ChatBIN

NY Yankees ML  -145   -$145

NY Yankees -1.5  +115  -$100

LA Dodgers ML  -164  -$164

LA Dodgers -1.5  +105  -$100

Florida Gators  ML -120    +$100

1-4     -$409

10-8

Current bankroll  $5,670  ($6,079-$409)

So, the ChatGPT 4.o was beaten by me, the ChatBIN 3-1

My score projection was not that far while pick wise I was correct on both in the first half and not the machine :) 31-28 instead of 33-30

The pick I posted in an MLB thread stays: Florida Gators ML

I don't know why the posts get cut in the half: so here is the completion

First Half machine:

Florida Gators ML

Over 65.5

Very nice. But, where is the beef? Projected score?

So, it's me against the machine...

Interesting, isn't it? 

Me

Florida Gators ML

OVER 140.5

First Half

Florida gators ML

Over 65.5

Houston Cougars ML

Under 65.5

The Machine:

Houston Cougars ML

Over 140.5

First Half:

Well, my personal take contradicts AI, or shall we say - AI contradicts my personal numbers which are:

71-70 Florida

First Half 33-30 Houston

Florida Gators ML

OVER 140.5

Predicted Halftime Score:
?? Florida 41 – Houston 35

??‍?? Key Players

Florida Gators

• PG Jordan Riley: 16 pts, 6 ast, 3 stl

• F Malik Thomas: 18 pts, 7 reb

• C Elijah Moore: 10 pts, 9 reb, 2 blk

Houston Cougars

• G Jayden Smith: 19 pts, 4 ast, 3 reb

• F Terrance Wright: 14 pts, 8 reb

• C Brandon Hill: 12 pts, 10 reb, 3 blk

Here we go: 

Houston Cougars (73) vs Florida Gators (72)

If I may -since it is the last game of College hoops this season - I will include here the final: Florida Gators  ML -120    $120

The gators are simply a better and more resilient team than Duke was. Duke was shocked the minute they were behind while the Gators have just stages a great comeback in the semis against Auburn. I like Emmanuel Sharp a lot and wish him all the best in the upcoming professional career. I know his father Derek and what kind of a clutch player he was with Maccabi Tel Aviv. But, tonight -he will be matched by the Gators that everyone on their roster resembles Sharp. Besides Sharp - I have a hard time to see anyone being able to match the Gators. But, being careful - I will take the ML

So, the final say for today and I will wrap up at that unless some new picks will pop up based on temporary systems I employ (value picks manifesting anomaly between the money and the tickets, live bets during half times made to meddle or hedge, fading some "guru" when I know he or she are trying to balance the bets for the book etc): My picks may not look "sexy" or attractive and at times may be hard to take -but, they will be profitable in a long run as long as we manage our money right

Bankroll $6,079

NY Yankees ML  -145   $145

NY Yankees -1.5  +115  $100

LA Dodgers ML  -164  $164

LA Dodgers -1.5  +105  $100

Those bets are based on historical model reverse engineering those two teams seasonal performance and records in regard of ML and RL wins and losses. And remember - because of correct money management - even in the cases of losses - what matters is the long run performance

I do not believe there is a one particular system that can be used stay profitable over a long period of time cause the systems change and the HOUSE has best available tools at it's disposal. The odds makers employed by the books are very good and professional and most importantly - have access to data and immediate information the regular bettor like myself - has not. So, IMHO there is no point in trying to "beat the bookie", but rather apply strategies implementing mathematical models and always keeping in mind that "trying to beat the bookie" have resulted in millions of broken homes and books getting richer. If you can't beat them, and also can't join them, try to employ strategies where you an edge.

My edge is mathematical one based on quantitive trading models utilizing volatile markets. Now, the most volatile markets that I know are ones based on sporting events outcomes. 
Nough said. That strategy is the one that enables me to come out on profitable side even on the nights of 1-1 and keep profitable edge even with negative records. We will address that in the future. As I said - this a mathematically induced betting strategy and not a system. This very model allowed me to conduct myself for a pretty long period not needing to deposit any funds untill lately when I decided to round up my bakroll to $5K and start the season in an orderly fashion.

Goof luck to all of us!!!

After giving it some thought and consideration  - I've decided that in order to avoid daily repetitions of record copying and waver posting - I'd rather create one seasonal thread. It also serves my selfish goal of hearing and reading myself all in one place making hard for me to escape my mistakes on a previous day or self glorification after successful days. I just think it will be more constructive to have all the data under one roof for better or the worse. 

So, my record so far is as follows: 9-3 consisting of 4-0 on Friday (https://www.covers.com/forum/mlb-betting-27/friday-mlb-103944347) resulting in a +$900 profit (P), 4-3 on Saturday  (https://www.covers.com/forum/mlb-betting-27/saturday-mlb-103944545) resulting in a +$137 profit (P)  and 1-1 on Sunday (https://www.covers.com/forum/mlb-betting-27/sunday-mlb-103944829) resulting in a +$142 profit (P).

I started with an initial bankroll of $5K and after 3 days my P/L (profit and loss) is +$1,079, thus turning my current bankroll into $6,079.
I'm am very particular with financials not because I want to brag about the profitable conduct so far, but, because I strongly believe that the Money Management is the core of any successful financial endeavour and therefore should be transparent to me and to all thus forcing me to be disciplined and to follow what I preach. 

The reason I post and write my reasons and leans are exactly that - self discipline. Once I wrote and committed myself knowing someone somewhere is reading my write ups and may also follow here and there - puts tons of responsibility on my shoulders and in some way that serves me the best first of all!!!

So, last few nights I was lucky, But, I can't promise you or myself to be that lucky every night. So, This is sort of a waver and a warning not o follow my picks blindly but to apply your common sense and experience!