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I love how this thread is mainly sh*t talk now.
Since learning about this system I've been tracking for the past month or so. Definitely some solid results - 36-3 overall with 2 of the 3 losses coming on real borderline plays. Baltimore last weekend against Cubs and CWS who technically qualified but b/c of their crappy overall record I sort of take it with a grain of salt. I've seen that qualified teams aren't performing real well in game 1 at all (last night perfect example - maybe Vegas is overpricing the lines?) but the return in game 2 on qualified teams that lost is game 1 is solid. BOL to everyone tailing the game 2s (or game 3 for LAD) today. And anyone who has been tricking results similarly in excel or wherever and wants to trade notes feel free to reach out. And definitely keep the fighting going and sh*t talk, it's hilarious to read through. |
Big_Tone21 | 1476 |
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Big Tone - definitely don't let some negativity deter you. At the end of the day we're in this thing together (or should be) trying to figure out a profitable system that should at least be a bit fun to follow and maybe provide some side cash.
I've only followed this for a couple weeks but it seems like the recent losses have been on pretty mediocre teams overall (PIT, SEA, OAK). Could always make those half unit plays. Something else I'm interested in seeing/tracking is what would happen if you bet the other side on some of those borderline teams. (I.e - if pirates are one game over .500 at home but 6 below overall then bet their opponent). Could get some nice positive lines in the process. Just thinking out loud. |
Big_Tone21 | 1476 |
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great wins on the home teams this week. Didn't even see a game 3 on any of these series.
Rockies ice cold and San Fran underperforming thus far. I have a spreadsheet tracking this starting with Monday's series and Rockies definitely put a nice 0-1 start on the "Away" tab. Get 'em next time on the road
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Big_Tone21 | 1476 |
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gotcha thanks, I'll give it a read.
I definitely like what you guys have going more, as opposed to simply chasing top 10 teams.
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Big_Tone21 | 1476 |
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Was thinking the same Boston Brad. There's certainly teams that can fall out of the criteria (or in) in the middle of a series.
I'm going to track a doc off to the side also for teams that don't qualify right now but are a top 10 vegas fav according to world series futures (Indians fall into this category and won last night)
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Big_Tone21 | 1476 |
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first time posting on this thread, but read through the pages of messages and am definitely intrigued. I've followed along for a few days and am going to begin betting into it myself with these new series starts.
Quite happy that San Diego is 19-19 at home and not a game over .500 otherwise they'd qualify for the system, and I would have 0 confidence betting them with their awful 31-45 overall record haha. Best of luck on all the new series tonight!
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Big_Tone21 | 1476 |
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I'm thinking Love unders 6.5 3P attempts and under 11.5 rebounds. He went off in game 1 and don't think the Celtics will allow to hurt them as much tonight. Instead Kyrie or Korver may shred them, I like the unders here.
Thoughts? |
der1904 | 1 |
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Especially if Curry has a good game tonight. If Lebron goes for a triple double in a loss though... I don't know. Insane line movement either way though
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begginerboy | 10 |
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Wow Curry going from -250 to -110 today is pretty telling. They might just give it to the best overall player
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begginerboy | 10 |
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I'm going to do a parlay for GS and Chicago to win their series at -185, then take the Cavs at +9.5 in game 5 as some insurance, and with the hope of hitting both plays. Thoughts?
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der1904 | 1 |
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Geez, forgot a key word or two there. Over 3.5 three pointers for Curry
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der1904 | 5 |
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Curry over 3.5 is tempting even though it's at -220 juice.
Any others? |
der1904 | 5 |
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Hawks moneyline or +1 if you can get it for game 1, then double down in game 2 if they lose.
I really can't see ATL losing both at home against a banged up Cleveland team. |
der1904 | 5 |
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Dwight over 13.5 rebounds and Curry over 3.5 three pointers seem interesting to me. What does everyone else have?
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der1904 | 1 |
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Tampa has quite a bit of offensive firepower, I'm starting to think that NYR won't be able to count on Lundqvist to bail them out of this series.
Similar to the Kings in the Finals last year, they may have met their match here against a team that is playing well. Stamkos hasn't really gotten into form yet either. |
der1904 | 6 |
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-110s now for both teams or will the Lightning be slightly favored? That was a pretty convincing win tonight...tempted to bet Tampa now
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der1904 | 6 |
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Quote Originally Posted by murderinc85: Never were the Pacers up 3-1 in the 3 straight years they played in playoffs They weren't but Heat were down 2-1 and down DD's in Game 4 in 2012, then Lebron went nuts with his 40 and 18 takeover game. They never looked back after that and won 4-2 I feel like Lebron was more athletic 3 years ago though. Kyrie being hurt won't help either. |
ogBuck | 67 |
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the clippers definitely have the better coach. If Harden and Dwight can get to the line, hit their free throws, then this thing should be tight in the 4th qtr
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andarmac99 | 14 |
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Nice stats, I'm with you. If they can force Blake into some of the same turnovers from Game 3 and limit Redick (who couldn't be stopped with 31 points) then I think HOU has a decent shot to at least cover the spread and maybe take it outright.
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andarmac99 | 14 |
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Clips/Cavs at +1065 is definitely worth the stab. I thought Cavs would win in 7 games from the start, still do but tomorrow is probably the series.
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der1904 | 4 |
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