Donkey_Punch_

The world finally catches up 2 weeks later...

Did the Obama administration replenish the N95 masks? No.

Why do you ignore the post immediately above yours?

You are seriously trusting China's #'s? Are you delusional or suffer from TDS or both?

The U.S. is the #1 country for COVID-19 tests administered

The U.S. is #19 (when I last checked) for deaths per 1MM population

I first came across this video which explains what might be wrong with the way the world is treating the late stages of COVID-19:

https://www.instagram.com/tv/B-meQzFANkI/?igshid=pd5idprmqxah&fbclid=IwAR0oOI5auRXpGXzmpq0lGWRZAMV1Ohhl-_BpI1J2-dkSudGTmBj1k5EVkSY

Then I started seeing more information backing it up:

https://web.archive.org/web/20200405061401/https://medium.com/@agaiziunas/covid-19-had-us-all-fooled-but-now-we-might-have-finally-found-its-secret-91182386efcb

I am not a doctor, DYODD, just presenting this alternative theory of how the virus attacks red blood cells and contributes to the lack of oxygen in the patient.

Yes he pointed this out and wanted me to show it to you:

https://i.redd.it/fjxvzl76g8r41.jpg

> 40k urns

I read something about 200k body bags needed, it was just a headline so DYODD

> Why hasnt Andrew Cuomo shut down the subway?

Residents don't want it shut down, they are already pissed it is operating at a reduced schedule, maybe to appease the voters?  He recognizes it will cripple the economy even further, but I agree with you, letting both the subway and buses run is only making the situation worse they are the two hotspots of contagion.

You can read their sentiment here:

https://www.reddit.com/r/nyc/comments/fu08k7/theres_no_hope_for_us_ever_going_outside_again/

I considered stirring the pot, but not worth the hassle.

Just got into an argument with a friend from nyc.  I posted a picture from yesterday of a crowded subway car with the caption: "how many more people need to die before they shut the subway down"

Now I understand the people that live in nyc are f*cked, they make too much money to be eligible for the stimulus so they feel the need to go to work.  They rely on the subway to get to work.  She started making excuses that people that work at the hospital or grocery stores won't be able to get to work.  I told her if that was her true concern I am sure rides could be provided for them.  In other countries (and the US too?) people volunteer to take people to their essential jobs. I also pointed out: 

There are 500+ MTA employees positive for COVID, including the MTA Chairman. Another 3,000 are under mandatory quarantine. On top of that, about 2,000 employees have been calling out sick daily (these may represent individuals sick with other illnesses, individuals sick with COVID but unable to get a test or people just staying home out of concern).

...fell on deaf ears.

Why didn't the Obama administration replenish the n95 masks?  Did you every explain that riddle, genius?

The national shortage of N95 respirator masks can be traced back to 2009 after the H1N1 swine flu pandemic, when the Obama administration was advised to replenish a national stockpile but did not, according to reports from Bloomberg News and the Los Angeles Times.

…

A federally backed task force and a safety equipment organization both recommended to the Obama administration that the stockpile be replenished of the 100 million masks used after the H1N1 outbreak, according to the Los Angeles Times.

Charles Johnson, president of the International Safety Equipment Association, said that advice was never heeded.

…

Bloomberg News reported similar findings last week, noting, “after the H1N1 influenza outbreak in 2009, which triggered a nationwide shortage of masks and caused a 2- to 3-year backlog orders for the N95 variety, the stockpile distributed about three-quarters of its inventory and didn’t build back the supply.”

Just as suspected this originated in the biolab in Wuhan NOT the wet market.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpQFCcSI0pU&feature=youtu.be

I mean c'mon too huge of a coincidence that ground zero is in the same region as China's only biolab.

I prefer to call it the Kung Flu.

My prediction for a while now has been peaking in U.S. 4/15, petering out (Phase 1) by early to mid-May.  What I have learned recently is "the count" is worthless it will never be accurate, a little more accurate are the deaths and recovered, possibly the # critical. Assuming no failure in healthcare infrastructure my predictions were 40k dead in U.S. by 4/15 (peak) and 80k dead by 5/1.  If we start to see catastrophic failure in the healthcare system, run out of ICU beds and/or ventilators and/or medical staff then my numbers increase by a factor of 1.5 to 2.

This recently hit home, I know of two people (1 personally) affected by this virus, a coworker I have worked with for 5 years, his dad has it, also my cousin who got it from his boss who is now dead.  My cousin has been given hydrochloroquine and it seems to be helping, he is still on a ventilator but having kidney issues and problems urinating, he is a year younger than me, but obese with diabetes.  80% of those hospitalized (in Netherlands I believe) are obese.

For anyone that has been following the financial market it is quite eye opening, yes there was a big decline, but for the past week it is acting like it has hit a bottom, even though there has to be 5-10 million unemployed at this point and many businesses in danger of going bankrupt.  The amount of QE infused into this market is unprecedented so much so big investment banks have no fears they are getting the money they need to prop it up, the bond market investors are forced to invest in stocks since bonds have very little value given the amount of QE in the system.  I've been trying to call a crash, but at this point I have to go long on my investments since the market is showing no signs of collapse, companies reporting earnings this week are just omitting guidance for the future from their calls.  I was looking to buy an apartment here in Vegas but who knows where prices will settle when this situation stabilizes, my lease is up in a month and decided I am just going to rent a place in the luxury building I was looking to buy and see if I like it there and if I like where the prices end up. 

I am fortunate my job is safe, I have been working from home for 5 years.  A friend of mine who is a bartender, hasn't paid her taxes in the past +5 years so she is ineligible for the stimulus at a minimum and likely won't see a nickle of the +$600/wk being added to unemployment, I am not exactly sure how that works (is it tax return dependent?) if anyone knows, please let me know so I can pass it on to her.

So I hate to profit during such troubling times...but without sports betting, a gambler needs to gamble.

3/5 BUY 200 SPXS 14.78

3/5 SELL 50 SPXS 23.00

3/10 BUY 65 SPXS 17.75

3/11 SELL 115 SPXS 18.38

3/23 SELL 100 SPXS 28.50 (nearly perfect timing, day's high was 28.85 I believe)

Plus I still got 30 of SPXS in my eTrade account @ 22.24

and bought OPEN 1 PUT contract of SPY with a strike of 234 and exp on 3/30, will likely unload sometime this week when price is right

I haven't looked at the trajectory, but did read at least one person predicting in 2 weeks, 2MM positive cases in NY State alone.

The TDS is strong in this one, he must really be a fan of dementia Joe Biden.

Where's Joe Biden?  -The guy has been invisible for a week now.

Keep screaming "Orange Man Bad", he's done an amazing job fighting the virus given the circumstances and that is why his response to it is polling so well.

It's actually higher than 4.3% You need to look at how many global cases there were 10 days ago.

There's a timeline.  Think of it this way, if there were 119k cases on March 10th, and it takes 10 days for someone to die, the death count on March 20th is a reflection of the timeline started on March 10th.  Just because there are ~200k new cases over those 10 days, we won't know the results for another 10 days, make sense? CFR is looking more like 10.9% using the corrected numbers.  And we still have a problem because the China numbers (both cases and deaths) are garbage, and we do not have an accurate picture of number of positive cases worldwide on March 10th, likely much higher than 119k which gives hope of a much lower CFR.

trending: Where's Joe Biden?  the guy with dementia has been a ghost for a week, no public appearances.

NYC is fuked, they (NY) have half the US cases (12k out of 25k)