3 ranked team if I’ve ever seen one!  They are too undisciplined and not good enough defensively to maintain this level of success. Hey, can they keep winning in the short term? Absolutely! I'm more confident Tennessee won't finish the season as one of the teams who qualify for the College Playoff vs who covers the spread this Saturday night. Maybe I'll throw an insignificant amount on the moneyline, Kentucky +360. Do I expect to hit this long shot? No, but after laying out the case, why not?!!

Good luck!!!

Are you SIMPING BRO?!!?

Tennessee is 7-0 and appears to be hotter than a... well I don't want to get BANNED again! 

So Tennessee is Ranked #3 after beating Alabama, 52-49 right, well Alabama committed 17 penalties in that game, a school record. Amassing 130 total penalty yards for the game, settled for a few too many FG attempts and just not looking like an Alabama team we typically see under Nick Saban. 

Is Tennessee that nasty looking coworker you see at the after work Halloween party, dressed in a slutty costume and you are a little too buzzed not to walk the other way? 

You gonna regret this???

Sat, Oct. 29  7PM - Kentucky @ Tennessee

Note: At the time of this post Tennessee is a 12.5 pt Fav at home vs Kentucky

How many times has a #3 Ranked team ever had these types of RED FLAGS? 

1) Tennessee on average commits 8.7 penalties per game, 5th WORST in the country and an undisciplined 77.3 Penalty Yards per game, 3rd WORST in the country. Whereas Kentucky is tied for the 5th LEAST amount of penalties committed per game.

2) Tennessee's defense allows 47% of all completed passes to go for 10 yards or more, about 13.5 per game whereas Kentucky allows less than half of that per game at 6.5 completed passes for 10+ yards. A defense that hemorrhages that many yards explains the 3rd red flag.

3) Tennessee's defense allows teams a whopping 4.3 Red Zone visits per game, tied for #110 in the country. Kentucky's defense allows only 2 Red Zone visits per game, tied for 5th BEST in the country.

4) Why not also throw in the fact that Tennessee's defense is allowing opposing QB’s to complete 64.2% of their passes. Kentucky's Completion % defense allows just under 56%.

Well I'll stop there.....