blues2112

blues2112
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created a topic Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Fri May 23rd
in MLB Betting

Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Fri May 23rd

 

1-3 yesterday with another loss in extra innings…I suck lately..so I would fade myself until this turns….still in positive territory for the year…but it is hardly normal for me in baseball.  I'm a bashers wet dream.

 

April                       24-20          +3.56 Units

May                       40–38          +2.36 Units

Yearly Total              64-58           +5.92 Units

                           (52.45%)       

4 Plays for Friday

7:05    NY Yankees              -125

7:30    Atlanta                    -134

8:11    Chi White Sox           -108

10:05  Boston                     +135

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replied to Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Thurs May 22nd
in MLB Betting

4 Plays for Thursday

 

Date    Time   Pick                 Odds

5/22    1;10    Minnesota      -109

5/22    7:07    LA Angels      +113

5/22    7:10    Chi White Sox -101

5/22    10:05  Cincy            -109

 

 

1.)  Favorites are always to win 1 unit, dogs are always

1 unit to win whatever   the odds are…get the best odds possible. (Example 200 to win 100 on fav’s, 100 to win 200 on dogs for 100 per unit bettors).

2.)    Play the same unit amount all season long.

3.)    Plays will be graded on the final line posted on www.Wagerline.com

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blues2112 11
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created a topic Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Thurs May 22nd
in MLB Betting

Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Thurs May 22nd

OK, 2-1 last night - +1.91 units……I need to kick this in gear and get the units flowing…..Still buried at work this week..so I haven't been checking these threads...GL to all

           

April                       24-20           +3.56 Units

May                       39–35           +4.52 Units

Yearly Total              63-55            +8.08 Units

                           (53.39%)       

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blues2112 11
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replied to Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Wed May 21th
in MLB Betting
SSAC...thanks for the email....Didn't forget..just trying to get all my information straight before posted....
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replied to Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Wed May 21th
in MLB Betting

3 Plays for Wednesday

 

Date    Time   Pick                 Odds

5/21    7:05    Pitt               +117

5/21    7:10    Florida           +151

5/21    7:35    St Louis         +135

 

1.)  Favorites are always to win 1 unit, dogs are always

1 unit to win whatever   the odds are…get the best odds possible. (Example 200 to win 100 on fav’s, 100 to win 200 on dogs for 100 per unit bettors).

2.)    Play the same unit amount all season long.

3.)    Plays will be graded on the final line posted on www.Wagerline.com

 

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created a topic Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Wed May 21th
in MLB Betting

Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Wed May 21th

 

Sorry about being so late…it’s been one hell of a week at work….just a tad behind on just about everything…...So…..been treading water here lately…need to get it moving.

           

April                       24-20           +3.56 Units

May                       37–34           +2.61 Units

Yearly Total              61-54            +6.17 Units

                           (53.04%)       

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blues2112 15
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created a topic Blue’s Baseball System –Tues May 20th – No Plays
in MLB Betting

Blue’s Baseball System  –Tues May 20th – No Plays

           

April                       24-20           +3.56 Units

May                       37–34           +2.61 Units

Yearly Total              61-54          +6.17 Units

                           (53.04%)       

           

 

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blues2112 2
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created a topic Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Mon May 19th
in MLB Betting

Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Mon May 19th

 

1-1 on Sun with a small loss….I have a group of clients in from Seattle this week..so I will not be around much..I have to wine and dine them all week…but I will be posting each morning..GL

           

April                       24-20           +3.56 Units

May                        36–33           +2.61 Units

Yearly Total              60-53          +6.17 Units

                           (53.09%)       

 

2 Plays for Monday

 

Date   Time   Pick              Odds

5/19    8:35    San Fran       +131

5/19    10:10  LA Dodgers    -147

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blues2112 10
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created a topic Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Sun May 18th
in MLB Betting

Ouch…1-4 on Sat, with a blown save and a loss in the 10th inning…Worst day of the season for me ......I may be good fade material right now…..I will spend the day readjusting some numbers as I seem to be a bit off….sorry about the late post.

 

           

April                       24-20           +3.56 Units

May                       35–32           +3.10 Units

Yearly Total              59-52          +6.66 Units

                           (53.15%)       

 

2 Plays for Sunday

 

Date   Time   Pick              Odds

5/18    1:35    Baltimore       -146

5/18    1:35    Atlanta         -120

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replied to Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Sat May 17th
in MLB Betting
WALTAA33 I did one on another thread for home/visitor.....about 4 days ago...it was in one of my threads..check last Tues I think...I can get it to it for the next few days..I have alot going on....but...about 30% of the time the home teams wins both gamws of a doublheader..I think it is 19% for the visitor...
 
 
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replied to Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Sat May 17th
in MLB Betting
Coachgcb     Mets are still a play even at -125....Yankees managed six runs in the four games against the Rays..now they have to face Santana..without AROD and POSADA..I'll go with the Mets as the YAnks may have trouble scoring some runs here...
 
Kazual12    KC is playing as good as ball as anyone the last 10 games (which is part of the system)...while Florida is going in the opposite direction...With the win last KC edged itself higher on my board.....plus , FLA record is a bit decieveing, as they played PIT, ATL,, WAS, METS,& MIL ..so they beat up on some sub .500 teams to get their preent record...And KC is a dog
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replied to Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Sat May 17th
in MLB Betting

5 Plays for Saturday

 

Date   Time   Pick                    Early Odds

5/17    1:10    NY Mets                  +126

5/17    1:10    Tampa                    +112

5/17    3:55    Cleveland                 -106

5/17    8:10    Arizona                   -125

5/17    7:10    Kansas City             +112

 

 

 

1.)  Favorites are always to win 1 unit, dogs are always

1 unit to win whatever   the odds are…get the best odds possible. (Example 200 to win 100 on fav’s, 100 to win 200 on dogs for 100 per unit bettors).

