Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
---|---|---|---|---|
Here is what NEB HC Mike Riley had to say about his team’s early game play: “We had to remind them it’s not against the rules to score in the first and get something going.” Nebraska’s first halves: Down 13-10 vs. ILL (won 31-16), up 10-7 @NW (won 24-13), up 17-7 vs. WYO (won 52-17), up 14-10 vs. FRES (won 43-10), down 20-14 vs. ORE (Won 35-32). Today the Huskers are off the bye and favored by 1H -2.5 with a total of 29.5. Indiana’s last three first halves: 10@OSU, 0 vs. MSU, and 7 vs. WF. Both teams have been “second half teams” this year. IND is coming off an emotional loss at Ohio State that they kept close til the end, and they’ve lost 32 straight to top 10 opponents. I have NEB -3 and 1H UNDER 29.5. |
hute92 | 2 |
|
|
The point is to maximize value, spot mismatches, and exploit them in games where there are so many question marks to make a confident bet before the game. Since the anatomy of each game is so unique, it's nice to catch a glimpse before putting those hard earned dollars in play. In-running lines see far less action resulting in a greater variance in oddsmaker's ability to set a sharp line with little time to prepare, thus more chances to make money at times when most bettors are watching commercials. With help from everyone, we can bounce ideas off each other in an effort to look at the market from a unique perspective . This is a test-run for me and I'll do my best to improve the overall quality of this thread, but hopefully others who are familiar with this form of profiting can chime in as well.
|
hute92 | 9 |
|
|
Halftime action brought the +11.5 to +13.5 -125 which would have been a go for me for a quarter sized bet, but I chimed in a second too late. There was notable under action as well bringing the total from 21 to 20.
|
hute92 | 9 |
|
|
Everything points to 2H MD -2.5. Given the fact the Gophers only have 10 sacks on the season, MD isn't in a terrible spot right now. They will be forced to pass more than usual but if Durkin and his staff can stick to the ground game a bit, +11.5 could be good value.
|
hute92 | 9 |
|
|
Yeah the under got hammered this week down to 45.5 from 55.5. Looking good so far. I was hoping for a 21.5 or better at half right now it's 21 -110. Both defenses have played well and both teams are a combined 4-17 on 3rd down. MINN 3.8 YPR MD 4.7 YPR. MINN was given two short fields on two turnovers, and turned it into a total of 7 points.
|
hute92 | 9 |
|
|
Glad we're not in play yet with these horrible holding calls going against MD on key plays. They can't catch a break right now nor are they doing themselves any favors. WR/KR/PR W. Likely is a huge loss for MD.
The fact the Gopher receivers are failing to get open has Rhoda standing in the pocket too long. LT Donell Green is making his first start and it's showing early.
|
hute92 | 9 |
|
|
First electric run of the game by Pigrome called back on an absolute disgrace of a holding call on a perfectly legal pancake block.That followed by a false start and a 3 and out. Line now MD +5.5, +165, 39.5.
|
hute92 | 9 |
|
|
MINN HC calls out OLINE in the media this week. Through one quarter they've looked good. IMO MD hasn't come out with the energy indicative of a home team that was embarrassed last week. The schedule gets real tough next week and wont let up any time soon. Let's see if that changes now that the Gophers took the 7-0 lead. MD now +3, +150 total 40.5 at commercial.
|
hute92 | 9 |
|
|
Maryland started 4-0 against bad teams and accumulated the #9 rushing attack in fbs. They got crushed at PSU but are home for a bounce back against a QB that has one pass attempt in three years, and a line missing their starting OT. Both running games are good but how good will Minnesota be at playing from behind?
Both teams have trouble getting to the qb and stopping the run, however I'd give the edge to MD in both. Neither team is suited to push back from a double digit deficit. If Minnesota gets a big lead, the terps will be forced to play out of their element as they had to last week, and the pass protection was tested for the first time. I'll be looking for in running opportunities in this one. |
hute92 | 9 |
|
|
K State, 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20, is in an interesting spot against Baylor tonight as all 9 of their losses have come against Top 25 opponents, including 7 in the top 15, whose combined record sits at 138-32. That’s a lot of games against top competition, which in theory should allow for cohesion and this team to get continuously stronger as the season progresses in a loaded Big 12. That being said, could this be considered a hangover spot coming off the big win against Oklahoma? Although the win against OK could possibly mean a jolt in confidence as well. Furthermore, State blew a first half double-digit lead not too long ago in Waco, losing 79-72 in 2OT, so there is a possible revenge factor. Baylor is 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven, however 5 of the last 6 between these two have been decided by 3 or less in regulation, with two going into OT and Baylor is 4-0 in conference games decided by 5 or less this season.
|
hute92 | 7 |
|
|
Yeah cuz I'm sure Grienke couldn't shut down a third of the Royals line up in his sleep. I'm going under too.
|
Covers | 18 |
|
|
|
hute92 | 3 |
|
|
Plenty of bets tonight fellas, lets get down to it. MIA +185: MIA is 5-1 in their last six, and NYY is 1-5 in thier last 6. Giancarlo+Yankee Stadium = Good things SF +125: SF 1.72 PEN ERA in their L10 (1.02 L5) HOU -127: The Astros are scoring over 8 runs per game in their L5 and face quite possibly the worst starting pitcher in baseball. HOU/COL OVER 11 -125: Brett Olberholzer is pitching in this game as well. TOR - 1.5 +105 and 1st 5 OVER 5 -105: TOR is #1 in OPS against lefties, TOR is #1 in 1st 5 runs scored at 3.39 and it's not close (#2 AZ is 2.89.) LAD/TEX UNDER 6 -115: LAD is #24 in OPS against lefties. MIN/STL UNDER 7.5 -125: Cards PEN ERA 0.38 over their last 10, and STL is #25 in OPS against LHP. * Beware of the umpires in the SF +125 ( AWAY team is 2-9 under Bill Welke,) and MIN/STL UNDER 7.5 (Joe West OVER IS 10-5.) Good luck. |
hute92 | 3 |
|
|
Go Buckeyes!
|
flyguybry21 | 1113 |
|
|
BOL Fellas
|
hute92 | 14 |
|
|
Really, you mean to tell me there's chance involved? ;-)
|
hute92 | 14 |
|
|
Shields @ Dickey -120 - The Blue Jays have won 9 straight, KC has lost 7 of 9. - James Shields is a good pitcher, and has been throughout his career, but Jose Bautista is 9 for 21/ 4HR, and Adam Lind is 13 for 51/ 5 HR against Shields. Lind is hitting .381/1.093 in 61 AB against RHP. - TOR has the better bull pen over the last 5 (2.25/4.70.) - Dickey has tossed 7 straight quality starts and is coming off an 8 IP, 5H, 2ER against Oakland. - KC has hit .237, and scored 2.96 R/9 against RHP in their last 5. - Steve Tolleson is hitting.375 at home, and leads the list of six Blue Jays not named Jose Bautista, who crack the top 50 in OPS-last 7 (Tolleson, Lind, Encarnacion, Pillar, Reyes, and Fransisco.) |
hute92 | 14 |
|
|
LAD -1.5 +110
|
hute92 | 2 |
|
|
TOR -1.5 +170 vs. TB
|
hute92 | 11 |
|
|
Let's not forget about Springer Boom!
|
hute92 | 4 |
|
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.