CapperSharp

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replied to Thursday Night Football in NFL Betting Easy money!!!!! View Post \| View Thread	CapperSharp	2	December 12, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to This thread is for sports betting information & money mangement in NFL Betting Dealing with numbers and betting into a number set by an oddsmaker, isn’t that some type of scientific proof or formula? When you do your own numbers and compare them to the bookmaker’s numbers, who’s to say that your numbers couldn’t be used as the line for any given game? Ultimately, the key is to determine whether the oddsmaker use art or science to come up with the betting line for the game. Since my picks are based on a formula that combines a variety of factors, some mathematically verifiable and some based on common sense, I believe that sports handicapping is 60% science and 40% art. A successful handicapper cannot solely rely on statistics nor can he solely rely XE system trends and general knowledge involving some type of behavioral and situational analysis to make a reliable recommendation. Here’s an example of analyzing a system trend: if the Toronto Maple Leafs are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and have scored 2 goals FOR in their last 5 games, one would assume we have a fatigue team on our hands. Is this rocket science to figure out the Leafs are tired and victims of bad scheduling? No it’s called doing your homework! View Post \| View Thread	CapperSharp	48	December 12, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to This thread is for sports betting information & money mangement in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Second2-Numbers: ...and for post # 20 . It came from here: https://linemakers.sportingnews.com/nfl/2014-12-10/cardinals-vs-rams-line-pick-point-spread-betting-odds-prediction-vegas?iadid=Nav_Sport_LINEMAKERS_3 Cappershrap ? I don't and never ever will tell or sell any pics I make my own money young lady or young man whoever you are with the cute girl picture I make my own money off my own pics I never have to sell anything I make a good living so you need to get a job and do your own thing other than bothering people Oh well, we'll know where it's heading right ? Sports betting info ? Really ? sound like Free pick to me ! View Post \| View Thread	CapperSharp	48	December 12, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to This thread is for sports betting information & money mangement in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Second2-Numbers: ...and for post # 20 . It came from here: https://linemakers.sportingnews.com/nfl/2014-12-10/cardinals-vs-rams-line-pick-point-spread-betting-odds-prediction-vegas?iadid=Nav_Sport_LINEMAKERS_3 Cappershrap ? voice typing excusee the typos. I don't know what your problem is but I wish you would leave this thread people don't have time for negatives everybody's full of bull and all this other stuff I'm not here to do anything but give information to make good pics if you would have looked at my other pic online you would have said I seen I picked Thursday nights game tonight as the under but you know what people like you destroy good stuff for other people I think you need to take your funny looking girlfriend picture off and go somewhere else and whack off Oh well, we'll know where it's heading right ? Sports betting info ? Really ? sound like Free pick to me ! View Post \| View Thread	CapperSharp	48	December 12, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to This thread is for sports betting information & money mangement in NFL Betting The Line: Rams -4, Total: 40 Line movement: St. Louis opened as a 3-point favorite at multiple Las Vegas sports books on Sunday, but the spread moved up from there. A day before the game, the Westgate and William Hill were dealing Rams -4.5, The Wynn was at -4 (-120), and MGM Resorts and CG Technology were at -4. The total dropped from 40.5 to 40 at The Wynn and William Hill, and from 41 to 39.5 at the Westgate. For updated spreads and totals from around Las Vegas, visit our live odds page . Trends that matter: The Cardinals are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings. … The Cardinals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. … The UNDER is 21-5-1 in the Rams’ last 27 December games. … The UNDER is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings. Hill paying dividends: Journeyman Rams quarterback Hill is 3-1 as a starter and could be 4-0 if not for a goal-line pick he threw at San Diego in the waning moments. In last week’s win at Washington, Hill showed surprising agility when he scrambled to his right and fired a 41-yard strike to wide receiver Kenny Britt. Hill, 34, is 29-of-44 passing over his last two games, with five touchdowns (one rushing) and no turnovers. Arizona D bends but doesn’t break: Arizona ranks just 17th in total defense (355.4 ypg) and 24th in yards per play (5.6), but third in points allowed (18.3). The Cardinals let opponents score touchdowns on just 42.9 percent of their red-zone opportunities, which ranks second in the NFL, and Arizona is tied for third with a plus-10 turnover margin. The D-line stepped up in the win over K.C. as Frostee Rucker registered two sacks and Calais Campbell one. Injuries that matter: Cardinals starting cornerback Antonio Cromartie (ankle) would have a better chance of suiting up if it wasn’t a short week Since the change to Shaun Hill, the Rams have really