eckins11

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replied to NFL coin flip theory in NFL Betting Thursday night's picks are in! Tonight the coin calls for the under and dog to cover. Best of luck to all. If early history is an indication, the under is the play....according to the coin. Teams Lines Coin Pick TB 47 U47 ATL -6.5 TB +6.5 BAL 41.5 O41.5 CLE +1.5 CLE +1.5 GB 52 U52 DET -2.5 DET -2.5 OAK 47 U47 NE - 14 OAK +14 IND 45 U45 JAX +7 IND -7 SD 45.5 U45.5 BUF -2.5 SD +2.5 DAL 44.5 O44.5 STL -1 DAL +1 WAS 49.5 O49.5 PHI -6.5 WAS +6.5 MIN 49 U49 NO -9.5 MIN +9.5 HOU 41.5 U41.5 NYG +2 HOU -2 SF 42 O42 AZ +3 AZ +3 KC 42.5 U42.5 MIA -3.5 KC +3.5 DEN 48.5 O48.5 SEA -4.5 SEA -4.5 PIT 42 O42 CAR -3.5 CAR -3.5 CHI 45.5 U45.5 NYJ -2.5 CHI +2.5 View Post \| View Thread	eckins11	40	September 18, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL coin flip theory in NFL Betting Alright ladies. Week two at least had some movement. Many people were beat down in my survivor league and I heard quite a few choice words about the games this weekend. Here's how the coin fared.... Week 2 12-20 YTD 28-35-1 Fav 1-6 Fav YTD 5-12 Dog 3-6 Dog YTD 7-8 Over 1-3 Over YTD 4-7-1 Under 7-5 Under YTD 13-7 Sides 4-12 Sides YTD 12-20 Total 8-8 Total YTD 17-14-1 View Post \| View Thread	eckins11	40	September 16, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL coin flip theory in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network: this is absurd, but interesting to see what the results are going to be, personally, I would like to see the coin go undefeated; if only for a week, that would be fascinating to say the least..... My thought exactly SN! What if the coin goes on a "hot streak"? Haha, I'd be lying if I said I wouldn't be tempted to follow its lead for a while. View Post \| View Thread	eckins11	40	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL coin flip theory in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by bk1374: This is kind of insulting to anyone who actually puts effort into their picks, bad or good. It's also insulting to anyone with a brain and/or a 4th grade education. Exactly what results are you expecting? Well bk, if you've read any of my posts you'd see we are just looking for a comparison. We're expecting it to show how much your time and effort are worth. Much like the experiments they do with monkeys picking stocks against the "experts". Sometimes they outperform the professionals, and other times they prove, well, that they're monkeys. I'm NOT an expert. In my amateur experience, I have listened to the experts and done my own research and analysis. There are seasons where I'm a genius and people should be so lucky to know my picks. And then there's seasons (like last year) where I'm a bumbling fool and have no business even watching football let alone bet on it. So if this is a complete waste of your time, feel free to move on. If you'd like to show your prowess, go ahead and post your picks for every game on Thursday and see how you do against the coin. BOL View Post \| View Thread	eckins11	40	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL coin flip theory in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by olde13: And why do you think a coin flip would yield anything better than 50 per cent in the long run (e.g. season)? I'm not a statistician, however the experiment is really to see how the coin vs. my own (or your own) picks do in the long run. As I originally posted, the "experts" typically only win 50-60% over the life of the season and they spend hours\days toiling over research, trends, inside info, etc. etc. So we'll see.... View Post \| View Thread	eckins11	40	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL coin flip theory in NFL Betting Here we go with Week 2 picks. On a personal note, I