Indigo999

6)  Home favorites that will be underdogs their next two games have gone 269-386-13 ATS in the regular season, 41.1%

7)  Away favorites that will be underdogs their next two games have gone 76-102-5 ATS, 42.7%.

8)  Away dogs that will be favored their next two games have gone 418-290-18 ATS, 59%.

9)  Home dogs that will be favored their next two games have gone 87-76-3 ATS, 53.4%

5)  Teams that went winless in divisional games the previous season have won 42% of their divisional games straight up the following year going 120-90-3 against the spread since 2002 when every team played six divisional games.......Raiders, Giants in divisional games.

For whatever reason, those teams have performed poorly in January games going 6-13 ATS....all other months have been profitable.  

I have not pulled the trigger on these plays yet....I agree with your assessment of Minnesota...that division will also be tough now that someone who knows what they are doing is in Chicago.  (We'll find out this year if Caleb Williams can really play.)  The coaching staff at Minnesota is upper echelon....I wouldn't like them very much as favorites, but as dogs they still can be considered, certainly they could go 2-4 in their divisional games.  The Vikings get the AFC North and NFC East as their out of division games, including Cinci and Baltimore at home, and their extra game is on the road against the Chargers. 

The Chiefs after winning the Super Bowl have had very difficult years against the spread, so perhaps betting against them against the spread, especially at home is the best option, they still won games, but failed to cover.   I expect Mahomes to have a down year again in comparison to his body of work up until last year, which was not what we had come to expect from him.

Chiefs are fade city this year, three very good coaches in division to oppose them....those division teams will beat each other to a pulp, would not be surprised if there are a lot of injuries to people like Mahomes next season.

Plays:

1)  Chiefs UNDER  11' wins

2)  Vikings UNDER  8' wins

3)  Rams UNDER    10' wins

4)  Eagles UNDER 11' wins

5)  Jaguars OVER  6' wins

6)  Giants OVER    5' wins

I got this information off of the VSIN website, and Steve Makinen from last year, and I have not updated the data, so the information will be one year old which won't include last year's results.

1)  Teams that won >=13 games the prior season, but did not go to the Super Bowl, out of 42 teams in this situation NONE improved their record the following season, and only four equaled it, decreasing their win total by an average of 3.71 wins the next season.....Bills, Lions, Vikings

2)  Super Bowl losers from the year prior have won an average of 3.3 less games the following season.....Chiefs

3)  Teams that had 8 or more close wins (a win by <=8 points) their previous season won an average of 3.3 less wins the following season, four of these teams improved the next season in this situation and 29 teams did not.....Vikings, Chiefs, Eagles, Commanders, Rams

4)  Thirty-seven out of forty-three teams that lost at least 8 games by less than 9 points in their season improved the next season, by an average of 3.84 wins......Jaguars, Giants

Discretion is the better part of valor, eh?.....

I like the Clippers to win the series A LOT, however the angle I mentioned earlier will keep me off the game 1 of this series and you're right, I want to see what James Harden does, as his playoff track record is abysmal.....if he goes 4-15 from the floor in game 1, I will stay off the series completely.

7)  NHL playoffs......series game 1, round 1 away dog of <=170, who missed the playoffs their previous season,  who has won 1 or zero out of their last three away games.....15-4 PUCKLINE (+1.5), +48.4% ROI.....4-9-6 o/u........ON puckline......Canadiens, Senators, Blues

NHL hockey playoffs....

6)  Round 1, series game 1.....an away dog of <=+170 that has won less than 6 out of their last 10 games....30-29 straight up (+18.5 ROI), 44-15 puckline (+24.4% ROI).........ON Florida Panthers

4)  Away teams SG1, round 1, that played in the playoffs the season prior winning 3 out of 7 games went 3-7 ATS (-3.3) and 1-9 straight up (-10.7)....Magic

5)  Away teams SG1, round 1, that played in at least 10 playoff games the season prior went 15-27-2 ATS, (-2.9), 9-35 straight up, (-9.5).....Timberwolves

2)  Those away teams in SG1 and round 1 that missed the playoffs the season prior have gone 40-30 ATS (+1.3), 25-45 straight up (-6.1)....they have been 34-21 ATS if their present opponent was in the playoffs their prior season.......Grizzlies, Pistons

Very nice season you're having.....keep it going as the real season starts.....

