Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
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Magic -1
O / 196.5 parlay 1 unit Hornets -2.5 1 unit Bucks 0/ 186 3 unit Pistons -2.5 2 unit Raptors +7 1 unit Raptors O / 201 2 unit Bobcats U/ 194.5 1 unit Bulls + 1 2 unit Dallas U /196 3 unit Nuggets -2 O / 220 Parlay 1unit Parlay Nugs-2 Bucks 0/186 Bobcats U/ 194.5 Dallas U /196 1 unit 10-1 odds |
bookslapper | 1 |
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0-2 yesterday -3 units
tonight Sharks - 130 3 unit Montreal / Boston U / 5 +105 1 unit Coyotes / Stars O /5.5 +110 3 unit Ottawa / Flames U / 5.5 1 unit Ducks / Canucks U / 5.5 1 unit Canucks -1.5 w/ U 5.5 Parlay 1 unit |
bookslapper | 2 |
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Penguins -1.5 + 190
2 unit 1st period Penguins -.5 + 150 1 unit yesterday 1-2-1 -3.55 units |
bookslapper | 7 |
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Quote Originally Posted by neverlayoff: Just saying your guna lay -200 or more with Nashville lol Tough game ,but GL I'd like to see Edmonton win ,but couldnt back them tonight,but I definitely would not lay -200 on Nashville. U/5.5 seems pretty solid |
Need_Me | 15 |
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Quote Originally Posted by HutchEmAll:
If your friend had gotten Green Bay +7 yesterday, do you think he would have changed his wager amount? I would guess so. So if you determine you are getting a 2 point advantage, you'd still bet the same as if you thought you were getting a 5 point advantage? That's idiotic. Your words not mine. I stated that for most bets I placed units randomly. Obviously there will always be lines that seem to be more favorable. If you thought GB+7 was a knock out play- then you would have won easily. Every one views lines differently and most bet their own ways. I was not suggesting nor implying to do any thing differently than you already do. GL |
bookslapper | 11 |
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or 1k per game and make 68k
That does work long term with an appropriate bankroll. But remember I'm speaking of the average bettors. People that dont have the proper bankroll, but are trying desperately to win. If you went at the 100 per game approach for 10 years but increased your roll each season- you could win this way,but how many bettors have this type of long term planning? |
bookslapper | 11 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Mr-Unit: I dont understand, you say same unit size isn't a great way. Then you say you changed to betting larger for stronger plays, then what you went back to same unit size between 1-2 unit each? this isnt very clear I'm not the greatest writer and I could see how above reads a bit confusing. Simple explanation I dont agree with betting the same amount per game- If you are an average bettor this will get you now where -short term or long term. When I refer to the average bettor. Im suggesting a person that bets 50-100 per game. I did bet like this years ago. I began to increase the amount of my wager on the strength of the play or my gut feeling. For me this was not working either. i actually lost more in a short period of time. I began chasing my bigger plays which resulted in more money be lost quickly. Now I play games typically from 1-5 units. For most bets the unit value is not an indication of the strength of the play. For the most part the unit value is placed randomly..... Its all a numbers game in the end. |
bookslapper | 11 |
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what are the tears for?
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bookslapper | 11 |
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I recently had a debate with a friend of mine that bets pretty regularly. His position is that betting some games with increased unit value will lead to destruction at some point for the average bettors.He bets thru a local on full game sides or totals and always bets the same -$100.
I'm not sure of the exact % he hits because I am unaware of every play he makes. I assume he hits under 60% as do most bettors. My argument to his point is simple. If you bet 100 per game and bet 1 play per day at the end of the year your profits are minimal. Even hitting at 60% you stand to make around 6800 - vig. But to be realistic I'd say most will make around 3k with this approach- hitting around 55.5 %. With the time it takes to come up with winners-making 3k at the end of the year is completely pointless. My opinion only. I did bet this way 10 years ago when I 1st started doing this on a regular basis. For years I got no where. On occasions I would get lucky with a parlay or 2 and with drawl some cash and it did come in handy at the time. But really I wasnt improving my position at all. Once I began spreading the $ in 1-5 unit plays I did start to gain steam. When I 1st started with this approach I would play heavier on games that I felt stronger about. That wasnt working as great as I planned. Really labeling my plays as stronger due to the unit value didnt seem to make a significant change in my profits. Once I through that approach out the window I started the see profits more consistently. My approach is simple- I dont place more $ on a line just because I feel stronger about it than another-(though we all have lines that jump at us and we lay heavier at times this was not the approach that I saw working long term) on most plays I simply just place a unit value on it and let it ride. Spreading 5-10 units among 2-4 plays has worked greatly for me. I have seen consistent profits ever since I began this approach. To some it may seem wreck less. But thats how I do it and will never change the way I do it. I have gone at this betting in many different ways,but never have I seen a consistent pattern of winning until the past 2 seasons. I wrote about this to see what other bettors are doing and how they bet. comments welcome... |
bookslapper | 11 |
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Quote Originally Posted by cubicman: GL to you also Cubic |
bookslapper | 4 |
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Chicago / Calgary
O /5.5 + 100 2 unit Blackhawks O /2.5 goals -145 3 unit Detroit O /3 goals -120 2 units Canucks - 1.5 goals +110 / O 5.5 Parlay 1 unit 1-1 yesterday -3.60 units 18 - 11 - 3 +19.30 units 9-6 1 unit 3-3-1 2 unit 3-1-1 3 unit 1-1 4 unit 2-0-1 5 unit |
bookslapper | 4 |
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Ouch 2-0 Jersey
they are getting hot 1-1day - 3.60 units |
bookslapper | 4 |
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Same
GL |
bookslapper | 4 |
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Quote Originally Posted by claude_gir0ux: one more for the caps plz ? UR good- With 34 minutes to play you will get your goal. GL |
bookslapper | 11 |
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Quote Originally Posted by bevoaustintx: O1.5 2ND PERIOD Seems like a solid play. GL |
bookslapper | 11 |
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Claude- thats how I feel. There is nothing like a victory dance. I almost left this as a lean only,but played it in the last half hour prior to starting. I was a bit nervous but it all worked out. Glad you cashed as well.
GL today |
bookslapper | 11 |
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H-B Day
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weeble5672 | 49 |
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U/
+ 2 units |
bookslapper | 11 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Lucky7th: 27-24 Steelers after a last 2 min game-winning drive by Ben.... Im with you here. I think the Pack control most of the game ,but lose it in the end. I'm not going to bet a side today maybe not even the total ,but O/ is looking the best in my opinion. I will more than likely wait for a 2nd half total of some kind- team or game total. Looking at some props now, but nothing really jumping at me. GL |
thehuntman | 22 |
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Thank you Sir
GL today |
bookslapper | 11 |
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