Bridge1

BRIDGE PLAY

MINNESOTA +13.5

I hit this 14.5 last night when it came out at FD and very quickly folks quickly thought better and moved it down .. still too high it feels like the decision vector for where this should be is like 9.5 to 10.5 and frankly with a clearly down motivation and easy blowout wins recently I'd think this could adjust to like 8 or 8.5 before I'd call it a no play even for fun bucks

This is such a massive game for Minny once again and PSU just sitting there sulking out of the driver seat right now .. hard to find the motivation for Nitneys to do anything but show up and get a win here they need OSU to lose 2 to make the champ game which looks really unlikely but simply a win would do the job to jump OSU if buckeyes lose all control and tank their final two .. PSU might want a big win for their playoff resume but it only effects the seeding at this point and would need a reallly big win to have a chance to change that I'd imagine .. 7 pt win on the road vs decently scrappy minny team is as good as a 14 pt win or more .. maybe revenge in mind for the big loss they had back in '19 lol .. But that said this is such a big home spot for Minny and maybe easy Purdue and Wash win keeping this line higher than it should be .. think 9 ..

BRIDGE PLAY

INDIANA +11

Will it shoot to 14.5?... Will it dip to 7??? .. idk honestly I've been hitting this look ahead line at FD for a few weeks now think we got it 13.5, 10.5 and DK has it for 11 this AM so I got wayyy more than enuff to call it a BP and yeah for the record let's call it that at the +11 spot .. 

We spotted this INDY team up early in the pre-ssn and big RSW play on the over 5.5 .. I recall all of you thinking I'd truly gone mad but what we knew is GENERAL PATTON .. I mean Curt Cignetti wasn't F'in around and soon we'd all find out .. in fairness I didn't predict anything like the ssn they'd have of course but we knew they could put a big fun one together after a couple weeks with strong depth of experienced players and a team that plays at all 3 levels .. very strong special teams is so often the diff .. I think we see a great performance one they've been gearing toward knowing this spot was coming and we'll see .. takin our dudes .. OSU with a hate filled revenge spot in THE GAME for week 14 and appears to have Oregon rematch locked in as potential CCG opponent .. and now we got Cignetti sitting in what is very often a Terrible spot for the buckeyes every year .. thats basically why we took NU last week and we saw OSU get knocked down by them very early .. but for NU making some LEVEL-10000 BONEHEAD plays this woulda been maybe a 7-10 point game .. alas we ultimately did have to sweat out a cover .. but yeah we can maybe still rely on OSU as a program and Ryan Day as a HC (and maybe as a Man too lol) absolutely needing 3 big wins in a row and entirely possible CIGGY shows up with a game plan he's not totally ready for .. 

We hit Indy 80-1 conf and posted that back in week 4 and I subsequently grabbed them again at 50-1 .. so we have quite a MASSIVE incentive to hedge that OSU wins this game .. I certainly will hoping the line dips and we get better ML odds and I think the line will def dip here maybe not by the sharpies but the masses have proven effective in moving lines around .. think we see that here and maybe see it back under 10 late in the week maybe sooner than that .. either way if yer tailin on the MASSIVE CONF odds yeah we gotta get something for taking the risk on Indy should OSU do what's expected of them this week .. - GOOD LUCK!

SMALLER

BOSTON COLLEGE +2.5

Supposed to get murdered last game w BIG PAUL CASTALLANOS whacked from the team .. alas they do have a QB who can step in that isin't terrible and a team that's still playing hard .. UNC is off a bowl clinching win up the tobacco road at wake last week and now a real road game in a pretty obvious down spot if not maybe a legit dead spot for the HEELS .. this isint a rivalry and here they are on the road 11am game in boston cold n maybe a bit windy maybe.. I could def see the home team show up to clinch their bowl and UNC kinda rationalize sleeping in on this one with their BIIIIG RIVAL NC State on deck .. Gotta keep it smaller as I don't know the status of the BC roster and def a team that could be falling apart late ssn .. but new QB Grayson James played pretty well to date in limited action and just a spot where if the team shows up they can absolutely will their way to a win here .. very huuuge diff in quality of these teams from one that shows up and one that doesn't so its a game to throw out power ratings and the angles and such and just ask who showing up I think .. GO EAGLES!

