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A question: Does tA(sacks) measure the "net" average, that is sacks made minus sacks allowed? For that matter does this protocol "A" measure NET or just offensive average? A(RY), oA(PY), tA(qbr)....etal?? |
jowchoo | 27 |
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Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:
Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: inserting RY for sacks in your query gets 52-19 and for HD you get 13-4. More than 1 way to skin a cat. Come on covers please address multiple posts and incomplete pastes Are you sure about that? p:RY - pp:RY < -2.5 and pp:RY - ppp:RY < -2.5 ATS: 1151-1153-70 (0.1,50.0%) HD's do cover at 54.4%, but the avg ATS margin is only 1.2, so I'd skip it.
See post 22. |
jowchoo | 27 |
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p:plays-pp:plays<-4 and pp:plays-ppp:plays<-4 and season>=2024 and D (2-8) |
jowchoo | 27 |
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p:RY-pp:RY<-10 and pp:RY-ppp:RY<-10 and season=2024 and D (17-6) |
jowchoo | 27 |
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inserting RY for sacks in your query gets 52-19 and for HD you get 13-4. More than 1 way to skin a cat. Come on covers please address multiple posts and incomplete pastes |
jowchoo | 27 |
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This covers code is so fucked. p:RY |
jowchoo | 27 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:
season=2024 and p:RY p:RY |
jowchoo | 27 |
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season=2024 and p:RY |
jowchoo | 27 |
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season=2024 and p:RY |
jowchoo | 27 |
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season=2024 and p:RY |
jowchoo | 6 |
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season=2024 and p:RY |
jowchoo | 6 |
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season=2024 and p:RY |
jowchoo | 6 |
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season=2024 and week>1 and p:RY |
jowchoo | 6 |
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query not pasting should be p:RY |
jowchoo | 27 |
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Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:
This sacks query is not bad: p:sacks - pp:sacks < -2.5 and pp:sacks - ppp:sacks < -2.5 ATS: 32-15-1 (3.6,68.1%) ******* Road teams are better: p:sacks - pp:sacks < -2.5 and pp:sacks - ppp:sacks < -2.5 and A ATS: 16-5-1 (5.3,76.2%) THX DBW! Your query inspired me. Another line of scrimmage predictive stat imo is RY
season=2024 and week>1 and p:RY season=2024 and week>1 and p:RY
I see the beginning of a LOS (line of scrimmage model)...;-) |
jowchoo | 27 |
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Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:
Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: 2. season=2024 and sacks>3 and D (39-18) 68%....6 pt teaser (49-8) 86% Again, that is a Conjecture Query for the current game. Teams that manage 4+ sacks usually cover. How are you selecting those teams? There are no p, avg or ytd parameters in that query. season = 2024 and p:sacks > 3 ATS: 62-64-5 (-0.2,49.2%) GTD season = 2024 and tA(sacks) > 3 ATS: 47-50-2 (-0.0,48.5%) GTD season=2024 and tA(sacks) - oA(sacks) > 1.5 ATS: 15-14 (0.5,51.7%) GTD JC, I hope you can find a way to predict the sacks in any game (or week's games) you are handicapping. Good luck. THX DBW I have made this mistake in the past but eventually figured it out. I need to find a line of scrimmage query moving forward. I wish covers had a delete post option to flush these awful findings........lol |
jowchoo | 27 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:
5. season=2024 and RY>o:RY+100 and p:L and F (17-3) 85% Watch for a losing team who out rushes their opps by 100+ yards. Disregard this is WRONG! |
jowchoo | 27 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:
5. season=2024 and RY>o:RY+100 and p:L and F (17-3) 85% Watch for a losing team who out rushes their opps by 100+ yards. Disregard this is WRONG! |
jowchoo | 27 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:
5. season=2024 and RY>o:RY+100 and p:L and F (17-3) 85% Watch for a losing team who out rushes their opps by 100+ yards. Disregard this is WRONG! |
jowchoo | 27 |
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5. season=2024 and RY>o:RY+100 and p:L and F (17-3) 85% Watch for a losing team who out rushes their opps by 100+ yards. |
jowchoo | 27 |
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