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mediocre rookie starter against the best offense in the NL (only team with better stats is the Rockies who are automatically discounted for obvious reasons)
very good lefty starter against a team that's absolutely miserable against lefties. Dodgers are atrocious vs lefties
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Bigdave117 | 1 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Brilliance44: Agree and like the pick, but I'd argue Moneyline +165 is much much better value. Why risk having to win by two for less than a dollar increase? let's say for example, out of 10 games, if the braves win 6 and 5 out of the 6 are by 2 runs (that might actually be conservative - about 87% of visitor wins are by 2+runs), you would have won 560 betting ML and 700 betting on the RL
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Bigdave117 | 8 |
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It's probably going to be around +240
Coors field turns mediocre hitters into hall of fame quality players - the terrible rays just won 2 of 3 and scored a million runs there. These games at Coors are basically a coin flip and about 87% of the time the road team wins, they win by 2+ runs
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Bigdave117 | 8 |
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I made a live bet on the rangers/angels game at -11.5
Already at 10 about halfway through the game. That will take me close to $40,000
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Bigdave117 | 15 |
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[Quote: Originally Posted by purple_stars] Well done BD117.bol.keep it Rollin.build for NFL [/Quote]
betting on football is horrible
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Bigdave117 | 15 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Navi: Post your play from now on. I turned $50 in to $60,000 I should have posted my plays so that everybody could make Oh well I make a lot of bets on my cell phone. This site is horrible on the phone
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Bigdave117 | 15 |
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angels already up 4-0
looks like it's going to be $39000 (I bet angels runline at 1.5 + 167)
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Bigdave117 | 15 |
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4-0 already
this is going to be a slaughtering
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OxWrestler195 | 12 |
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Is this just blind luck or could it really be skill/long term sustainable?
I've been winning at about 60-65% since the all star break on maybe 20 plays
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Bigdave117 | 15 |
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I see nothing I really like
I love Fernandez at Philly but it's very heavy juice
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Bigdave117 | 13 |
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Yankees are 14-5 in his last 19 starts - primarily because he's their only starting pitcher who consistently gives them 5-7 decent innings. If the yankees go into the 7th inning with a lead or a tie, the odds of them winning is very very high with the three headed monster of Miller, Betances and Chapman
I think I might blind back him the rest of the year
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Bigdave117 | 1 |
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created a topic
As long as lines aren't too ridiculous, Cubs are a great play this weekend
in MLB Betting
Rangers are the perfect pitching staff for the cubs hitters to demolish - very low strikeout guys who still walk a fair amount of people. When the Cubs make a lot of contact, they tend to really destroy the ball
Cubs should be well rested, hopefully Fowler plays starting Friday. I would expect them to win at least 2 out of 3 and probably win by 3-6+ runs in each game
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Bigdave117 | 14 |
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I bet it all 4 games with the Phillies at Coors field and the Phillis covered it 2 out of the 4 games (a +215 and +270 win)
these games are basically a coin flip, I have no idea why Vegas thinks so highly of the Rockies about 87-90% of road wins by Rocky opponents this year have been by 2+ runs so if you're ever playing their opponent, play the RL
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Bigdave117 | 3 |
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I played the Phillies -1.5 at +210 today and won about 2100 dollars
the Rockies are 19-21 at home and 18 of those 21 (86%) of those losses have been by 2+ runs. I think I'm going to play Phillies RL again tomorrow
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Bigdave117 | 2 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Lets_Get_em: On the same total Lets get this Smoney !! Get_em BigDave117 6 runs through 2 1/3rd. Sweeeet
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Bigdave117 | 9 |
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Quote Originally Posted by searchwarrant: I'm taking the Rocks in their yard in hopes that they break out on offense. both pitchers are gas cans. this is an incredibly even matchup - maybe even slight lean for the Phillies. I see zero value in taking the Rockies when they are laying - 180 I did -1.5 Philly at +250. A huge majority of games a coors field are decided by 2+ runs
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Mannystar | 4 |
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Nobody else likes this
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Bigdave117 | 9 |
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One of these two will hit
Both Pirates and Phillies are red-hot and the alternative runline have huge value. I particularly love the alternative runline on Phillies at Coors field as it will likely be +260ish |
Bigdave117 | 1 |
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Tyler Duffy is horrible too though
I'll take the far superior team at home in a matchup of two awful pitchers
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Targa1 | 3 |
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I know it's a humongous number but Adam Morgan for the year is allowing about 7 runs per 9 innings to the entire league. That includes all the games against mediocre opposition. The Rockies are #1 in the league with about 6.3 runs per game at home
Chad Bettis also allowing about 7 runs per 9 innings at home. I think this a 10-7 kind of game. |
Bigdave117 | 9 |
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