BRIDGE PLAY

OKLAHOMA +14.5

It really is just win and yer in for Alabama right now and yer on the road in Norman with Auburn lingering on deck .. OU has 5 wins going for a bowl game .. This looked like a very likely shock surprise spot when checking the schedule pre-ssn and while the perception of Oklahoma has changed this spot actually does remain quite strong .. OU does have a few guys to play defense and has gotten somewhat healthier on offense and just BAMA IN NORMAN alone is enough to wake some of those guys out of their comas and jump out their hospital beds .. its SUCH a massive game I can't see it being a dud of any kind very much like what we just did w Wisco albeit not the nasty ugly lead in for bama true .. but again they just need to survive an advance and Deboer has not done a great job covering the bigger spreads .. think this one he won't get close to .. Gotta call it a BP even if FD doesn't let me MAX it how I want to I hit it 14 at DK also .. wager amount is still on the smaller side for now but I'll be hunting for 14 or better all morning .. good luck!

SMALLER

SOUTH BAMA -21.5

So Miss has been such an EPIC fade this year they've basically been on the mat since week 2 after their FCS win and never got up again .. we spotted this team as a total disaster early and there's only one way to play this one .. So Bama at 5 wins obvi lookin to make a bowl game but overriding that is they have a shot at the division still .. not in the driver seat but the odds are not unsubstantial for them to make it .. yeah I think they put these guys thru the floor once again .. So Miss really is just that bad .. I'd play for more if FD didn't limit me .. fading so miss been easily my most profitable team this year and maybe in all years so yeah if Jags pitch a dud here fine we can live with that .. LET'S GOOOO!!

BRIDGE PLAY

NEBRASKA +1.5

Hit this spread and ML -102 for just enough I can call it a BP but again I'm limited at FAN so smaller side BP and will probably pad my bet further if possible .. We took Wisco +14 feeling they'd throw their best punch of the season and it sure felt like it .. start of H2 with a quick stop and best drive of the season just punishing Oregon's D right down the field only to be stopped short of a TD and settled for 3 totally put OREGON on the ropes and if Bucky had anything left on offense late in that game they'd have won it .. alas multiple late drives produced ZILCH for them except a few more guys had to leave with injuries .. very VERY physical game and I think that weights these guys down this week going on the road to Lincoln .. Nebraska is another team that played real tough last week @USC and seemingly got their QB back .. no quit in them and going for their bowl game at home .. this is MUST WIN territory because next week @IOWA will be a much tougher ask than lockin up the bowl this week .

Just seeing Dylan Raiola come back from injury and play really well is a signals that this team will rally and unlike so many other QB's who are probably thinking about their portal prospects right now, Raiola's connection to the school and family legacy, etc is something worth relying on that should keep this team playing hard down the stretch .. on the flip side Wisco with injuries PILING up now and the offense is just so putrid that if the D isin't quite right in this game I could see Neb win easy .. Rarely say it but getting points in this big home spot?... yeah .. GO HUSKERS!!

FAN DUEL PRE OPEN .. 

SMALLER

UMASS +45.5

UGA off such a brutal battle and w a pretty scrappy GT on deck this just doesn't seem like the lock down murder spot its expected to be .. Umass lost their good QB Tysooon Phooomemmamchaoon for the season and the backup stepped in and the team played Liberty into overtime last week .. Doubt it was Lib's best game either .. Kirby is well known for pulling punches in these spots like vs UT Martin last year and just every other big monster line spot and nothing looks like a slower yawn game than this one, get the backups in early, won't have any impact on the conf standings or any other standings type game .. would play for a decent amount but FAN has me on a bit of a leash so smaller it is ..  good luck!

WEST VIRGINIA +2.5

Still chasing that elusive bowl game and at home off a big loss to baylor feels like the spot to find it .. most importantly WV hasn't quit on itself and they should give a best effort here vs a UCF D that is not only in bad shape but many 2-deep backups have hit the portal and the coordinator has been fired, etc .. .. UCF is not dead yet but it doesn't feel like this is their best spot either they've cycled thru a few QB's and might actually have found a good one and the offense should be not bad .. that side also had a chance w HC giving up playcalling duties .. UCF surprisingly hasn't quit yet but I don't see this as a great spot for them .. The situation we hope for is to land this one and play it back at UCF for their finale vs UTAH in DA BOUNZE HOOOUZE which could be a big fun home win for them a week from this one .. but yeah don't think they should be layin pts on the road in what at best feels like a big back/forth shootout vs a motivated team lookin to lock up a bowl .. I could also see just kindof a dud performance outta the Knights too .. 

good luck!