slowed the pace, looking to run the ball and control the clock even more than usual. Their defense, meanwhile, has been stellar, holding three of their last four opponents to a touchdown or less. Arizona's scoring D has been excellent all season, resulting in a eight of their 13 games staying UNDER, with one push. I'm going UNDER the total on Thursday night. View Post \| View Thread	CapperSharp	48	December 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Is Rams under 40 a good bet? in NFL Betting Since the change to Shaun Hill, the Rams have really slowed the pace, looking to run the ball and control the clock even more than usual. Their defense, meanwhile, has been stellar, holding three of their last four opponents to a touchdown or less. Arizona's scoring D has been excellent all season, resulting in a eight of their 13 games staying UNDER, with one push. We're going UNDER the total on Thursday night. View Post \| View Thread	saigonbynight	23	December 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Thursday Night Football in NFL Betting This is a 3 unit play on ( UNDER ) Since the change to Shaun Hill, the Rams have really slowed the pace, looking to run the ball and control the clock even more than usual. Their defense, meanwhile, has been stellar, holding three of their last four opponents to a touchdown or less. Arizona's scoring D has been excellent all season, resulting in a eight of their 13 games staying UNDER, with one push. I'm going with UNDER the total on Thursday night. View Post \| View Thread	CapperSharp	2	December 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to This thread is for sports betting information & money mangement in NFL Betting #6 I don't view revenge games in pro football the same as I do for college football. Pro football players should be able to be motivated without having to rely on emotional factors such as revenge. My advice here is to leave revenge as a college angle. Angle #7: The Double Whammy This is an angle that applies very well to all sports betting. Look for teams that start their season with a long undefeated streak. In pro football, we would be looking for about 6-0, or so, but the total could be less. Once the undefeated team loses, bet against them in their next game. Sometimes teams lose because the have one bad game. Sometimes they lose because the other team is just better. Often, however, these teams lose because they are going out of sync for a period of time, or just haven't got the first loss out of their heads. At any rate, this is one of the oldest, and most profitable angles in sports betting and should be used whenever possible. Angle #8: The Home Underdog This could be the most well known sports betting angle of all time. Did you know, however, that just betting home underdogs is really a 50-50 proposition? It's true. A better home 'dog angle is to wait until a team is home for the second consecutive week and lost the previous home game. Of course, they will need to be an underdog this week to be a play under this angle. Angle #9: Pre-Season Football Here is a very solid football angle: Do not wager on pre-season football. Try another sport (baseball is in full swing) and wait for regular season opportunities when you know who is going to play and for how long. Please, don't waste your money. Angle #10: The Spoiler Teams that are out of the playoffs love to play the spoiler. The common public theory is that teams in must-win games will rise to the occasion over lowly non-contenders who are playing for nothing. I prefer to think the opposite way. Look for teams with nothing to lose. They play more relaxed and often come out gunning. I actually love watching these games because teams out of contention tend to pull out all the stops in an effort to pull of an upset. Angle #11: New Coach/Road Ruin The learning curve for NFL teams in general, and quarterbacks in particular, is huge when a new coach has been hired. Every coach or coordinator employs a unique offense. Unless a QB has played in a similar offense, he must basically learn his position anew. This spells disaster when teams are going on the road for the first time, and second time and third time... If a new coach has a rookie QB starting for him, well, they might not cover a road point spread all year long! This makes sports betting fun. If you're not sure what I mean, just think of David Carr in his rookie season with Houston!!!! View Post \| View Thread	CapperSharp	48	December 10, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to This thread is for sports betting information & money mangement in NFL Betting NFL Football Betting Basics Use key angles to identify hidden pro football betting opportunities and fatten your bank roll Angle #1: The Rebound This is an angle that's been around for a long time in all sports. Teams that look to be in bad recent form are a good bet to rebound in their next game. In this case, we are looking for teams that lost badly in their last game. Badly is defined as losing against the spread by 10 or more points. Next, we are looking for our down and out team to be playing a team that is flying high. Flying high is defined as a team that won against the spread by ten points or more. We are betting on the team that lost badly last week to rebound this week. Our minimum 'spread" in this case would be 20 (one lost against the spread by 10, while the other covered by 10). The bigger the 'spread," the better the wagering opportunity. Just remember, we are not talking