Mezzi

28 - 1 - 3 [] + $18,000.00

 1-1 30th minute.  2 goals to beat me in next 15 minutes.

Won't lie, this will be tough to stomach a 33K loss.

Man U match

Locked 1st Half  Under 3 @ -3333 in 22nd min.

33,333 to win 1,000 

Felix Brych is a well known ref for awarding many penalties.  

I've been burned on him over the years, for me as an Under guy, it always gives me pause for concern when I see him officiating a match.

Early MU goal here.... let's see how this transpires.

Red card, which was overturned on VAR in 85th certainly could have put this wager at risk, but, you cannot plan or predict for Red Cards, Penalties and fluke mistake goals wheb making these wagers.  This match, which ended 3-2, also shows to demonstrate why the Under 5 or Under 5.5 provided me with either a cushion push if I took U5, and obviously a win, with Under 5.5.  I prefer these Buffer cushions because instead of living on the edge where 1 goal would have lost the match, i am making the teams score 2 goals on me to lose it.  

Again, paying a premium for time and probably of 2 goals being scored, in a match that I've eyed and keyed in on as likely not getting any more goals, especially 2 goals from ooen play, to beat me.

Solid win, of $2,000 heading into Europa League Semi.

Also, I think from now on wheb I place wager, so I can place it more in real time and communicate it, i will do following. 

Match, locked @ odds, and Win Amount.  Its less to type out and you can extrapolate my risk amount yourselves by calculating odds, which would be easy because I usually risk to win even amounts like 500, 1000, 2000.  

27 - 1 - 3 [] + $17,000.00

Toluca v. Tigres, scored 2-2 now.  

Locked in Under 5.5 @ - 1458 

29,160 to win 2000

Mexico Match, its 2-2 get ready for a play on Under in next 3- 5 min.  Either Under 5.5 or Under 5

Keeping an eye on the 0-0 mexico match right now.

Good morning!

I likely will have more time to write during work week days at some point.  I'm a bit less active on weekends!  

There's obviously a lot more to say on this topic and discuss some of the finer points.

That said, hopefully my plays over this week have illustrated this theory.  Absent that 1 PSG loss (which was me pushing and extending myself unnecessarily, and was a mistake on my part, I would have been up 30.  

Hello Jim,

I'm not sure what you are talking about, I only have this account!

Cheers my friend.  

Hello!

I do see what you are saying.  There IS value at + odds, of course.  Think futures.  + odds hit all the time, and, - 1000 lose quite frequently too.  But. Its about playing the -1000 odd at the right time, in the right circumstances. 

26 - 1 - 3 [] + $15,000

Capped off a solid day at the office today.  

I will say, I am obviously surprised with the Man City match. What a let down for that team.  Also, those goals scored, especially the one in the 79th minute, was debatable and altered the match completely from there.  

I know the player didn't touch it and let it pass, so no offside was in play.  But the player who took the ball brought down the Man City Defender and I think VAR should have overturned the goal.  The match would have stayed 1-1 and to be honest, Man City likely would have advanced from there.

Anyway, that is why I don't take sides.

Cheers Everyone!

Monterrey  v. Necaxa.

Match 1-1 now.

Locked in Under 3.5 @ - 981

19,620 to win 2,000

MFC v. UnAM

Locked Under 1.5 @ -1376

17,200 to win 1250

So heading into the final stretch of these last two matches, I sit at : 

24 - 1 - 3 [] + $11,750.00

I am still kicking myself for the 1 loss I suffered because of PSG.  That 1 loss cost me $21,750.  Unreal.  Had I refrained and not pushed it, I would have been at a terrific profit heading into Sunday.

I am human, and yes, it does make me a bit nauseated to know I lost 20K on one of these wagerw looking back on it.

Look at these 2 Mexico matches, possible play.

24 - 1 - 3 [] + $11,750.00

Unfortunate not to hit both, but, also, fortunate to not have lost both.

Cheers!

Wow Ederson. 

So, i am at risk now, obviously. 

Before the U4 or Under 4.5 is blown i want to point out that,

1.  The VAR should have nullified the goal.  I get it, it happens though and it didn't go my way.

2.  Ederson should have saved that 4th goal.  That's pretty poor.  

To be fair.

City v Lyon, minute 71, score 1-1

Locked in :

Under 4 @ - 1667

16,670 to win 1,000 

City v Lyon 

Locked In Under 4.5 @ - 1111, 51st minute score 0-1

11,110 to win 1,000