BP WK12 .. 1-0 .. 22-16 YTD
SM WK12 .. 2-0 .. 47-52 YTD

WK12 RECAP:

BRIDGE PLAYS
NORTHWESTERN +30.5 

SMALLER
NEW MEXICO +13.5 
WISCONSIN +14 

SMALLER

WISCONSIN +14 (CZRs)

Its one of the nastiest spots on the entire CFB schedule and pre-ssn this was Wisco +9.5 or so .. Oregon is the only team w 8 straight conf game stretch this year and ends in mid novemeber @ Camp Randall an we now know its a night game .. Oregon has survived every nasty spot along the way and there were quite a few .. up to recently they knocked every bad spot out the park but I will say the trip to Mich and Maryland wasn't their best games and here we are for Wisco looking to make a name .. I can't bridge play this one but spot alone says play it for a good size smaller and you'll def find Wisco ML hangin out in a parlay or two .. good luck!

HEISMAN TALK .. 

Feelin great w T-HUNT at 75-1 .. DUUUH!!!

T-HUNT feels like a secure ticket though as he should get his numbers and a W vs Utah .. the game @KU is a little scary but another we should put up great stats .. then close the year out w a totally dead n gone OK.State team in boulder gunna be a big massive emotional game Prime can lock up his CCG ticket and likely lock up his protege into the heisman as I don't think it'll matter much once Buffs make it .. 

I also got Jeanty at 100-1 like week 2 or so and think he's the main threat but I didn't post it because ESPN kept their pre ssn odds up as he was smoking the stats in one of their first games and it didn't stay up long / wasnt widely available  .. Jeanty needs just under 900 yds to break the all time rush yds record, an achievement that at one time probably locked him into a heisman win and no way they aren't going to angle to hit that .. ASH has been putting up the numbers still but really the strength of schedule and lack of another major late season BIG GAME is really hurting his profile .. it should also be said that Barry hit the rushing record in 11 games .. not 14 and while I'd expect the most selfless humble Barry Sanders to hype a guy that (sorta) breaks his record, that little factoid is something Prime might ensure doesnt get lost on voters esp the past heisman winners who no doubt admire him as a former elite player and mentor and producer of elite players  .. again I alreay got this 100-1 so im buttoned up for him .. 

Cam Ward off a loss now at 8-1 or so .. a romp thru his champ game would be very impressive .. and generally speaking he's been far and away the most impressive QB in CFB this year .. he needs to put on a BIG CAM SHOW to end the ssn and if we goes HAM from here and if Jeanty falls short of the rushing record / pitches some so-so games late .. Buffs lose badly in the champ game or worse yet don't make it .. welp .. both decent chance of happening and Cam would I think be at least neck n neck w the fav .. I do think Gabriel is good and would have the resume but he's not even the best QB IMO but could be persuasive beating OSU twice and a big show really might secure it for him... a big heisman key is of course QB on undefeated team and beating a big high ranked champ game team .. I still think CAM has the biggest threat potential if he goes superelectric ..  

HEDGE ..

ASHTON JEANTY .. Noted above already 100-1 ticket for me but If you hedge him now tho check Circa 8-1 and BM has close to that .. Plenty of 3.5-1's out there at the dummy books that are worth avoiding .. 

CAM WARD 8-1 .. FAN and ESPN have these odds .. most books price him in this neighborhood .. 

DILLON GABRIEL 4.5-1 .. Circa and BM have these odds or very close ..  don't waste money on 3.5 or so def shop for this one .. 

I took both CAM and DILL because I'm well hedged on Jeanty already an my hope is to have a checkmate on the guys who make it to NY w my biggest ticket as the lead horse .. good luck however you play it .. WOOOP WOOOOP!!!

SSN WINS ... 11-1 ... NO BRAKES ON THIS TRAIN .. LET'S GO!! 

