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replied to
Topic: Topic: Bubba's $$$$ Thread ~ SATURDAY ~ Post Your BEST Play (With Write-up) ~ 05/20/16
in Website Promotions
$$$$ Collected -150 over Awesome Speed $$$
This is only my second $$$$ post, and try to be very selective in my posts vs. the plays I normally make. Really like this head to head matchup at the Preakness (Kilo explained head to head matchups in his post above). Collected is a Bob Baffert horse, who in my opinion is the best trainer in the game right now, and possibly one of the best trainers ever. It's never a good idea to bet against a Baffert horse. Collected has won his past 2 races (3 out of past 4) including his last race won at Keeneland (not an easy race by any means) On the other side of the matchup we have Awesome Speed who received an automatic bid by winning through disqualification at a race in Laurel, MD. The Laurel track doesn't bring in good horses by any stretch of the imagination, so for Awesome Speed to win by disqualification, is like the Braves beating the Phillies last night. Not impressive. While this bet is a fade of Awesome Speed, I also love Collected. I'm not betting any WPS for this race because of the sloppy track, but if I was, I'd be tossing Collected in my bets. With that being said, I'm about 45 minutes from the track, and the rain looks to be holding off for a bit. If it does become a sloppy track, I still really really like this bet. If it's a clear track, it might be my favorite of the week. Good luck. $$$$ Collected -150 over Awesome Speed $$$
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bk1374 | 75 |
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replied to
Bubba's $$$$ Thread ~ SATURDAY ~ Post Your BEST Play (With Write-up) ~ 05/14/16
in MLB Betting
Been following this thread for awhile now, and I finally want to jump in with a play.
$$$$ HOUSTON/BOSTON OVER 10 $$$$ Both teams can hit the ball well, as evidenced last night. The Red Sox have been on a tear lately and are not showing signs of letting up. After giving up a 4 run lead last night, I see the Red Sox coming out really hot, wanting to take a lead that they won't give up. Only problem with that is their pitcher - Buchholz the bum. He had one good outting vs. Toronto (not saying much based on how their bats have been swinging). In his other 6 outings, he gave up 2 runs (once), 4 runs (once) and 5 runs (3 times). It's a clear day with 10MPH winds in Boston so the ball should fly pretty well. Now, here's what really tipped the scale for me to make this a $$$$ play and post. Jackie Bradley Jr. has been in the 9 spot, and on a 19 game hitting streak. I've been following JBJ since he was at my alma mater and helped bring us to the national championship. He's finally having his year and is on a roll. Why do I care so much about JBJ today? He'll be batting in the 2 spot today. First time to my knowledge that he'll be at the top of the order. We have Mookie has the leadoff, JBJ, Bogaerts, Ortiz and Hanly. Love that top of the lineup. Not to mention the usual suspects will still be in the lineup (outside of Pedroia). With that order, even if the bottom of the lineup can't string hits together, the batters I just listed will get the bats rolling. I'm also on Cubbies RL, CWS RL, Nats RL (second game), and KC RL. Normally only bet 1-2 games a day, but really like the card today. Good luck. $$$$ HOUSTON/BOSTON OVER 10 $$$$
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Bubbaski27 | 89 |
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I've been thinking the same thing. The Mets have made me a ton this season, and on the surface it looks like the Mets will easily win (especially with DeGrom on the bump). With the Mets playing yesterday and traveling out to the West Coast, I could see this being a lot tighter than it looks on paper. Maybe I'm over thinking it, but the more research I do the less I like this pick.
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ghuk123 | 12 |
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While I'm a proud Gamecock alum, I always fade my team in basketball. USC has a great home court environment, and there's some talent there (knocking off #8 at the time A&M on the road) but it's not consistent. I think there are better games on the board than betting what amounts to basically a coin flip.
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jroc1247 | 9 |
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My Gamecocks almost beat Clemson...Clemson plays in the All Cupcake Conference vs Bama in the SEC...Clemson struggled against the WORST team in the SEC...This may be Clemson's best team in a long time, but Clemson will get absolutely crushed, can't wait to see Dabo crying with his tail between his legs
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BreakDBookie | 22 |
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Proud Gamecock alum, but will not bet on my team blindly (bet with your mind not your heart). Love this spot, Gamecocks are rolling right now (Carrera is unstoppable and has a lot of fire in him) bet South Carolina to win this one easily.
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LVTruck | 11 |
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Just left work near Camden Yards...Light drizzle, but looks like it could pick up...If it doesn't get much worse that game shouldn't be postponed
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tpr09 | 20 |
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Rough week last week...Let's see what we have this week
WISCO -18.5 1H I see Wisco coming out hot and driving up the score early. Full game should be a good bet too, but I'd like to collect my money at halftime. A&M -20.5 1H I see a repeat of last week. Nevada has similiar power ranking stats to Ball state, so the score should be lopsided again at halftime. NOTRE +3 FG I think Notre's QB is given too much credit - 8 points of credit according to power rankings. They're a solid squad, and I like getting 3 points here. LEANS: Alabama - 7 Auburn +7 South Carolina +16 (As I've said before, I'm a clear South Carolina fan. I was tempted when the line was +17, but it's since dropped. I like the Ol' Ball Coach getting that many points, but the Gamecocks are just god awful, let alone going between the hedges in Athens. It's a tough stadium, and I keep going back and forth on this game. Will probably stay away so my bias doesn't affect my betting, but I still don't think it's a bad pick).
