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Season: 27-24-2 (+0.7 Units)
No time for write ups today... all plays as usual 1.1 to win 1 Coastal Carolina -3 Stony Brook +1.5 Charlotte +10 Clemson -1.5 Good luck guys
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daviddaman24 | 1 |
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Season: 25-23-2 (-0.3 Units)
Just 3 for now, maybe some adds tomorrow. No time for write ups. All plays are 1.1 to win 1 Richmond +7.5 Iona -4 Texas-Arlington +8 Good luck guys
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daviddaman24 | 1 |
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Thanks for the support guys, 3-1 start, hoping to finish strong
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daviddaman24 | 16 |
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Some added plays, no time for write ups though...
Georgetown -4.5 Boston College -3 VCU -18.5 Davidson +4 New Mexico -3.5 All 1.1 to win 1 GL
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daviddaman24 | 16 |
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Season: 20-20-2 (-2 Units)
Northern Iowa -2.5 (1.1 to win 1) - A rough 1-2 start for Northern Iowa this year. The two losses however came on the road against Ohio and George Mason who are both roughly top 100 teams, so nothing to be terribly ashamed of. Jacobson has built Northern Iowa into one of the best mid majors in the nation as they've won 20 games or more in 5 straight seasons. This isn't one of his best teams, but I still see them as being good enough to win 18 to 20 games or so, including this one. Style wise it's the same Northern Iowa you've seen for years, slow it down, grind it out, and out execute you. Loyola Marymount is the polar opposite, they want to run as much as possible, but the Panthers just simply won't allow it. This game won't be as slow as Northern Iowa likes, but it'll be much slower than what LMU wants and is accustomed to. The Lions are 4-0 yes, but they haven't really played anyone and this will be a steep rise in competition. Sets up as a perfect spot for LMU to come back to earth a bit, and Northern Iowa to begin to get things back on track. Michigan State -15 (1.1 to win 1) - I really think we see a Sparty beat down here. They've come out flat in their last 2 games and I think Izzo has probably put these guys through the grinder the past few days. Against Columbia last week they never woke up, and were flat for the full 40. The result was a narrow win in a game that was close for about 39 minutes. Then the follow up was them being flat for about 31 minutes against Portland earlier this week before finally pulling away a bit late. You know a guy like Izzo isn't happy about that. I think we see a focused effort from the opening tip tomorrow and that Sparty just takes the Hokies to the woodshed. As far as VT goes, I'm still not buying in. Yes they are 3-1, but they just aren't that good. The win over WVU was somewhat impressive, but in my opinion they played over their head in that one. The other 3 games were a home loss against USC Upstate and wins over 2 junk teams. Talent wise they'll be in way over their heads here, and if you factor in that Sparty is due to play a focused 40 this one could get ugly. Bradley +16.5 (1.1 to win 1) - Going with the sandwich spot angle here for Arizona State. They just came off a nice road win over UNLV and have Marquette coming to town on Monday. Not sure how much we get from them in this one. Bradley isn't anything amazing, but they aren't pushovers either. They won 18 games last year and likely will win around that same amount this year. One thing Bradley has done very well this year is defend the 3 point line. Opponents are only shooting 22% from 3 against the Braves this year. Granted their opponents haven't been world beaters, 22% is still 22% and it's impressive. ASU fills it up at about 40% from 3 so Bradley's ability to control the Sun Devils from 3 very likely will determine who covers this one. One other fact that can't be overlooked with these new rules is that Bradley can shoot FT's. As a team they are around 75% on the year, which is pretty damn solid. In a game like this as a big dog they'll need all the free points they can get, and for the most part they should be able to knock them down. Combining the nice FT%, the solid 3 point defense, and the possible sluggish showing from ASU due to the sandwich spot and i've got enough to take my chances with 16.5 points. |
daviddaman24 | 16 |
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So far so good, nice 2-0 start... hoping for a big day
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daviddaman24 | 12 |
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Charlotte trying to give this one away....
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daviddaman24 | 12 |
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Season: 17-18-2 (-2.8 Units)
U Mass -3.5 (1.1 to win 1) Charlotte +4.5 (1.1 to win 1) Davidson -1 (1.1 to win 1) VCU -7.5 (1.1 to win 1) Temple +2.5 (1.1 to win 1) No write ups this time around guys, just don't have the time. GL all. |
daviddaman24 | 12 |
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Quote Originally Posted by moho: Great game fer sure. The Clones have owned dem in 5 straight so far. Not sure on how productive Haws is gonna be though,he's practically not practiced for like a week and im sure the coach will keep an eye on him. Either team here can control the 1st or 2nd half. Hard as heck to cap but, its the Clones 1st game on the road . BYU hasn’t defeated a ranked opponent that wasn’t in its conference in a home basketball game since 1986 bol bud Some decent points, but in fairness stats like that no win since 1986 over a ranked non conference team don't do much for me. None of the kids on the team now have been there more than a few years. Different group. As far as Haws, I think he'll be fine. This is a big one, he'll gut it out
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daviddaman24 | 13 |
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Got out ahead of the line movement... hopefully a good sign
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daviddaman24 | 13 |
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Had a record keeping error yesterday. I was 14-15-2 going into the 18th. On the 18th I went 1-1 which brought my record to 15-16-2, but yesterday (the 19th) I again posted 14-15-2 instead of the updated 15-16-2. Anyways, just wanted to get that out of the way as I know there are sticklers out there for accurate record keeping. Nothing to hide here. All plays accurately documented win or lose. 15-16-2 coming into the 19th, then 2-1 on the 19th brings me to....
