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Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:
Should be more points. It's not only the starting field position which should average close to the 30, as opposed to the 23 average last year in the NFL, it is also the reduction in penalties on returns. Only 22% of NFL kickoffs were returned last year, but 35% of those had a penalty on the return team, resulting in disastrous starting field position of the 15 or less. This is all but eliminated in this new system. There will also be more touchdowns scored and longer kickoffs returned, added to standard starting field position of 30 and 40 yard line. I can't help believe this will lead to more points in the NFL this year I can’t conceptualize the need for this rule change. Thinking it’s just another wrinkle to screw sports bettors and punish defensive teams. |
chef702 | 11 |
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There’s no other play. If you like the Wolves bet the alt lines for a blowout. If this game is close, Mavs take it. |
FSerpico | 3 |
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created a topic
Seeing AROD cheering on the baseline reminded me of the Yankees blowing 3-0 lead to RedSox.
in NBA Betting Have not bet this series but did take a flyer at +1000 prior to game 4. Still think Dallas is the better more experienced team and should advance but the r/r was there. Minnesota has 2 of the next 3 games in their building.
I do expect the Wolves momentum to carry over to a home win in game 5. Then in my estimation, Mavs must close it out at home in Dallas in game 6 or risk a do or die game 7 @ Minnesota with all the momentum in the world with the Wolves. |
FSerpico | 2 |
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You lost your ass tonight |
Devilplayer | 13 |
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Quote Originally Posted by TxRangers:
Quote Originally Posted by FSerpico: Feed the big man everytime down. 3 assists in the half, predictable sets. Bunch of clowns. I think UCONN runs them over 2H. Alt lines are a gift. so you think Purdue is a bunch of clowns? That's why they are 34-4, because they are a bunch of clowns and a #1 seed yes |
FSerpico | 7 |
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Feed the big man everytime down. 3 assists in the half, predictable sets. Bunch of clowns. I think UCONN runs them over 2H. Alt lines are a gift. |
FSerpico | 7 |
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Feed the big man everytime down. 3 assists in the half, predictable sets. Bunch of clowns. I think UCONN runs them over 2H. Alt lines are a gift. |
FSerpico | 1 |
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KC recovered 9 of 10 fumbles in the playoffs |
DogbiteWilliams | 29 |
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Moody’s missed extra point also would’ve forced KC to score a TD late instead of tying the game with a FG instead.
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FSerpico | 14 |
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I watched the Super Bowl last night without placing a wager for the first time in over a decade. Was in fact leaning SF 49ers but held back mainly because of the franchise history of unprecedented bad luck and misfortunes during big games. Dre Greenlaw held Kelce to 2 yards receiving in the 1H. The odds of Greenlaw blowing out his Achilles while attempting to run onto the field from the sidelines in the Super Bowl, no less, .005% chance? as fate would have it, Greenlaw’s backup (Oren Burks) Burks was targeted 9 times for 9 completions, 1 TD and a 135% passer rating when targeted. Kelce was Kelce again. In the annals of SB history, you’ll never read or hear about these two occurrences but they were both needed for KC to win the SB. Often it’s only those who have sold their soul to the devil that benefit from such events. The 49ers strike me as a group of good hard working guys. Good guys rarely win in this world. Rarely, there are outliers but few and far between. I didn’t even mention the following: McCaffrey who fumbled 3 times in the last 20 games played, decided to hold the ball very loosely and high, fumbled in the first series of the SB as the Niners were methodically driving. Trent Williams HOF LT, chose the SB to play his worst game of the season. 2 false starts and a holding penalty took points off the board. Deebo Samuel also got injured and wasn’t effective at all. I’m not the betting man I once was but I would take the 49ers win total under next season and also have them missing the playoffs. Not because they don’t believe they can win the SB, it’s the type of misfortunes they routinely endure during crucial moments of big games that will cause doubt and shock in their mindset. The better team did not win the SB last night. No one will convince me of that. |
FSerpico | 14 |
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Personally wouldn’t be surprised to see Niners win this game by 3 TD’s. |
lookingtowin | 28 |
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CHIEFS +4 <—- I’ve seen bait in my life but this takes the cake
Mahomes is certainly a killer but tomorrow the only thing he will be killing is KC bets. Im already on RAVENS -3.5 and have no prb with the -4 line either.
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FSerpico | 11 |
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Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:
The separation is in the preparation. The Chiefs are not prepared for this game. We've all seen the videos of them trying to contain their laughter when asked what they have seen from Zach Wilson on tape. A team notorious for d*icking around and looking sloppy as big favorites, now off a laughably easy win looks like they have another laughably easy win on paper. And they are acting like it. Way more talk about Taylor Swift for them this week than the pathetic Jets. Zach Wilson sucks. We all see it. But he seems like a genuinely good guy and I would not be shocked if one or two plays early dramatically swings the team and fan momentum tomorrow. And I get the sense Rodgers returning to the team tomorrow night gives them a boost. The Chiefs are very good. But they have holes. Remember the narrative oh I don't know, 7 days ago, that their receivers sucked? Guess what, they still suck. A scrimmage against the Bears doesn't change that. The Chiefs are also 30th in pass rush win rate and 29th in run stop win rate. Their defensive line has not played well. The Jets aren't your typical large home underdog that lacks talent. The defense still has many pro bowlers. I look for a spirited game from them tomorrow and to shut down the sh&tty KC receivers. Sure, Mahomes has never played in NY and he'll "look to put on a show". Please. This team has played billions of primetime games and big playoff games. They are in NY right now having fun at the club and on broadway not caring one bit about the easy win they have in the bag tomorrow night. I look for the unprepared Chiefs to get hit in the mouth by a talented, desperate team. One play by Wilson and the stadium and team will erupt. Jets plus the points is a great bet. Don't be surprised when they win straight up. Wait, did you wager the JETS or did you simply comment that it's a good spot for them to help the forum?? |
andarmac99 | 17 |
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replied to
Mahomes throwing moon balls up for grabs has to be the most blatant attempt to…you know what!
in Penalty Box The bogus horsecollar was very revealing also. |
begginerboy | 49 |
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What am i missing here? JETS D is is routinely touted as a top 5 defense by all sports media outlets with one of the best defensive minds in Saleh? this defense stinks. Absolutely stinks. |
FSerpico | 6 |
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MIAMI + 4 MIAMI ML WARRIORS -7
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FSerpico | 4 |
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Nice work. Good luck |
Greekwiseguy | 4 |
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Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:
MIAMI + LAKER ML +850 Knicks with at home or Warriors win at home? One of these teams will prevail imo. Probably the Warriors. |
ActionMagnet | 19 |
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Seems most are lining up to take the desperate Warriors tonight because it’s a must win game. Agreed it’s a must win game, however, I don’t believe they have the horses to get it done. They simply don’t. Not the 2023 Warriors. You could make a case that D Lo is better than current version of Klay. Curry is all time great but his roster is far weaker than what Lebron has with the Lakers. Difficult to win games when your entire offense revolves around hitting a ton of threes. They are unable to get easy buckets vs this Laker D. Bob Myers Warriors GM failed Steph Curry. All those high first round picks could’ve been flipped for a quality all star. LAKERS -3.5 25 units
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FSerpico | 15 |
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First I want to thank everyone for the words of encouragement on my last thread. It didn’t go unnoticed. I took a break from the grind. Focused on my mental health and letting go of past failures and the weight of regret. I’ve been observing, watching football without placing wagers. Tonight I’m back. I can’t resist this spot for the Bills. It’s as good as it gets. BILLS -7 for a hefty amount. No other way.
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FSerpico | 21 |
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