JMTorry

Cbs  sports line and espn….

This simple system of reverse line movement has been hitting almost 67% when the disparity is significant.  

The giants / jets gane tomorrow meets the criteria big time: 71% of joe public is on the giants yet the line is moving the opposite way…. Jets opened at -3 and went up to -5   At -4.5 now in most books  

jets YUGE

also like Detroit ML - smart money on that

GL

Have a long flight from NYC to LA... and just found out I will have  access to ESPN where this game  will be  televised.  Need some entertainment on the  plane, as well as a winner!

Any thoughts / views / opinions on this game?  Kind of feel like taking the favorite (Bears), just because, but truly know absolutely nothing about either team.  

Please share any insight or info you may have!

Both teams playing and shooting well, but Denver seems more determined to win this. Going by 1H stays alone, Denver dominating 3 pointers and assists.  Raptors however can turn it on in 2H.  

I have raptors for game.  But, gun to head, I would take denver 2H

comments and thoughts welcomed 

Hawaii looks like the better team tonight. Their defense is on par tonight. I like them to win at home.

2H Hawaii +1.5 (medium play)

I don’t mean to jinx myself but I feel like an idiot.  Atlanta totally has this. 

Why isn’t the line moving then?   Literally everyone per VegasInsider and covers etc show the betting public in Atlanta.  Yet the line has not moved to indicate such.  Which means, sharp money on Minnesota. 

I am going against the grain.  Minnesota breaks their losing streak tonight. 

I’ve always been told, unless some edge, never bet on a game when two bad teams are playing each other.  

Well, this game would seem like one that falls into this category. 

A lot of people on here I respect and follow are all over Atlanta, and I respect the reasons why... trades, 12 games losing streak, no motivation to play, etc.  

but, tonight Minnesota will win.  Recently, they have Atlanta’s number.  The ones traded are not their blue chip players, won’t have that much affect.  Minnesota really has more talent than one would think looking at their record. They have been in a lot of games against solid teams.  

also the line is way fishy.  -4.5?  You would think it would be a PK... especially that everyone is in Atlanta.  And I see -5 in some places. . Reverse line movement.  

medium bet Minnesota 1H and full game minus whatever.  

As always, thoughts and opinions welcomed and encouraged. 

Line just screams trap game! 

Dominating the boards, and typically a 2H team...liking Detroit to win this game on the court.

Medium bet:  2H Detroit +3

As always, lets discuss.  Thoughts?

Thoughts and opinions welcomed and encouraged!

Besides of a run NY went on, Memphis has dominated this game.   Memphis better team and want this win more.  They should win by 15+

2H Memphis +0.5 big

Thoughts?

Jazz are completely dominating.  

shooting 52% to Warriors 36% in FGs

35% to 25% in 3 pointers

rebounds 31 v 18

Complete domination.  yes, they will start playing their bench will will allow for a last minute cover... but Jazz bench also dominates Warriors.

Big bet Jazz +0.5 and under 112

Is this happening?

I like them too.. what's your reasoning?   do you see them coming out strong in 1H?

Bet ya $5!

Clearly the better team.  Out of 5 stars 4.

SD St. -3.5

Line should be -9.5

Foxhound, as was i - and like I said, I make a nice amount of supplemental income on UT games... and they should lose this.   But this reverse line movement will make me bet on UT.   Too weird.   TCU way better.  ...maybe I am over thinking it

Fortunarely or unfortunately, as an alum of the University of Texas, even in their woeful seasons, I am a Longhorns fan for life.  

 That being said, I know all their strengthens and weaknesses..  I know they’re in a regrowing right now.   I understand the quarterback is good, but he’s not where he needs to be.  We are a mediocre team who gets a lot of hype bc of the name UT Longhorns.  

Yes we had a “big” win last week against USC - but that was against a true freshman QB playing in Texas.  Hard stadium to play at. 

TCU has a hard loss last week.  They want to prove they are a good team, which they are - arguably so.  

This is the classic letdown for Texas.... right?!?   I know my team and gun to head. I would take TCU.  Easy money.  

But is there reverse line movement?? 72% of the public is on TCU, bet the line moved down to TCU -2.5 (from -3).  

Am i missing something?

Thoughts?