JerryWrasse

Since I'm a little bored. Cincinnati outplayed Seattle in almost every faucet of the game. They also came up scoreless 3 times inside Seattles 36. With the new coach their offense looked much more creative they under Lazor and their prior oc whose name is not coming to me right now. Dalton passed for over 400 yards against a secondary that is now a far cry from the LOB.

Garapollo is the more talented qb but SF may be better going with Nick Mullins for now. He struggled against a very week Tampa secondary and they avg only 4.5 ypp against the worst defense in the league over the last 2 seasons. Speculating here but he doesn't look right or seem to fully trust his knee. Tough spot opening the season with b2b road games in eastern time zone and an early start here.

Det +2.5

Pit +4

Cin -2

GB -3

Den -2.5

Fwiw Detroit is my least confident play. Actually like the other one quite a bit. As I mentioned previously I would try to post some player props as ive been playing them more over the last few years.

Delanie Walker o46.5

Robert Woods o65.5

1-4

Not the start I was looking for. Hoping for a little better luck this week.

At least for me I think lines start getting really tight after week 4. NFL is the most efficient sports being market.

imo capping opening week is easiest and each week gets progressively harder. Easy isn't the right word because it's certainly not but you get the point. Teams are more likely to be over or under values based on last seasons results. I start comparing using last year's stats and adjust with a qualitative approach based on their off-season and factoring in other things like injuries and others that are relatively random occurrences (ie fumble recoveries). That will give a pretty good idea on what team will do relative to expectations.

Car +2.5

Cle -5

Cin +9.5

Jac +3.5

TB -1

These are contest lines

Not familiar with Matty. I'm sure Kelly is straight. She has a fairly big name. 

Personally I would go with Sharkey or proxyvegas. 

In. Think this is year 5. Certainly not a +EV proposition but lots of fun and if wager more than $88 on a game why not?

Sharky is good people if anyone is looking for a proxy.  Never had the pleasure of meeting him but have met his partner and used their service in the past with never having an issue. 

You deleted my promo code? Are ad revenues down that you're turning posters tout? 

To cheap to give away the whole Legends package for a month or afraid they're not all winning handicappers? 

Cle +0

Waiting all day for Landry to declare himself out lol 

Was wondering when you were going to show up. Thanks for posts and good luck this year. 

Went a little earlier this year. You and Ken proxy for the Circa contest? I didn't do it but it's the better of the 2 contest to enter with lower entrees and no hold. 

Just getting back from Vegas. Maybe one day i'll get to meet the covers legend Sharky. 

Played the Dolphins -1. Been a rough week and haven't posted very good plays so hoping this one hits. 

Bills had a missed fg and 2 lost fumbled on the first half. Indy subsequently throw a pick and turned over the ball in the downs. TB looked great the first drive with Winston and even on their next with Gabbert before giving up 3 straight scoring drives in the 2q. Rough.

Cin +3.5

They're not real lol. I've said it a few times i'm not a 70% capper. Just got hot at the times I decided to post. If posted 10,000 plays over the course of a few years I would be much closer to 56%. Preseason I just tend to think the lines are soft compared to regular season. 

Maybe. I like Freeman and Golladay for mid round guys. OBJ to have a huge year. Props are tough post because I end playing most of them right before kickoff. 

Sorry for the late picks. Had a bit of an emergency. 

TB +1 1h

Min +3 

Ind -2.5

So far only one I'm really feeling for tomorrow. Tyree Jackson is going to look like a mess. 6'7" led feet. Something just seems to missing there. No Luck will be fine.