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GamecockBettor | 2 |
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Went 2-1 last week, here are the picks and write up for week 2:
OSU -27 1H OSU will roll all over Hawaii. Like the first half line because the starters should play the majority of the half. UGA -13 1H Same reasoning as above. Vandy is god awful. UGA will come out hot and dominate. A two touchdown lead in the first half is absolute minimum damage down by UGA. Okalahoma -1 game This will be fairly close, but Okalahoma will pull away. Tenn will keep up, but won't be able to secure the win. Should win by a touchdown. |
GamecockBettor | 3 |
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UGA -21 1H Confirmed play: ASU -3 A&M is being given too much credit. Also, I like ASU wanting to show up and make a name for themselves as a team to watch this year. Staying away from ODU (line jumped to -7 before I could jump on it/do more research).
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GamecockBettor | 3 |
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Barely won SCAR -3 but a win's a win...
Taking UGA -21 1H...The dawgs have a huge home field advantage and will take advantage early on. I think 36 points is a lot to cover, so I like the 1H play. Also concerned about starters coming out in the 2nd half if the score gets run up. LEANS: ASU +3 Under 58 for L'ville/Auburn ODU -5 Will post any locked plays for Saturday in this thread
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GamecockBettor | 3 |
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Have only really looked at SCAR vs. UNC so far more picks to come...
SCAR -3 For full disclosure, I went to South Carolina for college, and some may consider me biased towards the school. However, I have bet against them in the past. I bet with my mind, not my heart. That being said, I don't see the Gamecocks losing tomorrow night. South Carolina was way too hyped up last year and got embarassed by A&M at home. While this is in North Carolina, it's closer to Columbia, SC than it is to Chapel Hill. Lots of Gamecocks will be filling up the stadium, giving the Gamecocks the home field edge. There's a lot of uncertainty with this young team, but the new QB Connor Mitch has looked decent in previous games as well as during practice. I see him potentially getting rattled the first few drives, but settling down. Players like Pharoh Cooper will definitely need to step up and want to shine. Players aside, let's look at the Ol' Ball Coach. Spurrier is 23-2 on first games of the CFB season (with one of those losses coming last year). He doesn't like to lose the first game and is proud of that record. I've seen all of the stats - the Gamecocks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 September games while the Tarheels are 6-1 ATS in their last Thursday games. While I understand the stats and get what it might look like on paper, I don't see the Gamecocks dropping this one.
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GamecockBettor | 1 |
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with you on this one gl
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MLBSPORTS | 14 |
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Your report will be missed tin...new to betting baseball and used it every day
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tinfoils | 33 |
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Wish I posted my Miami pick, but made it right before tip...Great way to start off the day, here are my remaining picks
Colorado -2.5 Think they're going to get another win before the big dance, higher power differential will work in their favor. Davidson -8.5 After absolutely destroying VCU, they should beat Duq. Steep line, but shouldn't prove to be a problem. Power differential is leaving about 8points on the board.
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GamecockBettor | 1 |
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I agree it's a suspiciously low line, but have already put a ton on Arkansas. I'm a Gamecock fan, follow the team diligently, and don't understand it. The Gamecocks will not win, not happening tonight. Even though it's at SCAR it's Spring Break so there won't be home court advantage. Also, it's senior night, which might help as well because they'll start all seniors who don't get much playing time.
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AnthonyStarks | 43 |
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Looking at these 3 picks for the day, shouldn't be making any others... Even though I'm a Gamecock fan, I don't find any way that SCAR will pull this one out. Arkansas has a better power differential and has too much on the line. Also, Spring Break at South Carolina starts tomorrow so lots of students are already out of town - home court advantage won't be a factor. Temple -6 Again, high power differential, leaving 2-3 points on the board in Temple's favor. ECU has not been playing well and this should be an easy one for Temple. Stanford +1.5 Stanford needs a win and has a better chance of getting it at ASU than against Arizona. Although ASU is a rough home court, their Spring Break begins tomorrow as well, so home court advantage shouldn't be a big factor. Stanford also has a higher power differential, and with the lack of home court advantage, this will come through.
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GamecockBettor | 2 |
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Love the Arkansas play...Will be at the game in my Gamecock gear but took Ark -2.5, no way they don't win this game
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Consensus4You | 9 |
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More games to come following some more research....
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GamecockBettor | 3 |
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Gotta love Auburn +5 to start off the card...Mizzou is a horriable team (my lousy Gamecocks even beat them this past weekend)...Auburn getting points looks like a gimme game
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GamecockBettor | 3 |
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