neilo

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created a topic Saints v West Ham
in Soccer

This game is going under 2.5 goals.

West Ham are not scoring away, missing Carrol with 4 other big players out injured. Southampton just have too many new players , and too much gelling to do. They are not scoring goals. Both sides are strong in midfield and defense and it should generate a low scoring game.

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neilo

2

September 15, 2013

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created a topic Bundesliga : Hertha Berlin v Stuttgart
in Soccer

We are running over/under 2.5 prediction software.

Our goal is to find games where we have an edge in betting , over the bookies implied odds.

The bookies are offering 1.7 for the over 2.5 goals here. This translates into a 58% chance ( calculated by 1/1.7) . Our prediction software has been accurate 73% of the time for the satisfied criteria (over 4 years).

Thus we believe the bookies have the wrong odds here, and are giving us a 15% advantage to take this bet. Game to finish over 2.5 goals is 1.7 or best odds on stanjames (1.73)

We have another 3 games at www.overunder25tips.com that are also giving us a 12 to 15% advantage. Come take a look :)

Good luck for the weekend, let's make some money !!!!!

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neilo

1

September 13, 2013

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replied to Man United v Chelsea
in Soccer

Have been going like great guns this season in over/under 2.5 betting at www.overunder25tips.com

Was 23 wins 8 losses. Today (Real M and United) make it 23 -10.

Out of the 10 bets lost Chelsea have cost me 2 and Rennes in French Ligue have cost 2 bets. Both these teams are banished for at least 3 weeks. 2 teams cost me 40% of my losses. English league has been damn unpredictable with terrible results.

Southampton draw with Sunderland.

Everton play crap against WBA

Norwich stink it up versus Hull.

Liverpool and Villa run around aimlessly for 90 minutes.

Throw in Monaco (300 million pound squad) who can't score.

Chelsea stop playing in game 1 against Hull after 22 minutes

Man CIty losing to Cardiff (get real FFS)

You cannot win in this climate.

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neilo

15

August 26, 2013

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replied to Man United v Chelsea
in Soccer

Mourinho tactics in the first half are horrid. When you don't play a center forward you are essentially telling your three strikers that you think they are CRAP. How can Lukaku or Demba Ba not get a kick here. Like having a ferrari and never getting out of 2nd gear.

You could play one striker (Ba) for 45 minutes. Say 'work your socks off' for 45 minutes and we'll play Lukaku for the 2nd 45. Game is dead before the first whistle. Chelsea came for the 0-0. Nobody can predict this BullS...

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neilo

15

August 26, 2013

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replied to Man United v Chelsea
in Soccer

What do you say to miss world when you see her in a Burkha ?

NICE EYES

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neilo

15

August 26, 2013

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replied to Man United v Chelsea
in Soccer

Sickening game. They should give the fans their money back. Just horrid tactics. You have a 200 million pound squad and you play 11 behind the ball for 50 minutes. WTF is that. Grow some balls and play the game. Like having a MISS WORLD girlfriend and dressing her up in a Burkha. You simply can't predict anything when you get a tactical f__k up like that.

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neilo

15

August 26, 2013

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replied to Man United v Chelsea
in Soccer

SHeet , what a wet blanket first half. Mourinho playing a 5-5 0 formation with no striker. 1 forward pass versus 3 back passes.

Chelsea have passed the ball from the United goal line to their keeper 3 times. WTF

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neilo

15

August 26, 2013

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replied to Man United v Chelsea
in Soccer

I hear what you are saying but the software has been freaky accurate.

I think an early goal is probably critical in this game.

United were very strong starters at home last season with 13 goals in the 1st 15 minutes (compare to Liverpool who had 1 goal in 19 games in the 1st 15 minutes). 2 teams had more 1st have match goals last season (wigan and Chelsea) at home.

Chelsea got outscored in every 1st half 15 minute period away last season. 4-3, 4-1 and 8-3 in goals against and for. They were a second half scoring team away last season.

Our prediction accuracy for this game was 65% and the bookies are pricing the over probability at 55% so we are getting an edge in making the bet.

Should be a cracking game. Feet up, getting ready for 2 hours infront of the IDIOT BOX (tv)

GL ALL

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neilo

15

August 26, 2013

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replied to Man United v Chelsea
in Soccer

The United form at home versus the other top 7 was as follows

ARsenal 2-1

Liverpool 2-1

WBA 2-0

Everton 2-0

Tottenham 2-3

Chelsea 0-1

Man City 1-2

4 of 7 over

Chelsea away form against the top 7

Arsenal 1-2

Everton 1-2

Tottenham 2-4

Man United 0-1

Liverpool 2-2

WBA 2-1

Man City 2-0

5 of 7 games over at a gpg avergae of just under 3

no games finished 0-0

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neilo

15

August 26, 2013

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created a topic Man United v Chelsea
in Soccer

For an over under 2.5 goals prediction we are looking at

goal timings

over under home form

over under away form

head to head records

TOP 8 v TOP 8 form . What happens when the big boys play the other big teams ?

https://www.soccer-betbrain.com/top8-vs-top8

We have been pretty good this season 23 winners and 8 losers

See all the information for the Man United v Chelsea game. It's free and it is here https://www.overunder25tips.com

OVER 2.5 goals is the call.

