CMJohnson1

Just popping in for the first time in quite a while...hope everyone is making money....wish I had more time to devote to this but oh well...

Vegas Raiders +7.5

I just don't think the Bills are as balanced of a threat that they used to be...people are becoming more and more aware of Sean McDermott's offensive limitations and the Raiders have some play makers that can put up points.  Will gladly take more than a TD in this one

Bears vs Bucs OVER 40.5

A nice number on this one.  Bears defense got exposed by the Packers last week and I see Tampa as a very similar type of game with more of an emphasis on the passing game over the running game, and I'm not a fan of the Bears secondary.  I also expect Chicago to be able to hit a couple bigger plays this week and get Moore into the action.

Seahawks vs Lions OVER 47

A chance to become the first in NFL history to have 3 straight meetings hit 80+ combined points.  Seahawks defense got torched by the Rams and something called Necua last week.  The Lions are riding high after an emotional victory against the Chiefs.  This one has a chance to be a higher scoring game and I like the number

BOL all

New England Patriots -7.5  ($110 to win $100)

Love this line.  Home game, Patriots rolling, and Belicheck absolutely dominates rookie head coaches and young quarterbacks.  Bears offense is horrible, Patriots defense is Top 5 in the league.  I rarely bet on my favorite team because I hate having the heart involved in the money but this one is a good number.

Prediction:  Patriots 26  Bears 13

OVERALL RECORD:  13-14   (-240)

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2-1 in Week 6 only missing out on the Bucs...gotta stop playing them as father time is catching up to Tommy.  Rams dominated and Vikings won after an ugly start.  Some really nice lines so I wanted to get a couple plays in early.

Chiefs 35  Bills 31

Minnesota Vikings -3.5  ($110 to win $100)

Just fading the Dolphins quarterback situation.  Vikings finding ways to win ugly.  Heat could be an issue, but I still like the road team.

Prediction:  Vikings 24  Dolphins 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -9.5  ($110 to win $100)

Just fading the Steelers quarterback situation.  No Freiermuth for the Steelers as well so an already limited offense is more limited.

Prediction:  Tampa 28  Pittsburgh 13

LA Rams -9.5  ($110 to win $100)

Just fading the Panthers quarterback situation.   No Akers for the Rams as he'll probably be shipped off somewhere, but they rarely run the ball anyway.  I have a good feeling McVey can out-coach Wilks.

Prediction:  Rams 32  Panthers 14

OVERALL RECORD:  11-13  (-330)

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Dumb last week...just missed out on all of the games.  Oh well.  Feel good about this week which I don't know if it's good or bad

Vikings 31  Bears 14

Seattle Seahawks +5.5  ($110 to win $100)

I don't know how, but this team is showing fight for the first time in about 6 years.  Geno Smith isn't dead yet?  Andy Dalton is.  The Saints offense is.  Even if the Saints win, I like the points in this situation.

Prediction:  Seahawks 23  Saints 19

Pittsburgh vs Buffalo OVER 44.5  ($110 to win $100)

On paper not a great spot for Pickett to get his first start, but I do think that with his added mobility and willingness to throw the deep ball that Mike Tomlin opens up the playbook a little more for him here today.  Or at the very least, without TJ Watt in there and the Steelers not being able to stop a nosebleed the past couple games, the Bills might hit this number themselves.

Prediction:  Bills 34  Steelers 20

Minnesota Vikings -7.5  ($220 to win $200)

Putting the bigger bet on Kirk Cousins at 1pm at home against a weaker opponent.  Those are the situations he thrives in, and this is the situation the Bears suck in. Bears are 0-4 in their last 4 October games, 1-11 ATS on the road against winning teams, the offense is putrid and getting worse...all of the above.  Vikings defense is pretty decent, shouldn't really have to work too hard in this one.  After ugly game against Eagles, Vikings just find ways to win.  I think they were a bit jet lagged in London last week, but being back at home should help them out big time.

Prediction:  Vikings 34  Bears 13

LA Chargers vs Cleveland Browns OVER 47.5  ($110 to win $100)

Without Myles Garrett the Browns clearly struggled to get any type of consistent pass rush.  The Falcons were able to run it right down their throats last week, even without Patterson in the lineup.  Now they go up against one of the better offenses in the league, and certainly one of the more weapon filled offenses.  Herbert looked a lot better last week against the Texans, and will only get healthier with the rib injury.  The Chargers defense isn't terrible, but they don't really force a lot of turnovers, and they give up a good amount of garbage points in their wins.  Would have liked a slightly better number, but I like this one to be a high scoring affair.

Prediction:  Chargers 30  Browns 23

OVERALL RECORD:  10-9  (+100)

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Better week last week going 2-1-1 only missing out on the Browns doing Browns things and the Vikings getting a lucky push.  Not mad, made money!  Onward and upward once again!

Got back late today...but had this one as well....

Cleveland Browns -1  ($110 to win $100)

Brissett has enough to not screw it up, and the Falcons suck.  Browns should have a very similar play book to last week against the Steelers, control the clock and run it up and down the field.

Prediction:  Browns 27  Falcons 17

I love me a good push...thankfully he missed that PAT 

Eagles 28  Jaguars 24

NY Jets +3.5 ($110 to win $100)

Playing the number here.  I don't think the Steelers are more than 3 points better than anyone right now, even the Jets.  This one smells like an upset to me, and possibly a game where Trubisky looks so bad that they get to see Kenny Pickett get in the game.  The one thing Zach Wilson needs and when he looks his best is obviously when he has time to throw.  Ever since TJ Watt went down, the Steelers just can't generate pressure on the QB.  Saw it last week where the Browns were able to just march right down the field time and time again.  I don't think the Jets have that capability, but with the weak Steelers offense, this one is a game they can grab.

Prediction:  Jets 20  Steelers 16

Jacksonville vs Philadelphia OVER 45.5  ($110 to win $100)

Is it possible that the Jaguars...have a good offense?  Is it possible that the Eagles...are the best team in the league?  Two things that heading into the season most NFL fans would not have been saying.  Lawrence looks much more comfortable this year with Doug Pederson putting in a scheme that works...Christian Kirk is stepping up and making a good case to be a #1 guy.  Robinson is a big play machine in the backfield as well.  Hesitated a little bit because of the Eagles defense that they showed last week...but the Jags are not as feeble as the Commanders offense.  Eagles have been putting up points at a great clip, Jalen Hurts is clearly a star in the making.  I see both teams easily getting into the 20's, maybe more.

Prediction:  Eagles 28  Jaguars 24

Minnesota Vikings -3  ($110 to win $100)

Nice momentum win coming back against the Lions last week taking advantage of Detroit doing Detroit things.  Who else does Detroit things?  New Orleans.  Jameis is more than likely out in this game, and even if he goes he's not even close to 100%.  This is a game where Kirk Cousins shines...9am EST...stadium where most people will not be pressuring him...a game where nobody cares essentially as sad as it is.  Don't think the Saints have enough offense especially without Thomas on the outside...Vikings defense can focus in on Kamara and get the job done. 

Prediction:  Vikings 23  Saints 13

OVERALL RECORD:  8-8  ($10+)

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Ugly week last week....1-4 and not really close on anything.  Onward and upward!

Ravens 23  Patriots 17