byroncard

9/5/2019 5 PM Thursday Season Opener.

Nice hit on Edelman!

Talk about a game of inches. O FUCK!!! INT!

The only trend that I saw that was 100% was....you don't fucking challenge a Hopkins sideline catch. 100% loss this year.

LOL at Durant 2 feet out of bounds....play on.

When you are picking dogs and the spread doesn't come into play usually....could you play the moneyline for the dogs and the spread for the favorites?

First off! Thank you for this post.  Very informative.

I'm in a weekly pickem league with some friends, not ATS, winners only. There are 24 of us. I have won a disproportionate, 4 weeks so far. I am 136-70. I have been wondering, if I was betting these ATS what would it look like. This gives me some idea.  

Don't they have to free kick it?

Does anyone have any links to the latest going for 2 math? It was on the forums maybe a month ago.  I need to reread this. Thanks.

Bears then Chiefs.

Sorry! Meant Indy/OAK. Was watching NYG when I typed this out.

I can't seem to figure out who wants to lose this game the most. Vegas Raiders are obviously in tank mode, trade 2/3 of their best players and headed to Vegas. Wouldn't be surprised for them to tank trying to move up the draft order.

Indy is 2-5 - maybe luck still has something to prove?

Thoughts?

I'm looking forward to Minny/Rams on Thursday next week.

Take a quick peak at: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value

Long story short. In the long run all that really matter is having positive EV. Example if you were betting $100 on an actual 50/50 coin flip except you won $110 if you won and only lost $100 if you lost, you wouldn't have to work anymore if you could play the game as many times as you wanted. Since no one has a crystal ball, the goal is to put your money in well as many times as possible.

If you take out the 7-0 game, he has a ~1.5 GAA in his last 7 games, including 2 games that went to OT. He is actually playing pretty well. I think the side is a 50/50, but happy to take + $.  

Fluery has given up 11 goals in the last 3 games. He seems a little rattle to me since pitching 2 shutouts in a row to LA/SJ. I like the Sharks at + $ and the over.

How much $$ do you have at 125-1?

I think that he actually hit it just below his glove on the shaft, but it is too hard to tell. I once scored a similar goal in hockey, but I know 100% it went off my stick.

This is such a dominant thrashing. Sharks shots don't even seem like they have a chance to go in.

I first did read it as if you said it to me, but then reread it and thought you meant OP.