Good luck whatever you choose,

Neil.

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neilo

15

August 26, 2013

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replied to Spurs to struggle, Man City to romp home
in Soccer

I just don't think you can bring in all these players, and expect them to combine and gel. That takes time. I am not quite sure what 'full press mode' is but it probably applies more to basketball than soccer.

You cannot just replace Gareth Bale's 26 season goals. It's a massive hole to fill....

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neilo

6

August 25, 2013

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created a topic Spurs to struggle, Man City to romp home
in Soccer

Tottenham did not impress me last week. They looked slow and one paced. They are really missing the goals from Gareth Bale, and I don't think they will win easily today. Leaving this one alone or may go for the ASIAN on SWansea.

I like the way Man CIty are playing. Fast, direct, great variations in pace, with terrific players. Reckon the will win easily today and cover the asian of -1.5 . They looked fantastic last week , taking Newcastle apart.

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neilo

6

August 25, 2013

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replied to Oud-Heverlee Leuven v Lokeren 2013-08-24
in Soccer

Software comes through again. 2-1

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neilo

5

August 24, 2013

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replied to Oud-Heverlee Leuven v Lokeren 2013-08-24
in Soccer

Anyone have any opinion on this bet ? It just looks like pure gold to me. What am I missing (apart from mind

) ?

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neilo

5

August 24, 2013

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created a topic Southampton v Sunderland 2013-08-24
in Soccer

This is a Saints squad that has been dramatically improved. They have spent heavily and have made terrific additions.

Dejan Lovren	Lyon	10.000.000 €
Victor Wanyama	Celtic FC	14.500.000 €
Pablo Osvaldo	AS Roma	15.100.000 €

They have spashed the cash (Arsene Wenger could learn something here), and have bought very well.

Last season they beat Liverpool, Chelsea and Man City at home. This season they will be even better. Started the season with an away win. They will be the surprise team of this English Premier League season.

Home win is still available at a fair price (1.72), against a Sunderland tem that is doing very poorly away from home

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neilo

1

August 24, 2013

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created a topic Oud-Heverlee Leuven v Lokeren 2013-08-24
in Soccer

Lokeren have played 4 games this season, every one has been over 2.5 goals . 2 away games (3-3 and 2-3) and 2 home games (3-1 and 2-1). So plenty of goals to be expected. Is the price right ?

We run software to make our selections. The criteria satisfied to make this selection have been accurate to a 76% win rate in the last 4 years. (16 wins and 5 lost) . The bookies price this game at 1.83

To get the probability of the over 2.5 goals occurring divide 1 by 1.83. SO they are pricing this as a 55% probability.

Our expectancy for over 2.5 goals is 76%.

Come take a look at www.overunder25tips.com .

There are no free-bees but we have won 17 of 23 predictions this season.

OVER 2.5 match goals at a discounted price.

I love this bet !!

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neilo

5

August 24, 2013

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replied to Chelsea v Aston Villa 2 nice bets
in Soccer

Sweet strike by Benteke is doing the business for both bets.

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neilo

2

August 21, 2013

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created a topic Chelsea v Aston Villa 2 nice bets
in Soccer

The first one that I think will win is the over 2.5 goals.

Over 2.5 goals at 1.57

Villa have not kept a clean sheet in their last 10 away games. Will Chelsea stop playing after 25 minutes again, and sit on a lead ?

Villa have scored 2 or more in 8 of their last 10 away

The second bet that I think is an excellent one is the ASIAN on Aston Villa. They are +2 at 7 to 10. This means that Chelsea have to beat them by three goals for you to lose your bet.

See the over/under 2.5 prediction here www.overunder25tips.com

Good luck whatever you choose,

Neil.

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neilo

2

August 21, 2013

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replied to anderlecht v Gent | Schalke v Hamburger | Ajaccio v St Etienne
in Soccer

just anderlecht to score 1 more for the treble

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neilo

3

August 11, 2013

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created a topic anderlecht v Gent | Schalke v Hamburger | Ajaccio v St Etienne
in Soccer

Expecting 2 games over 2.5 and 1 under

Anderlecht v Gent OVER 2.5

Schalke v Hamburg OVER 2.5

Ajaccio v St Etienne UNDER 2.5

So far this weekend we are 5 winners from 6 games

at www.overunder25tips.com

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neilo

3

August 11, 2013

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