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Start well, and then the 2nd half grinds.....its getting frustrating as most of my correlations are no longer aligning from night to night ..... probably end up 1 - 3 here after an 0 - 4 night. I don't dare DOUBLE UP now until things get regular |
Last2thirst | 32 |
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Ole Miss -3 x HALF U ....hard to go against one of my faves in TexAM but following strong correlation
And those are my best tonight.....GL
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Last2thirst | 32 |
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South Florida -2 x HALF U |
Last2thirst | 32 |
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Wofford -15.5 x HALF U |
Last2thirst | 32 |
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Indiana +5.5 fits with my Double Correlation x HALF U ..... their games are tight almost always with NW |
Last2thirst | 32 |
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Davidson OVER 147.5 B.C. +8.5 Under 149 VCU ...expect this to be a gritty game ...and took +7 as well ....look at RI home record!!
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Last2thirst | 32 |
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I have taken the following in Kings" - Iowa -7.5 - Under 168.5 Alabama (2 teams that trend to the UNDER more than the OVER ...styles make the match right!) - Akron - Buffalo Over ...remember that Buffalo loose game recently with W.Mich? both trend OVER this year and I think this one could blow past the over -TTECH revenge game for last year loss at home to Cincy and they have the offense or defense to stop Cincy
Still working through some last minute picks in Kings .... |
Last2thirst | 32 |
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Taking a break for a bit....I see sneaky Vegas lines today again and I find January betting to be tricky every year from 2nd week till Feb 2nd week ....will gather data to fill in and sift. If I see a double correlation, I will play it but those are becoming rare I find
No strong DC's tonight despite all the games
Besides, made over $1400 on Buffalo and Ohio St games the past few days and when I do that, I don't want to press into NCAAB or more horse plays
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Last2thirst | 32 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:
GL always a pleasure mah man whichever way @Last2thirst
Thanks Mac...about to celebrate with a nice pad to my account Plays #1: WINNING MARGIN BET365 offerings Ohio St to win by 1- 6 pts x $200 @ +450 = $1100 return back Ohio St to win by 7 - 12 pts x $300 @ +500 = $1800 NICE CAP ON THE SEASON! NFL still though Ohio St to win by 13 - 18 x $100 @ +550 = $650 ND to win by 1 - 6 pts x $100 = +700 = $800
Total invested = $700 >>> I expect to win one of the first two but the last 2 are hedges
7 PT TEASER on the game for $300 ND + 16.5 with UNDER 53 >> PAYS 1.71 so will get back over $500 ($200+ profit)
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Last2thirst | 81 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Guy_2U:
@Last2thirst Not gonna be easy with the transfer protocol. The SEC teams can be outspent.
True
Wonder if Dabo stays a wallflower at Clemson? |
PUSSYGALORE333 | 102 |
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Shouldn't the Buckeyes be sending a gift to the Wolverines for waking them up ?
Big10 controlled NCAAF this year once people realized the Texas had a flawed QB and injury issues, Georgia had a sad goth for a QB
Watch out for the SEC to be a boss again next year though |
PUSSYGALORE333 | 102 |
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Irish are like the frat boy who cannot 'go again' with the pretty woman because they are too drunk and spent......
I love Notre Dame, but they were too fired up for this game trying to prove everything on one drive |
PUSSYGALORE333 | 102 |
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Ok, Buckeyes are officially pissed off they were down 7 - 0 and bullied by a QB who has trouble throwing and ran over them.
Their response? Lets score every time we get the ball now and see if they match!
This is going way over and I expect Buckeyes defense to adjust/stiffen (#1 defense in the country if you look at all main stat categories) |
PUSSYGALORE333 | 102 |
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0 - 4 .... grinding again |
Last2thirst | 32 |
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replied to
***Macwesties * Mon. Jan. 20, 2025 * NCAAF * CFP-National Championship * College Football Play***
in College Football Good luck Mac...been a fun season |
Macwestie1 | 35 |
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GL EVERYONE!
Been a great season and I really enjoyed chatting, debating and laughing with a lot of you
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Last2thirst | 81 |
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2 pm game - UNDER 126.5 LIU x HALF U - I expect a cagey game with LIU very defensive minded, especially at home and this is a first meeting between them -there is nothing in Mercyhurst offensive arsenal that looks threatening statistically |
Last2thirst | 32 |
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Monday Plays: Play #1 - Harvard-Penn Under 140 x 1U -two of the weaker teams both schools have fielded and I only see one team with a chance to score over 70 MAYBE ...... Harvard with a steady defense and Penn with a weak offense means Harvard can take their time with the ball and not rush/ set things up -If Harvard Princeton could only generate 130 pts....I fail to see this one going over 140 ....Princeton has a good offense
Play #2 - Dartmouth - Yale Over 152 - can see Yale covering the spread only if Dartmouth has a poor shooting day but Dartmouth has excellent shooting from the 3pt stripe while Yale is ranked 220th defense vs.....put up enough shots and many will fall enough for them to score 65-70 pts....I can definitely see Yale over 80pts in this one
Play #3 - Columbia - Princeton 0VER 153.5 x HALF U -Princeton has transitioned nicely out of a stale offense for over a couple years ago, to a dynamic shooting team with still the great ball movement, but hitting the 3 pt much more rather than the backdoor cut -Columbia's 3 pt defense will oblige 80+ pts to Princeton as their own offense ways and lack of attention to the 3 pt means that they will be best to out gun the Princeton shooters
Been a long time since that I have my first 3 plays as TOTALS to start my capping day
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Last2thirst | 32 |
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Extreme cold all week....maybe by Friday or Saturday I will post a play. Horse betting becomes very difficult in the cold. If you have ever bet the Chicago Harness tracks in the middle of the winter, you will know what I mean as all kinds of favorites who run well in regular temps have trouble breathing/performing and longshots occur have the time. That is hard to read in the forum.
See you at the end of the week possibly... |
Last2thirst | 77 |
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BUFFALO - Ravens OVER 51 x $440 @1.85 DING DING!!+$380 Profit
Teaser paid for +$80 and can just sit back and enjoy tomorrow |
Last2thirst | 81 |
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