about margins of victory or defeat here. Rather, we are talking about margins by which the spread was either covered, or not covered. Angle #2: The Anti-Wager: Here, we are looking for teams that either won or lost big last week without regard to the point spread. We are looking to bet against teams the won big if they are favored this week. We are also looking to bet for teams that lost in blowout fashion should they be the underdogs this week. An especially appealing wager using this angle would be to play a team that got blown out as a favorite last week, and is an underdog this week. The beauty of this wager is that it brings a lot of value, for the betting public (a) loves favorites, and (b) it goes against what the masses will logically (and wrongly) be thinking. Angle #3: Give the Offense a Rest The public loves to bet on high scoring offenses. We are going to bet against any team with an offense that has racked up big yardage and point totals for two consecutive weeks if they are favored in their next game. Teams in this situation have proven, for a variety of reasons, that they will eventually let down. We want to exploit the letdown. Angle #4: Good Defenses Beat Good Offenses As sports investors, we are interested in winning. Sometimes, winning isn't pretty. Pretty teams with good offenses are very fun to watch. Personally, I would rather win that be entertained. When a good offense meets up with a good defense, play the defense every time. Angle #5: The Streak Rule No, we aren't referring to college pranks here. We are talking about teams that are streaking in either a good or a bad way. This is a very simple angle: Bet against teams that have won three in a row, and bet for teams that have lost three in a row. Underdogs simply bring so much value to the table that it is a no-brainer to play them whenever View Post \| View Thread	CapperSharp	48	December 10, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to This thread is for sports betting information & money mangement in NFL Betting A Simple Proposition - Would You Take It? If I offered you a 10% advantage in a game of chance (55% for you vs. 45%) for 500 bets, would you take that bet? Of course you would. Over the long haul (500 bets), the law of large numbers dictates that you would end up very close to 55% winners (275 winners vs. 225 losers). If we were betting $100 per bet, you'd be up about $5,000 in the end. Easy money. Now let's say that I had one constraint. I told you you could start with no more than $500 (your bankroll) and if you ran out of money, you couldn't re-load. In essence, I was forcing you to bet 20% of your bankroll on each bet. Would you still take it? Think you could still take me for $5,000?/p> You had better not! You are virtually guaranteed to go bankrupt in this situation. Over the long haul, you will come close to 55% winners - it's a mathematical certainty. But, over the short term, you are guaranteed nothing. Strange streaks will happen. They always do. Over 500 bets, you could easily go 5 or 10 bets in a row (or even more) without winning. You could go 2-18 during a 500 bet session. If I forced you to bet 20% of your bankroll, you'd be crazy to do it because I would take your money like taking candy from a baby. Yet, in sports betting, most bettors routinely do the equivalent of taking this bet! Almost every sports bettor bets too much per game relative to the size of their bankroll. They don't think twice about laying half of the stration... A Tale Of Two Sports Bettors Risky John and Conservative Bob each started the season with $1000 - their bankroll. They both decided to play the same games throughout the season but they couldn't agree on how much to place on each game. John was more of a risk taker than Bob so John decided to bet about $200 per game (20% of his bankroll). Bob was more conservative and decided to risk about $50 per game (5% of his bankroll). Risky John figured that if he bet more, he could win more. And he was right. In week one, their picks went 4-2. John was up $360 while Conservative Bob only won $90. John was very pleased with himself. Week 2 produced the exact same result. Risky John now had a $1720 bankroll while Conservative Bob was up to just $1180. John was very happy. He encouraged Bob to bet more but Bob wasn't so sure about that strategy. What if their luck started to turn? Risky John preferred to think positively. Besides, they were 8-4 and they knew what they were doing! The first two weeks had proved that. But then came weeks 3 and 4 in which they went 2-4, 1-3. A bad run for sure, but not uncommon during a 16-week season. In fact, losing streaks are inevitable and guaranteed during a season. Conservative Bob lost $235 while Risky John gave back $940. John now had a lower bankroll than Bob! John was now down to $780. Risky John felt the losing couldn't possibly continue so he stuck with his bet size of $200 per game. The next two weeks they went 2-2 and 1-3. Guess what? Risky John was now virtually wiped out - down to $280. Bob, meanwhile lost $360 on the terrible four week run but still had $820 left over. One of them was virtually out of money, the other had over 80% of his original bankroll left. What happened next? Well, John quit. And, the unfortunate four-week run was followed by a great 3-week run where Conservative Bob went 10-3 and another 8 weeks of hitting a very respectable 56% on average. Bob ended up the season at over $1300 - an increase of 30% on his initial bankroll. View