esposito10304

RIP Lippsman, true Master of NHL forum 

@arakias

 number 3 is playing the "biggest" favorites, whether there are 4, 5, 6 or more favorites. But numbers are not that good, as you see.

All right, some last numbers for you guys, for the last 5 seasons (2015/10 to 2020/03, 1 unit per bet)

1) days with only 3 road F : invest 150, net 87.18 (58.12%)

2) 3-teams and more : invest 285, net 109.51 (38.42%)

3) 3 HIGHEST favorites only: invest 285, net 103.44 (36.29%)

If you want to maintain good return but with a little more action, you can play 1u on 4+parlay and more on 3-teams

@arakias

  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1KUs-69kUO8ohwj1pi3Pt64nfVXENh2dC5pAEqDyGG84/edit?usp=sharing 

 2018-2019 was a bad year for 3-team, slightly negative (-4.52), but it hit two 5-teams and one 4-teams in 3 days... so...I don't know if it's wise to play 4+ parlays. Up to everyone. I may be doing it, for not having regrets afterwards.

2015-2019 (4 seasons, with "A and F" query):

3-teams: invest 129, Net 64.25 (yield 49.8%)

4-teams: invest 61, Net -14.68 (-24%)

5 teams: invest 41, Net 52.78 (129%)

6-teams: invest 4, Net -4 (-100%)

8-team: invest 1, net -1 (-100%)

Overall: Invest 236, net 97.35 (41,25%)

There is great value playing 3-teams parlay, only when you got 3 favorites (i.e. not playing 3 "best" favorites).  30 bets a year, and for 2015-2017, net result is 68.77 for 93 invested.

On the same time, if you bet 4, 5 and more parlays, net result is 70.21 but for 166 invested and with more risk of long cold streaks.

@arakias

 Sorry, ahem 

Anyway, my numbers were wrong for 2015. Using "A and F" query, 2015 is +1326

2016 is +2620 (12W - 48L).

Note: if you play only 3-teamers, the net result is slightly better as if you play 4-5-6 etc. teamers (often losers but who knows ? a juicy 8 or 9 teamer can rule them all)

@arakias

 Strange...I think we've used different formulas. My search query was like that, for ex. march 26th you talked about.: 

date=20160326 and A and F

Panthers doesn't appear as Tampa is considered F (at home) at -115 (Panthers are -105 away)

You should open your own topic. It's very interesting...I looked at 2015 season and it's up +$2400 (11 W - 42 L), only 3 teamers except one 5-teamer win

A 50% record at -157 average line seems pretty overrated so far, at least by bookies.

You got 25k views...that's not just the two of us 

Of course not!  you are one of the best here . I'm thinking myself dropping NHL and waiting for baseball...boring game but way easier, betting speaking 

3 losses, 1 goal-margin, 2 OT.

Hey, NHL, look at this: 

 I doubt you can get value on this in KHL, major differences and odds between teams. NHL is less predictable so you get good odds

Get well Chaser! Vegas owes you this one 

Flyers record at home is 14-6 but it gotta slow down one day or another, we're not talking about a "Tampa 2018 kind of team"... Still, I can't pull the trigger on Tampa as well...

28-25-4 (+6.5%)

No 2% bets tonight. Let's try to not burn last days profit.

Islanders ML +118 (1%)

Senators ML +131 (1%)

Oilers ML +123 (1.5%)

0 goal again for the Yotes. All right, all right... 

Good luck! (and that's it. I got absolutely nothing relevant to say about this game) 

Now, real question is: who's gonna pick a side on Sens/Wings game?