2.)    Play the same unit amount all season long.

3.)    Plays will be graded on the final line posted on www.Wagerline.com

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blues2112 22
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created a topic Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Sat May 17th
in MLB Betting

Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Sat May 17th

 

OK, off night a bit 2-3, and it happens to everyone, but still a profitable week so far with Sat and Sun left.

 

3-4 Monday

5-2 Tuesday

3-3 Wednesday

2-2 Thursday

2-3 Friday

15-14 for the week so far (+1.64 Units) The goal for the end of the month is to be between +15-20 units total….Last week I went 16-11 …..

           

April                       24-20           +3.56 Units

May                       34–28           +6.34 Units

Yearly Total              58-48          +9.90 Units

                           (54.71%)       

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blues2112 22
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replied to Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Fri May 16th
in MLB Betting
traderX..I thinkyou are right..but I have a tendency to get greedy when I start to mess with my units...and it almost ALWAYS bites me in the ass...So I have learned that my dumb ass needs to stick to one unit amount all season long and forget about second mortgages to pay 3-Finger-Louie off
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replied to Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Fri May 16th
in MLB Betting
cmh947s I will not take credit for this...I cut and paste, but this is why a set unit amount works, and a % of bankroll approach does not.
 
There is no % of bankroll I use....Many money management systems that I’ve seen suggest varying your standard wager based on a fixed percentage of the current size of your bankroll each week. Thus, if you started the season with a bankroll of $10,000 and bet 5% of your bankroll on each game, you’d be starting the season betting $500 per game. If you won $1000 that first week, you’d then be betting 5% of $11,000, or $550, on each game the next week. If you had lost $1000 then you’d be wagering 5% of $9,000, or $450. And as the bankroll rises and falls, so would your betting unit for that week. The problem with this system is two-fold. Let’s say that you are in a 10 week season and you bet 10 games per week. You start the season with a $10,000 bankroll and bet 5% of your current bankroll on each game for that week. Below is a week by week breakdown of that 10 week season in which that person won 56% of their bets.

Week Bankroll x 0.05 = $ Per Game Wins-Losses Profit/Loss
Week 1 $10,000 x 0.05 = $500 8-2 +$2,900
Week 2 $12,900 x 0.05 = $650 7-3 +$2,405
Week 3 $15,305 x 0.05 = $770 4-6 -$2,002
Week 4 $13,303 x 0.05 = $670 6-4 +$1,072
Week 5 $14,375 x 0.05 = $720 7-3 +$2,664
Week 6 $17,039 x 0.05 = $850 5-5 - $425
Week 7 $16,614 x 0.05 = $830 6-4 +$1,328
Week 8 $17,942 x 0.05 = $900 5-5 -$450
Week 9 $17,492 x 0.05 = $870 6-4 +$1,392
Week 10 $18,884 x 0.05 = $940 2-8 -$6,392
Total $12,492 56-44

This person profited $2,492 on a 56-44 season, but had he bet $500 per game all season long, he would have been up $3,800 ($500 x 56 - $550 x 44). The problem was that the best part of his season was the first two weeks, when he was wagering the smallest amounts per game. Upon building a substantial profit, his worst week (the final week) came when he was betting the most. There is no reason why games in the middle or end of a profitable season should be worth a larger wager than bets made early in the season when the chance of winning each wager is the same.

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blues2112 38
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replied to Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Fri May 16th
in MLB Betting
If you use a local, your bankroll should be $2000 for a $100 per unit bettor
 
If you use the internet, it should be $4000 for every $100 per unit bettor - the reason for this is you will need to be able to survive the downturn without burning through your bankroll.  With a local, no money changes hands until payday - which for me is every 2 Fridays..
 
So, the important part of this system, is that if you choose $100 per unit as your base unit, leave it there.  Do not change up or down unit amounts...UNTIL you bankroll grows and you can afford to go to $200 a play or whatever..but do not vary your units..once you decide to go up in units..Leave it there and play $200 until your bankroll grows....
 
I can tell you that I start with a set unit amount each season and I do not change it. Until the next season. I do this for Basketball and Baseballl every year.
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blues2112 38
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replied to Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Fri May 16th
in MLB Betting
hey Mac...I have been doing some thinking..and I know it will not be a popular opionion..but I think the Tribe needs........gulp.......BONDS.
 
Short porch in right field he would have a field day with..Get Hafner back on 1st...it would surely shake up the lineup and maybe get everyones head screwed on straight...
 
TSK..give me through the weekend and I'll try and post something about dogs/favs vs each day of the week..there might be something there..but blanket bets generally do not hold up...We'll find out though.
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blues2112 38
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replied to Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Fri May 16th
in MLB Betting
By the way.....didn't like the fact that I have 4 favs and only 1 dog..but it's just the way the numbers worked out today...
 
GL
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replied to Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Fri May 16th
in MLB Betting

 

1.)  Favorites are always to win 1 unit, dogs are always

1 unit to win whatever   the odds are…get the best odds possible. (Example 200 to win 100 on fav’s, 100 to win 200 on dogs for 100 per unit bettors).

2.)    Play the same unit amount all season long.

3.)    Plays will be graded on the final line posted on www.Wagerline.com

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blues2112 38
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replied to Blue’s Baseball System Picks –Fri May 16th
in MLB Betting

5 Plays for Friday

 

Date   Time   Pick                         Early Odds

5/16    7:05    Washington             +115

5/15    7:10    Florida                    -131

5/15    7:10    Cincinnati                -118

5/16    8:05    Houston                  -112

5/16    10:10  Chicago White Sox    -105

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blues2112 38
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