like the coin's picks for tonight but disagree with many of the others. Do you agree or disagree with the coin for TNF? Teams Lines Coin Pick PIT 44.5 Under 44.5 BAL -2.5 PIT +2.5 NO 47.5 Over 47.5 CLE +6.5 NO -6.5 ATL 48.5 Under 48.5 CIN -5 ATL +5 NE 49 Under 49 MIN +3 MIN +3 DET 43.5 Over 43.5 CAR -2.5 DET +2.5 MIA 43 Under 43 BUF +1 MIA -1 JAX 43 Under 43 WAS -6 JAX +6 AZ 43 Uner 43 NYG +2.5 AZ -2.5 DAL 49.5 Over 49.5 TEN -3.5 DAL +3.5 SEA 44.5 Under 44.5 SD +5.5 SEA -5.5 STL 37 Under 37 TB -6 TB -6 KC 51 Over 51 DEN -13 DEN -13 HOU 39.5 Under 39.5 OAK +3 OAK +3 NYJ 46 Under 46 GB -8 NYJ +8 CHI 48.5 Under 48.5 SF -7 CHI +7 PHI 53.5 Under 53.5 IND -3 IND -3 View Post \| View Thread	eckins11	40	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic TNF : Week 1: 2-0! Week 2? in NFL Betting Ok kids the coin flip resulted in a perfect 2-0 last Thursday night. Fluke? Maybe. This weeks pick: Teams Coin Pick PIT 44.5 Under 44.5 BAL -2.5 PIT +2.5 BOL to all! View Post \| View Thread	eckins11	1	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL coin flip theory in NFL Betting Week 1 tally was close to 50/50. Predictable? Maybe. Time will tell.... Tally Week 1 Week 1 16-15-1 YTD 16-15-1 Fav 4-6 Dog 4-2 Over 3-4-1 Under 6-2 Sides 8-8 Totals 9-6-1 View Post \| View Thread	eckins11	40	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL coin flip theory in NFL Betting Totals 9-6-1 View Post \| View Thread	eckins11	40	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL coin flip theory in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Shark_Attack: So are you expecting us to track the coin's record? Is there any particular reason you didn't post the record, after creating this thread and getting people interested in the experiment? Not at all, just realized the tally didn't get posted. Will do so now. View Post \| View Thread	eckins11	40	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL coin flip theory in NFL Betting Last Thursday night the coin goes 2-0. This week the coin believes it will be UNDER 44.5 and PIT +2.5. BOL to all! Teams Lines Coin Pick PIT 44.5 Under 44.5 BAL -2.5 PIT +2.5 NO 47.5 Over 47.5 CLE +6.5 NO -6.5 ATL 48.5 Under 48.5 CIN -5 ATL +5 NE 49 Under 49 MIN +3 MIN +3 DET 43.5 Over 43.5 CAR -2.5 DET +2.5 MIA 43 Under 43 BUF +1 MIA -1 JAX 43 Under 43 WAS -6 JAX +6 AZ 43 Uner 43 NYG +2.5 AZ -2.5 DAL 49.5 Over 49.5 TEN -3.5 DAL +3.5 SEA 44.5 Under 44.5 SD +5.5 SEA -5.5 STL 37 Under 37 TB -6 TB -6 KC 51 Over 51 DEN -13 DEN -13 HOU 39.5 Under 39.5 OAK +3 OAK +3 NYJ 46 Under 46 GB -8 NYJ +8 CHI 48.5 Under 48.5 SF -7 CHI +7 PHI 53.5 Under 53.5 IND -3 IND -3 View Post \| View Thread	eckins11	40	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL coin flip theory in NFL Betting Also adding DEN/IND u54.5 View Post \| View Thread	eckins11	40	September 07, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL coin flip theory in NFL Betting I'm tracking my personal picks against the coin as well. Personally, I'm taking SF/DAL O51; MIN +3; PHI -10.5 BOL to all today! View Post \| View Thread	eckins11	40	September 07, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL coin flip theory in NFL Betting There is a typo on the coin's selection for PHI JAX. It should read JAX +10.5 View Post \| View Thread	eckins11	40	September 06, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Ever purchased "guaranteed picks" in NFL Betting I have a post on my space about a tout service with "guaranteed" picks. They went 0-11 and told me to double up with every new pick. Then when after I took a week off they yelled at me and told me they were on a hot streak while I was away. They are a total joke. Even if you watch Money Talks on CNBC, you will see they have you double up after each loss so when you finally do win, they look like they are geniuses. Save