Mattythemodel

22-15 (+124.27)

1. Philadelphia Soul -17.5 (18.7)

2. Philadelphia vs New Orleans under 105 (13.29)

It's a tight window for winning both of these bets. To win both sides New Orleans has to score under 43.75 points. Arizona did it last night however, covered 19 point spread and stayed under 106. Good luck this afternoon.

1. Orlando vs Spokane under 106 (19.24)

2. Arizona Rattlers -19 (15.63)

3. Portland Thunder +20.5 (15.49)

4. Portland vs San Jose under 92 (14.5)

5. Los Angeles vs Arizona under 106 (12.63)

I will update my record tomorrow, in a hurry right now but I wanted to get tonight's picks out.

1. Las Vegas vs Jacksonville under 110.5 (20.32)

2. Las Vegas Outlaws -3 (12.26)

3. Tampa Bay vs Cleveland under 95 (6.31)

16-9 (139.15)

1. Cleveland vs Philadelphia Under 109 (21.28)

2. Portland vs Arizona Under 104.5 (17.77)

3. Los Angeles vs Orlando Over 100 (12.87)

4. Philadelphia Soul -3.5 (7.11)

16-7 (+171.77)

2 picks for Friday night:

1.San Jose vs Jacksonville Under 94.5 (23.64)

2. New Orleans vs Tampa Bay Over 99.5 (8.98)

16-7 (+171.77)

2 picks for Friday night:

1.San Jose vs Jacksonville Under 94.5 (23.64)

2. New Orleans vs Tampa Bay Over 99.5 (8.98)

The numbers in the brackets are basically the units or score produced for the line. I don't use any special software, just a statistical formula that I've been modifying for years (obviously got it pretty good now). Unfortunately I'm not able to bet these games. I live in a state that is highly restrictive on online gambling of any kind. If I want to bet, its usually on a NFL game and I make the trip to Vegas or Reno for that. 

16-6 (+185.33)

Looks like I'm currently in 7th place in the league contest! Here is the pick for tonight's game:

1. Jacksonville vs Philadelphia Under 101 (13.56)

12-5 (+125.12)

Thanks Lelicek! Let's keep it rolling! Here are tonight's picks:

1. Arizona vs Cleveland Under 113 (35.2)

2. Las Vegas Outlaws -11.5 (21.38)

3. Arizona Rattlers -1 (12.29)

4. Orlando Predators -6.5 (8.46)

5. Orlando vs New Orleans Under 112.5 (6.59)

11-5 (+111.12)

Tonight's pick:

1. San Jose vs Tampa Bay Under 98.5 (15.38)

10-5 (+103.25)

One pick for tonight:

1. Spokane vs Portland Under 99 (8.65)

4-2 (+52.18)

Had a great start to the season last weekend. Also had plenty of luck as well. This is my third season following the AFL and I've notice 3 general betting trends. The strongest trend I've seen is defensive statistics are generally better at predicting totals (O/U's) then offensive statistics. The number 2 trend is offensive statistics are generally better at predicting spread outcomes than defensive stats. The last trend is most games finish under 110. Here are this weekends picks:

1. Philadelphia vs Spokane Under 107 (28.73)

2.Tampa Bay vs Portland Over 93 (18.25)

3. Arizona vs Las Vegas Under 103.5 (15.5)

4. Cleveland Gladiators -7.5 (13.48)

5. Los Angeles vs San Jose Under 98.5 (13.18)

6. Philadelphia Soul -3 (8.23)

7. Cleveland vs New Orleans Under 100.5 (6.65)

8. Orlando vs Jacksonville Under 106.5 (6.32)

9. Orlando Predators +3.5 (5.54)

3-2 (+32.93)

Tonight's pick:

1. San Jose vs Las Vegas Under 102.5 (21.15)

2-1 (+27.24)

Tonight's picks:

1. Philadelphia Soul +1 (19.26)

2. Philadelphia vs Orlando Under 108 (11.84)

1-1 (-4.95)

One pick for tonight:

1. Spokane Shock vs Arizona Rattlers Under 106.5 (36.31)

I'll keep it short for now. I like 2 plays in tonight's games... 

1. LA Kiss vs Portland Thunder Over 100 (14.45)

2. Cleveland Gladiators -2 (9.5)

I need to clarify my statements and facts. AFL games with an O/U of 110 or more should go under appox. 58.11% of the time.  41.89% of the games should go over. In actuality, as of the end of the 2014 AFL season including the playoffs, 27 games went off with an O/U of 110 of higher, 16 of those games went under (59.25%), 9 went over (33.33%), 2 ties (7.40%).