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replied to
2ND HALF OF LATE GAMES AND 820 GAME COMIN UP!!!!!!BELLA 4-0 TODAY LOVIN IT
in NFL Betting
OAK ml @-175 OR -3.5@-110?
Which do you prefer? Thanks |
Bella0905 | 29 |
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Thanx!!
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Coversrookie | 3 |
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Just need the ONE least likely to lose to close out open parlay thanks
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Coversrookie | 3 |
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BA..thanx for the response..looks like you did or will do well today..tough luck on Oregon took 2H off..Texas and WV took out their week1 frustrations today. .I'm a little manic but imagining what you do makes my head spin..stay a week ahead, look at games,scores in real time, monitor lines for late games, look at live in game odds, keep in my next week's matchup while watching this weeks games...sure am glad school kids didn't do all that back in the day and that I didn't have to do it to stay ahead of them...yeah I know you get the early early stuff at BOL. .I mean where can I right now at 9 pm on Saturday find what the other 99% of the world considered the opening numbers for this week..I want to use the most popular and available "opening line " for analysis. ..GL tonight..thanks again
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bookieassassin | 132 |
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BA..holy sh*t what a thread. .to do the real capping you do AND do the thread AND I think YU do multiple sports..I 've seen your threads but never clicked on one until 4am Sat..that was a great read..and I'm glad you weren't around when I was booking action before class and during lunch in middle/high school and pushin parlay cards at GT..now that I'm on the other side as a recreational/have fun/degenerate gambler m really new to the whole gambling forum chat room thing. .I have 2 ??'s and a comment/observation..somehow you manage to acknowledge everyone who posts and would consider myself fortunate if you responded even if it's in next week's thread
?1..When you jump on those early numbers and feel pretty good about some of them after the Black Friday scramble and then see them move drastically in your favor over the week...do ever consider eating the juice on say a 7'-10' middle @20/1 odds? Or does that mess with your capping, cause you start second guessing or just confuse the brain by rooting for 2 events in one contest when you'd prefer to be rooting just to crush the fire sale #. It just sees like the payoff is so juicy to occasionally find a spot with the right spread, right key #'s and a place where during the week you have reconsidered your original thinking. Yes, I realize a 7-10 pt middle isn't necessarily a yell from the roof top event in college like it would be in nfl. ??2..I love your early #'s and your explanation to people that complain or doubt. Those sound like the #'s that get hung early, early in Vegas fir a select few people to pound into place before the masses see them. I like looking at numbers, trends, line movements, creating formulas, theories and testing by hand during a mind snoozer. The line I'd like to find us the one that everyone in the world universally calls the "opening line"..not the BOL fire sale line but the "first" one that us readily available to 99% f the world. I realize every corner bookie, every offshore, etc might differ by a half point but there is a generally accepted and quoted #, not necessarily an average of #'s but the # that the last majority "open" at, the number that accounts for throwing out the odd high and low #'s. Sort of like the average of the bid and ask price of a traded stock/bond/commodity. I'll save my comment/observation for later..it was to a response you gave about an open ended parlay..its late ( early) and I'm doing all this typing from a phone in the dark. Sorry that I am a little verbose. .u tend to over word things in an attempt to ask/say exactly what I mean so I don't have to do it more than once. Good luck today I'll be keeping an eye out on your black Friday picks and seeing where things d up in relation to the late lines. Thanks for you time and help. Makes me wanna go read one of your baseball threads!! |
bookieassassin | 132 |
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Arizona in trouble early..sorry, you and I know Arizona is a better team but you probably know better than most that baseball is the almost the biggest if not the biggest crapshoot. .I just faded zona because of the situation..no different than those that bet on zona at big +$$ vs. LAD. .LAD is better team than them but zona +$$ was better spot vs slumping LAD. .but like I said in other post if you die zona the whole 13wins and managed $$ right the hit won't be so bad..losing can be good, a chance to refocus clean up ad habits overlooked while winning..BOL to ya
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MRprimeTIME22 | 414 |
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Primetime..Cleve has to lose eventually..and Baltimore has as good a shot as anyone with those bats..I guess f you've been riding a the streak there's no real loss in riding it until it stops, but from my view having not been on the streak 16 in a row =FADE til they lose. In theory it should be a win for both of us, on winning streak like that I'd be scaling down my bets to soften the eventual blow and coming from my side I'll be raising the bet everyday knowing the loss HAS to occur EVENTUALLY. .I had Wash rl large and watched the blow 11-4 lead should've just parlayed the ml with LAD or Boston to cut the juice. .oh well ..Ga bulldgs+5.5 any chance at ND with backup Qb?