Updated Record: 17-17-2 (50.00%) -1.7 Units Only one play for today BYU -5.5 (1.1 to win 1) - This is a tough spot for Iowa State. The Cyclones are coming off a big home win over Michigan last weekend and now have to take their act on the road and face BYU. BYU is just insane right now. They are playing at warp speed, averaging nearly 80 possessions per game, which ranks them 1st in the nation in terms of adjusted tempo. The Cougars are led by PG Matt Carlino and SG Tyler Haws. Haws missed a few games with an abdominal issue but he should be good to go for this one. I'm not quite ready to put Haws in Jimmer territory, but he's cut from that same cloth. An elite, flat out lethal scorer at the college level, this guy can fill it up from anywhere on the court. Flat out, assassin. I already mentioned Carlino who is one of the most improved PG's in the nation and SF/SG Kyle Collinsworth has tremendously improved his game as well. Those 3 lead the way for an offense that isn't just fast, but extremely efficient as well. Anyone can run if they so choose, but with BYU it's like organized chaos. They rank 11th in the nation in offensive efficiency to go with the 1st in adjusted tempo when I mentioned earlier. Now you've gotta face them in their building (which is always sold out) and at altitude? Good luck. Don't get me wrong, I like Iowa State, but this is just a tough, tough spot and match up for them. You don't wanna follow a huge win like they had the other day with a game like this. Good luck guys, David
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daviddaman24 | 13 |
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Long look at Detroit, but will pass... Will post any adds or 2nd halves here.
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daviddaman24 | 8 |
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Quote Originally Posted by tomMiEe: really do enjoy reading your write-ups. seems like im learning a lot from it. keep up the good work buddy and hope you turnaround the season Appreciate that man. Thanks
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daviddaman24 | 8 |
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Quote Originally Posted by moho: lovin top 2 pics but,not sure on Bucknell. Theyve lost a few players from last yr. bol tonight Dman n thanks for the writeups bro Yeah, the loss of Muscala hurts, but I still like them. That's a program that's become more than just one player. Still solid
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daviddaman24 | 8 |
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Season: 14-15-2 (-48.27%) -2.5 Units
Memphis +6.5 (1.1 to win 1) - I'll start by saying Oklahoma State has an absolute ton of talent. Marcus Smart is the best PG in the nation and a future high lottery pick, Nash, Brown, Williams, and Coggins are very solid players, and Phil Forte is one the most deadly 3 point assassins in the country. Believe me, I'm well aware of all of it and I don't take the Cowboys lightly. That said, getting 6.5 points with a team as good as Memphis is too much for me to pass up. There won't be many nights where Oklahoma State takes the court and faces athletes that can actually hang with them. This, however will be one of those rare occasions. With Joe Jackson, Michael Dixon, Geron Johnson, and Chris Crawford Memphis has 4 tremendously athletic guards that can all flat out fill it up. As you'd expect from a team whose 4 best players are all 6'4'' or smaller they like to run. Oklahoma State can run as well, but typically don't play quite as fast as the Tigers do. Neither team has too much in the way of scoring down low, so this game is going to be decided on the perimeter. Smart, Nash, Brown, and Forte will have their way on the perimeter most nights, but the 4 Tigers I mentioned earlier will really battle with them all night. This should be a very well played, and highly entertaining game. I'll take my 6.5 points and expect it to come down to the wire. Kansas -17 (1.1 to win 1) - In one of my write ups early in the season I took Iona and mentioned how there would be plenty of chances to fade this team down the road. Well here we have one of them. Iona is a run and gun, up and down team with some nice talent and the ability to light up the scoreboard on any given night. The problem is they really aren't too interested in any kind of defense. Sure the defensive numbers are ok through 2 games, but don't let that fool you. This is a team that last year was 263rd in the nation in defensive efficiency. Sure they have may be improved on that end a little, but not enough to help them in this one. Iona is what they are, and I can't see them changing that against Kansas even if the result is likely to be them getting run out of the building. Playing in the MAAC Iona is the more talented and athletic team just about every time they step on the court, here that obviously isn't the case. An inferior team is going to come into Allen Fieldhouse and get into a track meet with this Kansas team? God help them. With Perry Ellis and all world future #1 pick Andrew Wiggins leading the way Kansas should go nuts tonight. Wouldn't surprise me a bit to see them crack 100. They are going to destroy Iona at their own game, and it should get pretty ugly. Bucknell +7.5 (1.1 to win 1) - If you've been following college hoops closely the last few years you know Bucknell is no joke. This is a team that's won 78 games over the last 3 years and should win another 25 or so again this season. The Bison are a slow it down, grind it out, try to frustrate and out execute you kind of team. This slow it down grind it out pace is just like what St. Johns saw and struggled with against Wisconsin in their season opener. You may recall I had Wisconsin in that game and they covered wire to wire. In that write up I addressed how I thought Wisconsin would be too well coached, too disciplined, and too fundamentally sound for the Johnnies to deal with. Well, the same albeit to a lesser extend holds true here. Bucknell doesn't have the talent that Wisconsin does, but the discipline, and attention to detail are plenty similar enough. The Bison will drain the shot clock just about every time and usually find a good, open look with 10 or less on the clock. When those shots open up you better hope it isn't for Cameron Ayers or Ben Brackney who are a combined 19 for 34 from 3 point land in the early going this year. Led by those 2 the Bison shoot it at 45% as a team from 3. St. Johns has a clear talent edge here, but to be fair they had an edge in raw talent against Wisconsin too and lost. This is the kind of game that the Johnnies really aren't built for. They want to play fast, use that athleticism, run the floor, create easy baskets, etc. Bucknell simply just won't allow them. I expect them to dictate the pace as they always do and force St. Johns to play their style. If the Johnnies can play a slow it down, grind it out game and cover this number against a team as solid as Bucknell, so be it. I don't think they can. |
daviddaman24 | 8 |
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Split, back at it tomorrow....
