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Im on the other side of this one. Looks like the Sharps are also, hardly no one betting on BC and they went from underdogs to favorites. You should be scared, real big cash coming in on BC right now.
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pleasebrian | 62 |
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Texas -3.5, 2 Units
Boston College Pk, 4 Units Good luck everyone.
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genosteaks05 | 1 |
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King Scorpio came at his neck.
King Scorpio, your talking about "selectiveness" like its a ratio between bets placed and games being played, when its not. Lets use a new word if the world confuses you. Lets say he needs to raise his "standards". Make sure your betting standards are high, then any bets that qualify by those standards are good bets. You are now "selecting" to risk money on quality bets only. But it has nothing to do with the # of bets placed. On any given day 1 bet may qualify by those standards and on another 5 might qualify by those same exact standards. Just don't lower your standards for anybody. And by anybody I mean don't lower them for yourself, then it becomes entertainment and not business. Good luck Web. I'm on Texas and Boston College.
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FearTheWeb | 49 |
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replied to
***Macwesties Wed. Feb. 25, 2015 * NCAAB College Basketball Plays***
in College Basketball
with you on Cal, other side of Illinois vs Iowa. Have no say on the others. Good luck
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Macwestie1 | 24 |
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Saturday I assume is probably the most heavily bet day by the public then making being on a side of 35% or less more valuable than a regular week day. That could be it and makes sense.
Maine, what you think?
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MaineRoad | 64 |
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I meant Creighton in my original post I apologize.
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MaineRoad | 64 |
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If you look at yesterday(Sunday) betting on the side with 35% of money would have lost you money.
Houston +2.5 - Lost by Two = Winner WI-MIL +5.5 - Lost by 7 = Loser Niagara +6.5 - Lost by 9 = Loser Fordham +2 - Won by 14 = Winner Northwestern +6.5 - Won by 5 = Winner MO St +10.5 - Lost by 11 = Loser Colorado +1 - Won by 6 = Winner Quinnipiac +1 - Lost by 2 = Loser Buck pk - Won by 3 = Winner Nebraska +7.5 - Lost by 12 = Loser Minnesota +3.5 - Lost by 19 = Loser Utah -17.5 - Won by 15 = Loser 5-7 Overall So, combine that with Saturday and your 11-9 55%, so your still up $ if every bet was the same unit. And I believe in the long run you'll win or not loser very much. BUT, its not that easy, or plenty of people would already be doing it getting rich way before you. Unless there's something about just doing it on Saturday that I dont know about ? ?
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MaineRoad | 64 |
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I love it man. I never place bet on the same as the majority of the %, always with the minority. I think when you couple that with the line movement as well, when the line movement is away from the%(reverse line movement) you have yourself a good bet.
Although, there was a time when these types of bets were the only bets I placed, and it does very well, though vegas seems to even itself out and you can catch a bad stretch also. With that said, I agree that if I had to place a bet blindly with a gun to my head Id bet against the %. I assume you will be on WVU and Butler tonight then, and are currently on Boston College?
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MaineRoad | 64 |
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any reasoning ?
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DRE-DAY | 3 |
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the public always overreacts to injuries, ie this post. Vegas knows this, and I would say more times than not vegas over compensates the line for an injury knowing this about the public. Im not betting this game, but if had a gun to my head, I would bet K-State based on this. I'll be rooting for you as I have no stake in the game, although, I would be aware of wagering just because the injury.
I dont know if it will win or lose. I dont think it's a good bet either side because of these injuries. Although, I do think your reasoning for placing the bet is completely off. An inflated UVA line vs Duke after a Sulaimon suspension initially comes to mind. Duke won outright. I dont think K-State will win outright. I just think its extremely hard to assess value when there are injuries and suspensions at play
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Skin24 | 106 |
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2-1 on those plays
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genosteaks05 | 2 |
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Akron -7
Georgetown -3 Delaware -2 Lets go
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genosteaks05 | 2 |
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Kansas St is coming off a home win against a ranked BAYLOR team, not Texas, but I like reasoning and play
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astrat108 | 4 |
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it was at 4 earlier today, 5.5 now
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trillypad | 11 |
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true story
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trillypad | 11 |
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I completely agree Thunder take this one. Can you elaborate what you mean by "unfavorable spot". I don't know what that means. Especially in this nba playoffs that's been unpredictable and more road wins than usual.
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LeagueCapper | 121 |
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Miami plays Indiana on Friday at home. So this game essentially doesn't matter if they don't win on Friday anyway. Their still pissed about the "no call" last night. Traveling on the road to play a team that is big and physical.
Miami loses tonight by more than the 4.5. Wade comes back and they blow out the Pacers at home on Friday. You got two bets here to win money. Against Heat tonight, on the Heat on Friday. Plus when Wade doesn't play it kinda lets the team know it's not a big game. |
examine | 50 |
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Agree, but only works if Heat win tonight. So let's hope they do, preferably on a buzzer beater in triple OT
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begginerboy | 21 |
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I like the dog because it's the 3rd time their playing.
Hard to beat the same team 3 times, or take them seriously |
Eagleeyesports | 16 |
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Last paragraph I meant Louisville blows out UCONN
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nostradamus12 | 12 |
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