AverageAllstar

Thanks for the winner.

Tailing

Ran a few simulators online. Most of em have Trump winning by 5-10%.

I think back to the Clinton/Trump campaigns and most simulations had Clinton 10-30% ahead of Trump. And that crazy article about how she was 98% likely to win.

Looks like Harris is loosing momentum while Trump’s loosing his edge. He said in one of his last rallies something like “we got this great thing and its coming to an end.” Almost as if he sees himself loosing.

I got some wine, fresh water in the hot tub and  looking forward to an exciting night of election on Tuesday! Sounds like it’s gonna be close. Hope we can all come out ahead on our bets.

Harris +175

Trump -200

Put another 2U on this at -115.

Took him to win 1st set @ -110 2u

Perricard needs to figure something out on return or he’s done.

I like the over here. I have score after 4 games 2-2 @ -200 in a parlay.

GL.

K guys… I’m back.

Hope you all made it.

I’m gonna be offline for the next 4 hours cause I can’t find my iPhone cable. I haven’t messaged my wife and kids but I wanted all of you to know.

God speed and good luck on your bets.….

Oh yea, I don’t have any kids… but I don’t have a charger. That part’s true.

Took him -1.5 Games 1st Set at +140 1U 

Took him again at +225.

There’s the break…

Took him again at +225.

He’s playing pretty bad and still on serve. Arnaldi making some huge shots. Definitely think the momentum will switch. Betting on it happening before the end of the set. Rune has a way higher gear.

Took him -1.5 Games 1st Set at +140 1U.

Aiming for +170 or better to put another 1U on.

I just took Tiafoe to win first set at -105.

GL bud.

@Kenzito

 It’s so tough to bank on how a player feels that day. Who knows if their motivation is in Paris or not. Who knows if Perricard is going to be on the level after his win at home? It’s not something I consider. I do consider, does this player have points to protect or need points to qualify for other upcoming events or elevate closer to top 20. It’s a little easier to see the positive motivations in that regard.

As for the break numbers go, -1000 compounded pays +115. So yea, it’d be better to just carry over every service game. I knew I was going to be asleep for the start of the matches though.

Speaking of the matches. Anyone see that Michelsen/Hurkacz match? Hubi got eviscerated.  

Tiafoe/Perricard Score after 4 games 2-2

Hurkacz/Michelsen Score after 4 games 2-2

Parlay @ +108 2U

With Perricard holding 90% of his service games and Hurkacz holding 89%, I don’t expect them to be broken early in the match. And considering these guys break 7 and 18% of the time, I think Tiafoe and Michelsen should be able to get a few holds in before anything exciting happens.

Adding another 2U on Harris. Lichtman still has the dems winning coming into the final week.

GL on your bets.

 Everybody.

Ship it.

Yea. Paul got angry. He did that in game three when he dropped the first break in this set.