moldypeach

@theMatrix24

Some of Murray's most historic success is on grass, and he is having a bit of a career resurgence right now. However, he lost to Kudla on grass last week. This week, he has beaten O'Connell (not in the top 100), Bublik (7 double faults), and Tsitsipas (coming off of an extremely long and successful clay season).

Murray will have a shot, but this is Nicky's to lose.

Kyrgios's serve is unbreakable right now whereas Murray's been broke 3 times already. In today's post-match interview, Kyrgios emphasized that he wanted to do as little running as possible today. Plus, he got a break in an early retirement from Fucsovics. I think Kyrgios is giving it his all this week on his most habitable surface. Add to that the fact that he typically shows up against marquee players like Murray. I'm ignoring the head-to-head here. At worst, Kyrgios loses 6-7, 6-7. I'll take the juicy odds.

Doesn't look like it. Courts are soaked and it's still raining. Wait for tomorrow.

I think this is too big of a moment for Alcaraz, playing his childhood idol on Spanish clay again. Nadal is 2-0 H2H, including a thrashing at Madrid last year. This one will be a lot closer, but I think Nadal is still king of the clay and Alcaraz won't be able to handle the opportunity yet.

Too bad. Botic really stepping his game up in 2022. He plays a lot less timid now, especially groundstrokes on the run.

¡Vamos Pablo! ¡Vamos Pack!

I like it. I've had some bad luck fading Botic this spring, but I'll probably bite here.

Brooksby has basically zero tour level experience on clay and a recent notable loss to JJ Wolf (who wasn't wearing clay shoes at the time). RBA will have court advantage and motivation. I can envision a much different outcome than what we got on the Miami hard courts a few weeks ago.

@Johnny1975

Packer's contributions are appreciated by most here, I think. I've witnessed him on some unworldly runs in the past. He's also called some awesome ATP futures bets. The last guy who felt the need to trash Pack told everyone here that if we wanted a guaranteed bet from a reliable capper we should tail him on a parlay of Gonzaga to win it all and the Warriors to get to the NBA finals. He deleted his account in March.

Everyone's here to win. Take advice or leave it. No point in trashing the well-intended veteranos here.

@Oxcarz

 Afraid to check that link...

Close call on Miomir at the end there, but you got it! Have a good betting day, BigD.

One of the least reliable players on tour. Just stay away.

@BIGDTITLE

For sure. I'll stay away then. Those odds aren't juicy enough for me.

@BIGDTITLE

Millman +340, +4.5  Kec -435 -4.5 on Bovada. I haven't seen either player this week, but that's a lot of value to get on a serviceable player like Millman. I don't think Kec is good enough to warrant these kinds of odds against another top 100 player. I would expect some line movement soon. What are you thinking, Big D?

Lopez is a hard fade at this point in his career. Very little singles play the last couple months. I think this'll be an easy win for Ruusuvuori, even on Spanish courts.

Great call, Lil Finger. 

@Petyr_Baelish

Tailing you on Hubie. I don't trust Ramos in a spot like this. Hubie's been playing very well lately and he has a lot of confidence right now. You rarely get this kind of value on a Hurkacz bet.

Compared to Oscar Otte, I think Ruusuvuori's game is much more suited to clay. I expect his fitness to carry him tomorrow.

@bkingsrep

 She's incredible when she's not an error machine. Aggressive shot maker with giant serve and groundstrokes.