hutch5831

hutch5831
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Posts: 142
Member Since: October 2006
Last Activity: 25 February 2022
Status: Offline
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created a topic NFL Equity Model Picks 10/28-29
in NFL Betting

I just developed an equity model for the NFL. It is 2-0 so far, with the Houston/Over game Thursday night.

 

Philadelphia/Jacksonville over 43

Denver +9.5

Washington/NY Giants over 43.5

NY Jets/Chicago over 44

Baltimore/Carolina over 44

Green Bay +9

New England over 44

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hutch5831 1
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replied to Loyola-Chicago
in College Basketball
Thanks person. Let me rephrase then. Anyone have any reason to like UNI with the points?
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hutch5831 31
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replied to Friday Action
in College Basketball
On Loyola with you.
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JewishIce21 6
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replied to N. Iowa/Loy Ill total 121
in College Basketball
Any way Loyola doesn’t cover the number here?
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Sixtyplusplease 7
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created a topic Loyola-Chicago
in College Basketball
Any way they don’t cover here? Thinking about making this a max play.
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hutch5831 31
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created a topic System Picks 1/13
in NHL Betting
Overall: 58-32 +14.95 units
Posted: 31-18 +3.35 units

Today’s plays:
New York Rangers -155
65.28% to win
EV $11.48

New Jersey -120
57.65% to win
EV $6.82

Boston -135
66.47% to win
EV $21.20

Winnipeg +115
55.79% to win
EV $19.94

Vegas -190
77.00% to win
EV $33.29

San Jose -230
80.07% to win
EV $34.23

Los Angeles -120
70.46% to win
EV $35.00
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hutch5831 1
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replied to System Picks 1/12
in NHL Betting
3-1
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hutch5831 2
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created a topic System Picks 1/12
in NHL Betting
Overall: 55-31 +13.7 units
Posted: 28-17 +2.1 units

Today’s plays:

Columbus -185
68.93% to win
EV $11.44

Washington -110
53.61% to win
EV $2.58

Calgary +110
51.85% to win
EV $9.09

Edmonton -130
57.38% to win
EV $1.98
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hutch5831 2
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created a topic System Picks 1/11
in NHL Betting
Overall: 55-28 +19.1 units
Posted: 28-14 +7.5 units

Today’s plays:
Washington -165
67.26% to win
EV $13.24

Columbus -140
67.29% to win
EV $21.49

Tampa Bay -210 POD
78.25% to win
EV $32.57
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hutch5831 4
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created a topic System Picks 1/10
in NHL Betting
Overall: 55-27 +20.35 units
Posted: 27-13 +8.75 units

Today’s play:
Chicago -125
64.85% to win
EV $20.91
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hutch5831 1
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replied to System Picks 1/9
in NHL Betting
Yea that one worried me during the game, but I’ll take it!
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hutch5831 8
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replied to System Picks 1/9
in NHL Betting
5-1 +3.45 units
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hutch5831 8
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replied to System Picks 1/9
in NHL Betting
Agreed. And that always worries me. But the system says these are long term profitable plays.
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hutch5831 8
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created a topic System Picks 1/9
in NHL Betting
Overall: 50-26 +17 units
Posted: 22-12 +5.4 units

Today’s plays:

Washington -230
73.87% to win
EV $14.11

Winnipeg -165
75.25% to win
EV $34.40

Chicago -110
60.86% to win
EV $17.80

Tampa Bay -210 POD
81.39% to win
EV $42.32

Nashville -165
72.69% to win
EV $27.62

St. Louis -165
71.43% to win
EV $24.30
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hutch5831 8
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replied to System Picks 1/8
in NHL Betting
Well that one went south in a hurry. Blew a 2 goal lead late.
0-1 -1.7 units
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hutch5831 15
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replied to System picks 1/7
in NHL Betting
That was 1/6 in Arizona. They won that one.
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hutch5831 10
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replied to System picks 1/7
in NHL Betting
That’s it. But I’m not giving up my algorithm lol.
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hutch5831 10
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replied to System Picks 1/8
in NHL Betting
I just saw the Toronto line moved to -180. The system does not like Toronto at -180 as the EV at -180 is -$0.74. System likes it at -170 though and probably even -175.
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hutch5831 15
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replied to System Picks 1/8
in NHL Betting
AJ - Thanks for the comment. Makes sense. I just kind of felt like posting was a waste of time. This has been a fun system to run and watch. 5-1 last night, only loss was in overtime.
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hutch5831 15
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replied to System Picks 1/8
in NHL Betting
Both. The posted plays are system plays...I just keep a record of the system since I started running it and for when I started posting them.
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hutch5831 15
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