1)  NBA away teams in round 1, series game 1 have gone 79-95 against the spread (-0.5), 50-126 straight up (-7.5), 28.4%.

2)  Those away teams in SG1 and round 1 that missed the playoffs the season prior have gone 40-30 ATS (+1.3), 25-45 straight up (-6.1)....they have been 34-21 ATS if their present opponent was in the playoffs their prior season.......Grizzlies, Pistons

3)  Away teams that have won 4 or 5 out of their past 5 away games going  into their  round 1, series game 1 have gone 10-19 ATS (-3.6), 6-23 straight up (-10.7),........this includes being 6-17 ATS (-6.7), 3-20 straight up (-13.5) if they made the playoffs the previous season............VERSUS  Heat, Magic, Timberwolves, Clippers, Bucs

NFL week 1 teams that were playoff teams the season prior, as:

  a)  Home favorites......52-59-2 ATS

  b)  Away favorites.......38-36-2 ATS

  c)  Away dogs.............24-42-4 ATS

  d)  Home dogs.............9-11 ATS

Those teams in the playoffs their prior season, playing a team that missed the playoffs the past season, as:

  e)  Home favorites........28-42 ATS

  f)  Away favorites.........27-30-2 ATS

  g)  Away dogs..............7-18-2 ATS

  h)  Home dogs.............3-0 ATS

I will expect away dogs, after a two year lull, to have a very strong year in 2025.  

Besides regression, books will make adjustments to keep the public from winning on favorites as they have recently.

This is in part based on season wins data given by sports interaction in Canada.

30 is the highest, the higher the number, the stronger the rating.

Toronto 27

Montreal 26.5

Winnipeg 26

Ottawa 25.5

Saskatchewan 24

BC Lions     24

Hamilton 23.5

Edmonton 22.5

Calgary 21.5

Early leans, not totally based on power ratings, are:

Toronto over Montreal

Hamilton over Calgary

Edmonton over BC

Keep in mind that most seasons, away dogs dominate in the early season going 131-96-5 ATS in the first five games, 57.7%.

They also have gone 35-18-1 ATS in those games if our away dog had more wins the previous season than their present opponent.

Teams that played in 0 or 1 playoff games the season prior as home favorites have gone 51-91 ATS in the first five games of the season....those teams qualifying this season are.....Alouettes, Lions, Elks, Stampeders, Tiger Cats, Redblacks

Yes, likewise, a very good year....you've got me contemplating doing teasers in the NFL.

It's looking like it will be Ecuador as a destination for me.

See you next year.....

We'll see if we're right Rx......

Teams that have thrown the ball for less than 200 yards in each of their prior two games have gone 5-11 ATS (-4.9), 3-13 straight up (-5.6) in the divisional championship round, including 2-5 SUATS at home......VERSUS Chiefs, Eagles.

game type=CH and playoffs=1 and p:PY < 200 and pp:PY < 200 and site

Will try to execute the paste instructions of Dogbite Williams....it is all about the execution!!....lol.

This angle actually went 8-0 ATS (+8.8), 5-3 straight up (+4.4), 1-7 o/u (-3.6)

game type=CH and playoffs=1 and tS(W, N=8)-oS(W, N=8)<0 and opS(playoffs)>2

Another angle I touched on briefly in this thread.....a team with the lesser amount of wins in their previous 8 games in comparison to their present opponent have gone 25-7 ATS in the conference championship game, which fits the Bills.

If their present opponent played in at least 3 playoff games the season prior, this moves to 7-0 ATS (+11.6), 6-1 straight up (+8.0) and 1-6 o/u (-3.6).....average line +2.43, 45.6, average score....25.6-16.4