E. CAROLINA OVER 5.5 -150 

FUTURES .. LIVE ONLY ..  A few have died and a few but QUITE A FEW STILL KICKIN!! .. if yer tailin then time to start thinking about a hedge on some of em and get a payday locked in .. 

SMU 22-1 .. 1.5 .. FRONT RUNNER!
INDIANA 80-1 .. 10-1
IOWA STATE 12-1  .. 7-1
W.MICHIGAN 10-1  .. 5-1
GA SOUTHERN 25-1  .. 4-1
SAM HOUSTON 30-1  .. 10-1
ARIZONA STATE 100-1 .. 12-1

NATTY:
SMU 500-1 .. 50-1

HEISMAN:
TRAVIS HUNTER 75-1 .. +120 .. FRONT RUNNER!

CONF PARLAY:
UGA, BOISE, W.MICH 36.1-1 .. 87-1 .. FRIGGIN UGA .. 

MICH PAR-FADE:
TEX -4, OREG -4, MSU+22, OSU -10.5  ..  12.3-1 .. COUNT IT .. SWISH ... 

SSN WINS TALK .. 

E.CAROLINA looks to get wrapped up as a big fav this week .. such a disappointment but we knew that they were a proud team and if the season went a little haywire like it did then they probably would still fight hard for a bowl game and that's why we layed the juice at 5.5 when we had even odds for 6 and +odds for 6.5 .. might be a downer game if they clinch a bowl and Bridge Army will be rooting for those that took the higher number.. this feels pretty close to a lazer lock at this pt ..  

CAL same thing big HUUUGE home spot for them and terrible spot for syracuse we saw these spots when making this pick and even w a bummer of a start we figured they'd have ample opportunity to land a 6th win if they whiffed on some other spots but maaaan this shoulda happened already 1 score loss @FSU, 1 pt miracle loss vs Miami, 2 pt loss at Pitt and 1 pt loss vs NC State .. minor miracle we still got a shot still because we marked the finale @SMU as a big massive lock loss .. but here we are as a solid fav vs Cuse and Rivalry w Stanford on deck will no doubt be another big fav .. lotta room to hedge out into a decent payday if needed but think we can let it ride this week and assess that vs Stan .. think 75% shot we land this one .. 

UCLA .. woah nellie what was a lock down drag em out no questions asked dead team walking no shot at a bowl game now looks poised to turn those fortunes around .. the good news is we really like Wash at home and they need this game to secure a bowl as their final game after is @Oregon .. certainly show up but Huskies should be very interested in getting this win and even being SUPER DOG SH!T on the road they have been legit money for their home crowd .. UCLA loss here means must win USC .. a HUUUGE revenge spot and then we'll see Fresno might be lookin to bag a P5 win to close things out on a high note for an otherwise crappy season .. think 50/50 shot we still land this one .. 

Predicting a possible worst case 11-3 but no big surprise if we close out up 13-1 .. 

Let's catch up on some season stuff .. woah nellie .. SSN WINS .. 10-1 with 3 to go .. 

SSN WINS:
LSU UNDER 9.5 -110 
VANDY OVER 2.5 -120 
INDIANA OVER 5.5 +125 
MICHIGAN UNDER 9 -140 
S.CAROLINA OVER 5.5 -120 
MINNESOTA OVER 5.5 +115 
GA SOUTHERN OVER 5  -115 
FLORIDA ST UNDER 9.5 -115  
GA SOUTHERN OVER 4.5 -175 
SAM HOUSTON OVER 4.5 -130 
E. CAROLINA OVER 5.5 -150 
CAL OVER 5.5 -135 
UCLA UNDER 5.5 +120 
PITT UNDER 5.5 -125 