Post \| View Thread	CapperSharp	48	December 10, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to High Value Investment $$$$$$$$$$¢ in NFL Betting ??????? View Post \| View Thread	CapperSharp	11	December 10, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to This thread is for sports betting information & money mangement in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by mbialowas: Cool story bro.......... Get off the ddrugs son your a loosed!! View Post \| View Thread	CapperSharp	48	December 10, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to This thread is for sports betting information & money mangement in NFL Betting there's a lot of negative information from people who don't know much about sports and who think they know it all the more I learn the less I know too many of those people on here who don't make any money betting in their mind they imagine there a wise guy sharp but in reality there just a jokeI think most of you need to learn to grow up and act like an adult and handle your business and you might make some money our stay in your stupid mind in your stupid comments in just leave this thread alone this thread is for people who understand that they can always learn and grow and become better losers don't understand this language because they know everything and that's why they're broke living at moms house smoking crack View Post \| View Thread	CapperSharp	48	December 10, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to $$$$$ Denver vs San Diego Pick $$$$$$$$$ in NFL Betting at times, excuse the typos I'm voice typing and I apologize View Post \| View Thread	CapperSharp	18	December 10, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to $$$$$ Denver vs San Diego Pick $$$$$$$$$ in NFL Betting good information guys I see your point and understand why you're saying what you're saying but I don't see this even close San Diego first of all is to up and down they're not consistent and they're not playing very well at all in the Broncos have something to prove this game when you put the equation of the motion into this game you will see why will win this game that's something you can handicapped emotion in Denver has a lot of it to win this game thank you for all your comments you are some very wise guys View Post \| View Thread	CapperSharp	18	December 10, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to This thread is for sports betting information & money mangement in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by CapperSharp: OK, everybody is to read n learn and chip in with info . we discussand learn better ways to beat the bookie this is an education thread will we will get and learn and grow from it let's talk to you then be friends and remember love is the key to everything. I will be posting good information later tonight as I'm in the stock market and tied up to this time. please excuse the typos at times I'm voice typing and it messes up sometimes View Post \| View Thread	CapperSharp	48	December 10, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic This thread is for sports betting information & money mangement in NFL Betting OK, everybody is to read n learn and chip in with info . we discussand learn better ways to beat the bookie this is an education thread will we will get and learn and grow from it let's talk to you then be friends and remember love is the key to everything. I will be posting good information later tonight as I'm in the stock market and tied up to this time. View Post \| View Thread	CapperSharp	48	December 10, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to $$$$$ Denver vs San Diego Pick $$$$$$$$$ in NFL Betting This is a 5 ***** pick!! I'm dropping 2 dimes! View Post \| View Thread	CapperSharp	18	December 10, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 18-4 NFL 2014.. you want more? Ok in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by St2ee: Well guys, I do not believe I have bet my own team yet this year. That changes Sunday!!!!! Giants -1 No justin hunter. No Kendall Wright. And Muttenberger has a really sore throwing shoulder. Listen to me guys. The GMeN get it done here. This Giant offence is not bad. Banged up a little, but they will score some points. The titans will struggle all day. Y I will be attending the game.....they will win....we will party. When you have your pulse on the team, you go with your gut because you have a solid feel for the team. So far this year, my gut (which is getting bigger since I started covering this team) has been right on the money. So I’m sticking with the script. The healthier Giants lean on their best unit — the defense — in another sloppy Thursday night game. Just like last year, they shut down Alfred Morris (88 yards rushing in the two games combined) and do just enough offensively to beat Washington. View Post \| View Thread	St2ee	64	December 10, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic $$$$$ Denver vs San Diego Pick $$$$$$$$$ in NFL Betting Denver Broncos -4 Think we saw the game plan to beat the Chargers last week and Denver is a smart enough team to repeat the Patriots winning game plan. Add in that Denver gets back key TE Thomas and think Manning and Broncos offense has another big output. One sided game here as Chargers very good defense can't slow down the Broncos. Prediction Denver Broncos win and cover ATS 34-23. View Post \| View Thread	CapperSharp	18	December 10, 2014 View Post \| View Thread

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