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I think despite this the play tonight is on:
Miami Heat -2.0
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MonsterMeyn | 8 |
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Nets are 12-4 SU and 9-7-1 ATS after firing Avery Johnson with wins @Oklahoma, Indiana, Atlanta and @New York. They are 4-4 against .500 or better teams home/away.
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MonsterMeyn | 8 |
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I'm really split on this one though. I think Miami continues their dominance over the Nets tomorrow night.
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MonsterMeyn | 8 |
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Miami is 1-6 ATS as a 4-point fave or less but they were against @Memphis(-1), @Clippers(-1.5), @Indiana(-2), @Utah(-2.5), @Portland(-3.5) and @Boston(-3.5) with their only win against against Oklahoma City (-2.5) on Christmas Day. What these teams have in common (before they play Miami) was that they hold a good winning percentage when playing at home while catching the Heat in the thick of a road trip.
They play Brooklyn as the second of a 4-game east swing that stretches to Indiana then Toronto with alternate days of rest in between. Brooklyn is set up to look really bad having lost 2 earlier play dates both in Miami with 103-73 (-10) and 102-89 (-8). Not much have changed between team rosters since then and so I really concerned as to why the Heat opened with such a short line. Miami has dropped to 10-10 and 8-12 ATS on the road after losing to the Celtics. Brooklyn suffered back-to-back losses to Houston and Memphis before winning by 20 against the lowly Magic team. Brooklyn has yet to win against Miami in their last 10 head-to-heads and is only 1-5 ATS/0-6 SU since getting Deron Williams. The Nets are 6-6 ATS/SU when going up against .500 or better teams.
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MonsterMeyn | 8 |
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good finds
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SuperSlapem | 14 |
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Quote Originally Posted by ThinkTwice:
Looks like you are here to tell the old story. No one do that anymore. Thats 70's dude. Everyone is playing smart nowadays. Dont you ever think if you go against the public you will win. Thats just wrong. If you dont believe me, fade the public everyday, see if you come out positive. I'm not saying to bet against the Public always. That's some close-minded way of going about with things. All I'm saying is to pick your spots. |
MonsterMeyn | 10 |
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Long time lurker here. I am not really going to start posting plays but betting angles instead. Here's one I found for tomorrow night. When majority of the betting public cap games they usually go about like this: If Team A beats Team B, and Team B beats Team C, therefore Team A will beat Team C. A prime example is the Boston @ Philadelphia game. Minnesota came to Philadelphia 3 days ago and floored the home team 105 to 88. The next day we saw a 104-94 win by Boston over the Timberwolves that isn't really as close as the final score would be. Now, Philadelphia hosts Boston as a one point home dog and people would think that Boston is the right play here. 60% of the consensus are on them as I type this.With a looming home-and-home series, I think the both home team will win in their respective games. Anyway, like I said, public perception of a current team's strenght is usually based on their most recent outing. When a lot of people cap games, they try to find a commonality on both sides; ones they do, they try and use that. Perception should be the Celtics will beat the 76ers and the almost pick em of a line is a gift. I think otherwise. If there's anything, the play is against the Celtics.
Thoughts? |
MonsterMeyn | 10 |
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