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daviddaman24 | 10 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Ds0589: I went to Monmouth and was at the game Tuesday vs. Penn. I'm on Hall tonight, but I've liked the way we've played so far. The other night vs. Penn we were up like 12-2 and they went on a 21-3 run or something like that and went up like 23-14. In recent years, we wouldve folded and it wouldve been a blowout, but we stuck around far more then I thought we would. The Hawks seem to be a tougher, more resilient group then the last couple years. I just think this game at some point will get away from us. The game starting later hurts us more than Hall and also this games on national tv so I can see Hall trying to make a statement here. I dont love Seton Halls team though. But theyre just better. I can see this being like 87-64...something like that. I think SHU wins between 21-24 points. UALR is an interesting game too...both teams have a couple decent trends that I like which is why Im gonna stay away from it. MTSU is normally a pretty good team ATS. If I had to choose, Id go with Little Rock. Some solid points. As a situational capper primarily I just can't pass on spots like this. It's my style not to look at any game in individually and instead look at what it was/is around it. As I mentioned in the write up, just too tricky of a sandwich spot to ignore. Coming off a heartbreaking loss with a big game on deck. If Seton Hall is focused and takes care of business I'll tip my cap and take the loss. I just don't see how they can be.
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daviddaman24 | 10 |
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Season: 14-15-2 (48.27%) -2.5 Units
Rough weekend, time to bounce back and get this thing headed back in the right direction. Arkansas Little Rock +12.5 (1.1 to win 1) - Going to take a shot against Middle Tennessee State here with them having a look ahead to a what for them is a huge game Thursday at Florida. MTSU has won 55 games over the past 2 years and is off to a 3-0 start again this year. This is a team that's just itching to take that next step and break in there with the big boys. Thursday they'll have a chance to prove they can hang with an elite team when they travel to Florida to take on the Gators. First however, they've got a game Monday against Arky Little Rock. Arkansas Little Rock is 0-2 so far this year and frankly not doing very much well. This game isn't as much about what's on paper, but the look ahead angle. If MTSU shows up for this game focused they very well could roll the Trojans. I however think we see more of a going through the motions kind of game and a 6 to 8 point win for the Blue Raiders. Monmouth +20 (1.1 to win 1) - This is a tricky sandwich spot for Seton Hall. They are coming off a tough double OT loss to Mercer on Saturday and have a pretty big clash with Oklahoma on Friday. Now in between comes in a Monmouth team that on paper they should easily handle. I won't lie to you, there isn't a ton of talent on the Monmouth roster, what they do have going for them though is their pace. That's a team that will run from the time they get off the bus. Monmouth is playing at about 76 possessions per game, good enough for 6th fastest in the nation. I don't think that's a good thing for a Seton Hall team who as I mentioned probably isn't in it's best mental state right now. Playing 48 hours after a double OT loss is tough enough, doing it against an up and down go as fast as you can team like Monmouth it's even tougher. I just wonder how much of Seton Hall's thoughts will be on what happened with Mercer, or what will happen against Oklahoma as opposed to actually worrying about Monmouth. If they come out flat, this is the kind of style that could make this one closer than it should be. |
daviddaman24 | 10 |
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Record: 13-13-2 (-1.3 Units)
One of those days yesterday, going 1-5. No real bad beats either. Simply just a bunch of poorly capped games. Season is a marathon, they'll be days like this regardless of how good or bad a capper you are. No write ups today, but will have them again starting tomorrow. 3 plays today Denver +4 (1.1 to win 1) Iowa State -1 (1.1 to win 1) Stony Brook +11.5 (1.1 to win 1) GL guys
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daviddaman24 | 2 |
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Wow, Marquette was beyond bad.... can't put into words how gross that was.
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daviddaman24 | 9 |
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