SMALLER

NEW MEXICO +13.5

Took it for a bigger BP but the BP number was 14 and I missed it so gunna offer a SM on this one .. NM has a chance at maybe the most insane and improbable run to a bowl game after looking like a MASSIVE OUTLIER in the power ratings going into the season .. Wash State has slowly snuck up on everyone with only 1 loss to Boise and this spot is just pure ugly going to a pretty stiff elevation and chasing Jean Claud Van DAM-PIERRE around, NM really needs the mojo back on offense and its do or die they NEED this win to stay bowl eligible .. The flip side of this coin is Wash State is shooting for 11-1 record and at least an argument for the playoff .. their main blotch on the resume is of course strength of schedule and haven't won games by many points and got throttled by Boise .. they need to be 11-1 and can't have close games vs New Mexico so you'd think if they can pin NM down and throttle em big they will .. that said .. really jerky very late roadie in the high elevation and a PAC-2 championship game on deck which was far and away the most important game of the year for them going back to when the schedule was made .. just not one I think you are granted free 2 TD's and like the propsect of BRONCO having his team and game plans ready .. def looks / feels like an epic shootout and our play loses if NM cant keep up .. that said I think this is down to 11 or so by kickoff w out unfortunate news so .. GO LOBOS!

BRIDGE PLAY

NORTHWESTERN +30.5

Its just a pure spot play NU with just a go for broke attitude at this point and need to clear 2 more wins for a bowl .. im sure they aren't expecting a win here but if Braun has his team together playing hard still we should see it here vs a top team at home .. OSU is in a position with lowly NU before finish the year w a brutal stretch of INDY, MICH and most likely OREGON all super max efforts and they clear those hurdles nobody will remember a 1 point win from a month ago they'll be toppin the charts again .. if OSU wants to crush this team or NU makes mistakes and gives em easy points we know it can be over by halftime so we anyone on board we gotta x our fingers on a few things out of our control but it really does feel like a spot where OSU wouldn't take too many risks w player injuries or show off their latest installed plays before they need them .. wanted 31.5 but don't mind this number and think market could eventually push this down to 28 or maybe even 27.5 by kickoff if we don't get unfortunate injuries or some other drastic news .. good luck!

BP WK9,10,11 ... 1-1 .. 21-16 YTD
SM WK9,10,11 ... 4-2 .. 45-52 YTD

WEEKS 9,10,11 .. 

BRIDGE PLAY
UNLV +3.5 WK9 
OREGON (GOY) WK10 -3.5 

SMALLER
FLORIDA ST +17.5 WK9 
SYRACUSE +3.5 WK9
MIAMI +2 (GOY) WK9 
TEXAS A&M -1 (GOY) WK9 
MICHIGAN ST +22 (GOY) WK9 
OLE MISS +7.5 (GOY) WK11 

Sorry keep you waiting complicated business, had to step out for a minute .. sooo where were we .. 

POSTED WK8:

BRIDGE PLAY
UNLV +3.5 

SMALLER
SYRACUSE +3.5
FLORIDA ST +17.5

PRE-SSN PLAYS:

SMALLER
MIAMI +2
TEXAS A&M -1
MICHIGAN ST +22

BP WK8 1-1  .. 20-15 YTD
SM WK8 1-6 .. 41-50 YTD .. eesh

BRIDGE PLAYS
MICH / ILL OVER 44 
IOWA ST / UCF OVER 49.5 

SMALLER
MARYLAND +7.5 
MID-T -9.5 
PURDUE 32.5 
SAM HOUSTON -1.5 
HOUSTON +8.5 
LOUISVILLE +6.5 
BAMA / TENN OVER 58.5 

FUN BETS

ECU ML/O53.5 13.5-1
CHAR ML/O56.5 12.2-1
ALL TOGETHER .. 192-1

Not that I'm not convinced in Army but its possibly the hardest test for ECU and pirates with their backs against the wall in a pretty big way right here .. think the over is possible anyway and almost certainly seems like this has to hit for ECU to have a shot here .. if Army pulls ahead they could romp em to the over but imagine Army actually needing to play catchup and we'll see if ECU maintains its lightning quick attack and if its effective at all .. if it is then think good shot to win and total bonanza .. 

Charlotte well we don't know, its a team that finally found success maybe their biggest win in the last .. ever ?... certainly their strongest win .. ECU was in a major down spot but after all those losses you'd think they'd have put up more of a fight in that spot .. so its very possible Charlotte found something with the new QB and looking at their roster its chalk full of former P5-ers and not many injuries quite a few playmakers .. it would be a surprise if the team has changed so dramatically that they insert themselves into the AAC champ game convo but it wouldn't be without some reasons all things considered even the horrific start vs JMU and hit n miss struggles before they potentially got themselves turned around right when conference started .. we'll seeeeeeeeeeeeee.. good luck!