nnn808

nnn808
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replied to Week 8 and Hawaii
in College Football
Nevada has only scored above 30 only once this year not counting uc davis.  They scored 35 at wyoming.  No way they score in the 40s.  A realistic final score for would be 27-24.  Still don't have any more info at qb so no play for me right now, with lean to hawaii.. Good luck if u play
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nnn808 6
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replied to Week 8 and Hawaii
in College Football
anyone else feeling illinois +7 ?
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nnn808 6
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replied to Week 8 and Hawaii
in College Football
Also debating Colorado +2.5, but need to see how the line moves this week.  Like the over more though.  
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nnn808 6
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created a topic Week 8 and Hawaii
in College Football


Had a sneaky good week last week.  Went 4-1 on listed plays with some good luck on my side with New Mex St and BC.  The Hawaii play lost and I ended up playing Boise and tuned out before halftime.  Also played some other picks that profited that i wont go into 

Thoughts on Hawaii:  Max Wittek sat out the game because of an injury.  Ikaika Woolsey got the start.  Looked like an evenly matched game to me.  Looking back at the box score, pretty much everything almost even; First downs, yardage, turnovers.  NMSU fumbled in the red zone after a long drive.  Hawaii missed a gimme FG that ultimately cost them the game.  That was brutal to watch.  

No play on Week 8 Hawaii +7.5 @ Nevada.  Would have to lean to Hawaii.  I dont know who's starting at QB for Hawaii, so nothing for me right now.  

Week 8 Plays:
Colorado/Oregon St over 60
Wazzou / Zona over 72.

Going back to the well with these Pac 12 over plays, but i feel pretty confident about them. Expecting shootouts for these games, and also debating a Wazzou if it rises to 7.5.  

 Also waiting on the Duke line to settle, most likely making a Duke play.  

Thoughts anyone?


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nnn808 6
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replied to Week 7 and Hawaii football
in College Football
just when i talk boise up in my post, they pull what happened friday night and make me look bad.  same boise every year.  They lose one game their not supposed to lose, but then the next week and rest of the year, continue to blow out inferior opponents.  

new mex st+30.5
bc+17


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nnn808 7
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created a topic Week 7 and Hawaii football
in College Football
Back for Week 7.  I had  a horrible Week 5 and decent week 6.  Thoughts below.  

Boise is an awesome team.  Well balanced offense.  Pretty much killed Hawaii as expected.  They would give a lot of top 10 teams a good game, in my opinion.  

Hawaii offense looking horrible.  Just really inconsistent.  Hawaii D is starting to trail off.  reminds me of last year when they started strong and went downhill towards the later part of the year.  

That guy Train has a huge hammer play on New Mexico.  i will be playing the same, but just a standard amount.  

Other Week 7 plays:
Wazzou Oregon St Over 62.5 
colorado st +3

also eyeing out East Carolina over and Boise St
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nnn808 7
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replied to Week 5 and Hawaii football
in College Football
Scratch air force play
Add bowling Green over. 67.5
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nnn808 6
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replied to Week 5 and Hawaii football
in College Football
Agree with u mjm.  Boise better than wisc. Will post before gametime.

Week 5: 
Minn+5
West Virginia 6.5
Air force 5.5
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nnn808 6
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created a topic Week 5 and Hawaii football
in College Football
NNN Hawaii record 2-1 
Week 1: +7.5 hawaii; under 61:  2-0
Week 2: hawaii +42.5; 64 o/u - no plays 0-0
Week 3: UH-21.5 against UC davis (FCS)   - no plays 0-0
Week 4: UH+27    0-1

Back for Week 5.  I did pretty good profit wise.  Not everything i played was posted here so i wont even go there.  I am up going into Week 5 and thats all that matters. 

Anyways, Hawaii thoughts.  Wisconsin's O and D line had an obvious mismatch on the Hawaii lines.  Wisky pretty much ran at will, but Hawaii did not give up any big plays.  The Wisky O pretty much played how i thought they would.  Run run run pass.  IHawaii could not establish the run against the Wisky O line, therefore made them one dimensional.   i felt my chance to seal the hawaii cover was when they drove down to the 1 yard line.  stupid penalties pushed them back around the 30 and they missed their 2nd field goal.  When that happened, i knew i lost.  Stupid penalties on Hawaii prevented the cover for me.  As well as that lucky catch on 3rd down and long in the red zone.  Ball thrown right at the Hawaii guy but it bounces off his chest and into the hands of a Wisconsin player.  Instead of a FG, they score a TD.  I would play that line again, just felt that it didnt go my way.  

Oh well, back at it again.  

