Is #3 Tennessee a Toxic Low Value, Wannabe BOSS B!T*H Waiting to Take All You SIMPS for as Much as SHE CAN???

Are you SIMPING BRO?!!?

Tennessee is 7-0 and appears to be hotter than a... well I don't want to get BANNED again! 

So Tennessee is Ranked #3 after beating Alabama, 52-49 right, well Alabama committed 17 penalties in that game, a school record. Amassing 130 total penalty yards for the game, settled for a few too many FG attempts and just not looking like an Alabama team we typically see under Nick Saban. 

Is Tennessee that nasty looking coworker you see at the after work Halloween party, dressed in a slutty costume and you are a little too buzzed not to walk the other way? 

You gonna regret this???

Sat, Oct. 29  7PM - Kentucky @ Tennessee

Note: At the time of this post Tennessee is a 12.5 pt Fav at home vs Kentucky

How many times has a #3 Ranked team ever had these types of RED FLAGS? 

1) Tennessee on average commits 8.7 penalties per game, 5th WORST in the country and an undisciplined 77.3 Penalty Yards per game, 3rd WORST in the country. Whereas Kentucky is tied for the 5th LEAST amount of penalties committed per game.

2) Tennessee's defense allows 47% of all completed passes to go for 10 yards or more, about 13.5 per game whereas Kentucky allows less than half of that per game at 6.5 completed passes for 10+ yards. A defense that hemorrhages that many yards explains the 3rd red flag.

3) Tennessee's defense allows teams a whopping 4.3 Red Zone visits per game, tied for #110 in the country. Kentucky's defense allows only 2 Red Zone visits per game, tied for 5th BEST in the country.

4) Why not also throw in the fact that Tennessee's defense is allowing opposing QB’s to complete 64.2% of their passes. Kentucky's Completion % defense allows just under 56%.

Well I'll stop there.....

While Tennessee has their SNOOTY noses so high in the air thinking their SH!T don’t stink, have they left their GLASS JAW exposed for Kentucky to take a smash at it?

What say you? Hey all this meaningless if Kentucky turns the ball over a bunch of times, right? Oh and 1 more thing, Kentucky is coming off their BYE Week, an extra week to prepare can be golden especially in College Football where there are strict rules on how many practices can be had. Extra time to prepare and study the opponent usually gives the coaches and players more time to implement new or trick plays that Tennessee wouldn't have seen before because there is no tape of it. 

I mostly bet games that qualify under one of my long standing historically high percentage winning models. This game would NOT qualify as a play for me but Tennessee looks like an ABSOLUTE FRAUD of a #3 ranked team if I’ve ever seen one!  They are too undisciplined and not good enough defensively to maintain this level of success. Hey, can they keep winning in the short term? Absolutely! I'm more confident Tennessee won't finish the season as one of the teams who qualify for the College Playoff vs who covers the spread this Saturday night. Maybe I'll throw an insignificant amount on the moneyline, Kentucky +360. Do I expect to hit this long shot? No, but after laying out the case, why not?!!

Good luck!!!

Had to break post up because there is a 4000 character limit.

Definitely a let down spot. These teams that never see the top 5 and actually get there always lose the next week. I’m staying away tho

Lots of advanced stats say Tennessee is overhyped. 1st place offense/last place defense just isn't a sustainable model. All it takes is a mildly off day from Hooker and the wheels come off; there's no defense to fall back on that will hold you in the game.

Good points. If it happens to go to 14, I'll probably put a little on UK. 

6-1 ATS says something 

vols run a simple offense which means bama's d coord has to be a retarded spastic, could never stop simple slants across the middle, has his tiny db's in man with no help often and never blitzes

vols run a simple offense which means bama's d coord has to be a retarded spastic, could never stop simple slants across the middle, has his tiny db's in man with no help often and never blitzes

Remember this Tenn backers, just for shi#s and g's how many players are not even thinking about Kentucky with GA on their minds. Ga will beat them easily at home next weekend. Vegas will chalk that number up to tease the degenerates into taking TN. Thinking Kentucky might see alot of action. Just my opinion.  Good luck to all this weekend.  Go Dawgs.

@ATS_Analytics

 Love it 

@Ocplay1

 Same amount that were looking past a perceived weak at the time LSU team….this coach has them with a different mindset they’ll be ready.

@Ocplay1

@ATS_Analytics

 You skipped the part where Tennessee has great rush defense. Teams pass the ball because they cannot run it. Tennessee allows 24ppg. Not 50..... But they score 50. Kentucky allows 16 ppg, not 7. But they only score 26 ppg. Sure, you can have a winning season scoring 26ppg and allowing 16ppg. 10 point cushion. It is much easier to have a winning season scoring 50ppg annd allowing 23ppg. 27 point cushion. If Tennessee offense slows down, it is a problem..... But they have a lot of leeway with 27 points. What if Kentucky offense slows down? They only have 10 point leeway.

@PeAceMaKer7690

 I hear you my friend. Tennessee is a good team and I'm not saying to necessarily play on Kentucky. I'm more questioning the viability of them staying in the College Football Playoff race with some of their deficiencies, that they have been able to kind of mask over with their potent offense. 

 brother

@ATS_Analytics

  Yes I was just looking at this one matchup. 100% agree, they shouldn't be top 4. probably 5 - 10. but ahead of kentucky.

@GamblinDAWG

@ATS_Analytics

 This is absolutely the definition of not knowing wtf you are talking about...what a clown

Who the hell is this idiot?

Theyll be twice as many threads like this next week