your money and your sanity. Do your own research or follow some of the strong people within this community for free. GL View Post \| View Thread	Andyman69	19	September 05, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Week 1 in NFL Betting On fire man! View Post \| View Thread	Metallica2467	70	September 05, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL coin flip theory in NFL Betting So the coin starts off the year 2-0, picking SEA and the Over. Wish my own pick started out as strong. I'm 0-1 thus far. We'll see how the rest of the week goes. View Post \| View Thread	eckins11	40	September 05, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL coin flip theory in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by carloscipper: You should flip the coin two times.....one for the team result and one for the over/under......because with one flip it will always be away team and under and home team and over......its not always home and over or away and under....just saying since its two diferent picks it should be two flips of the coin. It's two flips. If you look at the picks there is a variety of outcomes that wouldn't align with just one flip. View Post \| View Thread	eckins11	40	September 04, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL coin flip theory in NFL Betting Ok, here we go with Week 1. The lines were provided by Covers as of Thursday morning at 11:30 PDT. Hopefully the format is easy enough to understand. Personally, for TNF I'm picking GB +5.5 and the Over, so I'm interested to see how I do against the coin tonight. Good luck to all! Teams Lines Coin Pick GB 46.5 Over 46.5 SEA -5.5 SEA -5.5 BUF 47.5 Under 47.5 CHI -7 CHI -7 WAS 45 Under 45 HOU -3 WAS +3 CIN 43 Under 43 BAL -1.5 CIN +1.5 NE 47 Over 47 MIA +5 NE -5 TEN 43 Under 43 KC -3 TEN +3 NO 51.5 Under 51.5 ATL +3 NO -3 MIN 43.5 Over 43.5 STL -3.5 STL -3.5 CLE 41.5 Under 41.5 PIT -6.5 CLE +6.5 OAK 40 Over 40 NYJ -5.5 NYJ -5.5 JAX 52.5 Under 52.5 PHL -10.5 JAX +5.5 SF 51 Over 51 DAL +4.5 SF -4.5 CAR 39.5 Under 39.5 TB -2.5 TB -2.5 IND 55 Over 55 DEN -7.5 IND +7.5 NYG 47 Over 47 DET -5.5 DET -5.5 SD 45 Over 45 AZ -3 AZ -3 View Post \| View Thread	eckins11	40	September 04, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic NFL coin flip theory in NFL Betting The coin flip theory. Have you ever hit that point of desperation (a la John Anthony in the movie Two For the Money) where you make a wagering decision based on a coin flip? Where your own research, statistical breakdowns, expert advice, etc., etc., all equated to a loss at the end of the game? Many of us have latched on to the hottest prognosticator on this or other websites to ride their coattails to victory. However I’ve read that even a great handicapper will only win about 55-60% of their total picks over the course of a season. I predict a coin flip can do better. Pschaw you say?? Let’s see how you do against the coin. Here’s my experiment. Just for the sake of science, I will flip the same coin for every game of the season and post the results here before the Thursday night game. I will post the lines I am picking against and we will see how the coin flip does over the course of each week and season. To keep things consistent, the home team will always be heads as will the over (thus visitors will be tails as will the under). Keep in mind, I will be choosing lines based their postings Thursday….so if there are last minute changes to the lines prior to game time, those will not be reflected. Also, if a game is off the board pending an injury update, that will not be accounted for either unless I feel like doing it Sunday morning (don’t count on that). Let’s see how it goes…… View Post \| View Thread	eckins11	40	September 03, 2014 View Post \| View Thread

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