Week 5 is boise-24.5:  lean to Boise, will be back to give thoughts

Other leans:  West Virginia, air force, and possibly kansas st
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nnn808 6
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replied to Week 4 and Hawaii football
in College Football
hawaii+27
uconn+7
bgreen-3

leaning ball st, ga southern
will play depnding how early games go

GL
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nnn808 13
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replied to Week 4 and Hawaii football
in College Football
For O/U, i am seeing 51.  I would have to  lean to the the over but i will not make a play on it.  It is definitely too low to play an under.  One of my books i still showing 24.5 for the spread, but my other one has 25.5.  Take that info as you will.

In other Hawaii news, one of the starting safeties Treyvon Henderson is out for the year with ACL.  i think he got injured in the OSU game.  The safety depth is taking a hit back there.  


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nnn808 13
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replied to Week 4 and Hawaii football
in College Football
Packers-
Right now we are 2-1, Here's my prediction for the schedule

Sep 26Oct 3Oct 11Oct 17Oct 24Oct 31Nov 7Nov 14Nov 21Nov 28
@Wisconsin #22  L

@Boise St. L

San Diego St. W

@New Mexico W

@Nevada W/L

Air Force L? Should be a good game, i might be there.

@UNLV W
 
Fresno St. W
 
San Jose St. W
 
La.-Monroe W
 
8-5 (optimistically) or 7-6
After losses at Wisc and Boise, i feel we will be competitive in all  of our games.  I think that Hawaii can go to Nevada on the road and pull off an upset.  They have been going downhill in recent years with long time coach and starting qb gone.  Air force will be our hardest competition after the next 2 weeks.  The other road games at New Mex and UNLV are very winnable.  I feel like down the stretch Hawaii will have a terrible game with either Fresno or SJSU. I dont think they will lose both, but 2 out of 3 for the last 3 home games sounds reasonable.  
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nnn808 13
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replied to Week 4 and Hawaii football
in College Football
Just got off work, back home on my computer now.  Thanks for the responses from you guys.  Man it's is a tough crowd here.  

Dave, i respect your opinion.  Its good to hear the devil's advocate, but i honestly don't think Wisconsin will put up more than 45.  Thant leaves me with Hawaii only having to score 18.  I don't really put up much stock into the OSU game, but Hawaii did have 4 sacks in that game and we didnt allow any big home run plays.  OSU did look pretty sloppy that week and even this past week though.  

I feel if we limit Wisconsins big plays and keep their offense vanilla, we can limit their offense.  They are gonna get their rushing yards, i can't argue that.  But if Hawaii can manage some TDs, they will cover the big line.

Obviously i dont feel as confident with 24.5 as much as 27, but 24.5 is still a play for me.  I had a wager limit when i got the +27, but i will also be putting more on 24.5 most likely.  I feel like the line will stay around 24.5 and maybe come down to 23.5 before kickoff.  

O/U still not out, but i feel like i struck gold with +27.  Hope its a winner or I am eating my words. 
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nnn808 13
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replied to Week 4 and Hawaii football
in College Football
I locked it in last night at 27 and now it's down to 24.5.  Big line move.  Thanks for the reply dave.  I will be back later with more thoughts. At work and hate typing on my phone.  
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nnn808 13
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replied to Week 4 and Hawaii football
in College Football
Week 4: Hawaii +27 '
i would jump on this now, but my local doesnt have it out yet.  Dont know whether it will do up or down
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nnn808 13
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created a topic Week 4 and Hawaii football
in College Football
NNN Hawaii record 2-0 
Week 1: +7.5 hawaii; under 61:  2-0
Week 2: hawaii +42.5; 64 o/u - no plays 0-0
Week 3: UH-21.5 against UC davis (FCS)   - no plays 0-0
Week 4:

OK guy back for week 4.  i had a pretty decent week despite splitting the 2 listed plays if utsa and uconn.  Uconn was a solid pick, but UTSA had like 7 turnovers?  Pretty horrible.  Anyways, i will give my hawaii thoughts.

So Hawaii beat UC Davis 47-27 last night.  Didnt watch the game, but read recaps and box scores.  It's funny/weird that UC Davis kicked a Field Goal with 53 seconds left in the game on 4th and Goal being down 23 points.  This came after hawaii muffed a kickoff inside the 10.  Had this not happened, Hawaii would be 3-0 against the spread this year.  

On to week 4, i am seeing +27 against Wisconsin.  Wisconsin beat Troy 28-3.  Interesting thing i saw is that Troy controlled time of possession 33.5 minutes to Wisconsin's 26.5 minutes.  Seeing as how Wisky is more a running team, this stood out to me.  Wisky QB stave went 13/17 for 202.  If anyone was watching the game this weekend, maybe you could lend more some of your thoughts.  

For me, i will be taking +27 all day.  I see Hawaii losing by less than 20.  Our run D will be able to hold its own and nothing about Wisky's passing game scares me against our pass D.  I see Wisky scoring in the 30's or low 40's at the most.  I think Hawaii will score at least 17 points, maybe up to 24 points.  Final score prediction will be 34-23 Wisconsin.  