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MRprimeTIME22 | 414 |
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Primetime..thanks for the response. I put Cleve and LAD with NENG ml FH ==+160
And if LAD loses then I try to get it all + 1 unit back next game. Gonna fade zona until they lose, Good news there is that I'll be getting +$ most nights vs. Zona..for sure the next 3 vs. SD...they gave to lose eventually and when they do I'll book a unit on the chase. Again thanks for responding. BOL to ya |
MRprimeTIME22 | 414 |
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Primetime..been looking at your posts for awhile but am new to posting (note the username) I have a baseball specific question. LAD on horrendous L streak and maybe they just kind of shut it down and rest and experiment with new players/lineups rest of the way but they won't lose all of them. Am I crazy, coming off this last extended stretch ,to chase 1,2,4,8 style until they win even with Kershaw juice tonight. Pitching hasn't really been their problem lately though. And in the flip side no team can win forever, what about fading Arizona 1,2,4,8 until they lose
I would appreciate your thoughts
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MRprimeTIME22 | 414 |
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NE- 2.5
Steelers -2.5 Laying -110 BOL
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Lippsman | 11 |
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Winnerwinner99..real easy to understand but nowhere in this thread Will you find the minimum stated as zero by the pool creator..which is my point how HARD is it for JEFFFROMFUTURE to answer the simple question with a number
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JeffFromFuture | 129 |
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Jefffromfuture..what dies it take to get a simple numerical answer from you..I'm not asking for a discussion or a defense if your answer just a simple #..I find it odd that you HAVE clearly stated the max and clearly provided the link to sign up and still most want to ask about the max and type in "register" but one of the things you haven't addressed gets asked and can't get an answer. If I don't get an answer before NE/ kc start I will assume you are nit required to pick any each week and are not required t pick a certain amount fir the season to qualify for the "bragging rights"...at least I have proof that i tried to get an answer
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JeffFromFuture | 129 |
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I like most of these suggestions but the teams or type if bet isn't in question..only a matter of both -2 1/2@-110 OR both -2@-130..that's it. This us the big play that pays for other bets that include teasers with oak,Ariz, phi/wash over, etc...
I think there's a better chance of NENG beating kcal by 20 than there IS of kc winning SU. Pitt and NE have to be easiest just win SU games on the board likely followed by car,buff,atl..everything else is a toss up imo
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Coversrookie | 14 |
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Glyde69..no point in asking the guy that was o kind to start this diesnt feel it necessary to lay out ALL the details or even provide a 1 word answer to repeated ?? About the minimum # of picks...I'm sure as soon as I don't make a pick a 1000 people will tell me what an idiot I am..what I am supposed to do read the guys mind
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JeffFromFuture | 129 |
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Thanks. .I also THINK less than 3 wins..but does anyone know the math on whether 20 cents is worth NOT LOSING if either team lads on 2..is it better to be safe than sorry at that price?
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Coversrookie | 14 |
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I guess Noone else is concerned with a minimum..too busy worrying about the max which HAS been answered.
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JeffFromFuture | 129 |
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You set this up and said max pics is 10..why won't you answer the minimum??
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JeffFromFuture | 129 |
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Easy winner., thanx..who you got in keys/kanepi
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KushSports | 13 |
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NFL first..not cfl
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Coversrookie | 7 |
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I posted this first in cfl forum but can't get an answer .thought I would try here, couple guys here were kind enough to respond to my last question. I know college #'s are different but I figure a lot if college bettors bet NFL also.
So I am going to tease NENG & STEELERS down below 3. I know 3 is a key # but wonder if 1 and 2 are becoming more important ( in nfl) due to PAT rule change. Am I better off with both -2 1/2 @-110 OR both at -2 @-130 (if either land on 2 its a push). Is the 20cents worth not losing on the 2 for 2 teams. Note: the 2 team's not the type if bet aren't in question. I appreciate any commentary, feedback, and help. Thanx. |
Coversrookie | 7 |
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