I will make this a large play, probably my largest this week.  Just glancing at this week's lineup without any research the other games that stick out to me are rice+33, BYU+4.5,  and uconn+8.  

OK guys i hope to hear some some feedback, especially from you Wisconsin fans out there.  Also, the word out is that Boise starting QB is out 4-8 with broken ankle so he will most likely be out for the Hawaii game.  Will be watching Friday against Virginia to see how their offensive game plan changes.  

Be back later with more thought and finalized plays and also thoughts on Hawaii o/u when it is released.
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nnn808 13
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replied to Week 3 and hawaii football
in College Football
Week 3 plays:
uconn+23
UTSA+27

On another note, Boise qb left game with a foot injury and 2 backups played the rest of the game against fcs team.  Looked like a rolled ankle or something.  We'll see how this injury plays out.  Hawaii @ Boise in 2 weeks.  Dependence on the run could play into Hawaii's run D strength.  I will be keeping tabs.  

Good luck to all
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nnn808 4
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replied to Syracuse big play this week
in College Football
Thanks cusejoe.  Your thread is a must read every week for me.  I was wondering about your thoughts on the cuse game this past saturday.  i was on the under and lost.  i didnt get to watch the game, but i was taking a look at recaps and box scores and saw a lot of big play TD's.  Wake had a 40 yd td pass; cuse had a 53 and 89 yd TD pass.  Did you get a chance to watch the game?  How much of those pass TD's were simply attributed to blown coverage or freak plays?  Or can their offense be that potent.  Add the pick 6 in there and the under is blown.  Would you say that in this game their pass offense performed above average or average.  Thanks 
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syracusejoe 36
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created a topic Week 3 and hawaii football
in College Football
Hawaii record 2-0 
Week 1: +7.5 hawaii; under 61:  2-0
Week 2: hawaii +42.5; 64 o/u - no plays 0-0

OK guys, back for week 3.  No Hawaii plays so still 2-0 on the season.  Other week 2 picks not so good.  I am pretty much hovering around even (plus or minus juice) through Week 2.  Been pretty busy so just tracking Hawaii record.  

Thoughts on game this past weekend:
I cant fault Wittek for being overwhelmed against OSU defense.  I predicted that we wouldnt score more than 14 and I was right.  I was decently surprised at the effort that the Hawaii defense gave.  I think they might keep Hawaii in some of their conference games.  Overall, a pretty good showing for Hawaii.  They kept it respectably close for the first 3 quarters then the wheels came off as the offense tried to push it too much.  I am not sure at what point Woolsey came in for Wittek (sometime in the 4th quarter), but his crappy play directly lead to some garbage points for OSU late in the game.  If i remember correctly they took Wittek out and the offense was totally stagnant.  I dont remember as i hard already changed the channel.

 OSU had an off game so maybe some of it was attributed to that.  Not much else for me to say about that game.  Overall, a great mismatch, so good to stay away.  

With UC Davis coming to town this Saturday, i wont want to waste my time capping this game.  I see -21.5 but i dont know how accurate that is.  At face value i would say to play UC davis, but i wont even go there.  I will be back the following week for the Wisconsin game.  

Not counting this FCS game this weekend, i feel that Hawaii continues to be undervalued.  This team is making decent strides in improving their offense and their D remains steady.  i think we are much improved from last year.  I heard on the radio a few weeks ago that the Wisconsin and Boise lines would be in the high 20s.  Nothing about the QB's from those teams really scare me and i feel that our run D could be somewhat effective and keep it within those high numbers.  I am eager for those numbers to come out.  

As always, good luck to everybody in Week 3 and hope to hear some feedback.  I might post some of my plays but im pretty busy, so we will see.  
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nnn808 4
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replied to NCAA wk 3
in College Football
Quote Originally Posted by hen7:

Mega 

Thanks for the insight and write ups..... Although they lost 38-0 in Columbus on Saturday the rainbow warriors of Hawaii deserve some love... Offense didn't do much but man I honestly think that Hawaii can be a real sleeper in the mountain west this year....there defense has to get some credit for keeping them in the game up until the 4th quarter... UC-Davis up next week than they head back to big ten country to face Wisky than Boise after that.....if Wittek can find some type of rhythm with kemp and Pedroza and score some points to help the D they can be tough to beat especially in Honolulu..... What do you think am I getting too amped up or do they have a shot to dare I say..... Make a bowl game!?! Thanks in advance keep up the good work 

i feel the same way hen.  hawaii d stepped up and i cant fault wittek for having trouble with ohio st defense.  their run d makes me interested in wisconsin gaem line coming up in a few weeks
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MEGALOCKS 216
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