ParlayBuster

Oops.

RELIABLE ROAD FAVORITES IND -2.5 (L6 0-6 ATS/1-5 SU) Had the record in the wrong place.

I know it's early (usually wait until after Thanksgiving), but decided to see how it goes with more than two weeks of games in the books.

MOST UN-RELIABLE LAC (NOP OKC SAS)

The wild train is LAC, this season. How is it that NOP OKC are so wild year after year? These guys just can't play a straight game. Funny seeing SAS here.

MOST RELIABLE WAW ORL IND

It is amazing how these 3 teams (NYK HOU LAL) are so consistent season after season. These guys don't do comebacks or collapses. Either they win early or they don't.

RELIABLE HOME FAVORITES NYK -8 // HOU -4.5 // LAL -6.5 (L10 9-0 ATS/9-0 SU)

RELIABLE ROAD FAVORITES IND -2.5 (L6 1-5 ATS/0-6 SU)

RELIABLE HOME DOG ORL +2.5 (4-1 ATS/3-2 SU)

RELIABLE ROAD DOG WAW +8.5 (3-8-1 ATS/2-10 SU)

My picks... NYK ATS // HOU ATS // LAL ATS // ORL ML

2024-2025 Season

HOME FAVORITES (9-0 ATS/9-0 SU)

ROAD FAVORITES (1-5 ATS/0-6 SU)

Well, Detroit has been celebrating getting into the playoffs.

I could see a BIG letdown here. Or, at least, they don't take the game too seriously since they broke a 10-year playoff drought and just want to take it easy.

Plus, it's raining, so there's that.

CHW ML +180

Can't ever seem to win betting against the KC QB.

But, let's try it again.

Got some reliable SDQL queries I play when they get on a run.

If anyone remembers Professor MJ's bad offense angle, then they will understand my COLD BATS angle.

CHW has not scored over 3 runs in their past 2 games on the road. They are on the ROAD against SDP as a BIG DOG.

I wouldn't try the SDP RL, unless you want to gamble.

This angle has seen the last 4 teams LOSE SU (yesterday 9/19 WAW lost to CHC 6-7).

Going BIG on this one since the line is so terrible.

I just hope he keeps posting until the end of the season.

It's the only way to gauge the performance over an extended period of time.

The best systems have their down periods. This could just be variance. But, you won't know if he stops posting picks.

Yeah... where did he go?

I need my picks for Monday. It's a new week. Time to start fresh.

LFG

No capping here. Just messing around with killersports SDQL machine.

One day bet --> 1st game after All Star Break

AASB and p:BASB and p:W and HD and season > 2010 and op:W

6 straight RL win streak since 2021. Let's make it 8.

Parlay BAL RL -1.5 & SFG RL -1.5 +300

NO BLOWN LEADS out of 10. Okay, that's weird. Then again, the night before was weird too, with 3 of 4 with comebacks and all ATS DOGS. TNT always has that drama.

Took a break to recover from some serious casino baccarat losses. Need to re-double my efforts on NBA to get my bankroll back.

ROAD DOGS have been killing it the last 3 days, going 4-0. CHI +11 was the biggest upset of that stretch. CHI has been rolling lately... 9-1 ATS L10.

 If I get on one good team and ride it, those losses will disappear fast.

RELIABLE FAVORITES PHI -2.5 WON / NYK -1.5 WON / HOU -2.5 LOST / SAC -3.5 LOST

ROAD FAVORITES NYK -1.5 WON / DEN -3.5 WON / LAL -3.5 LOST / LAC -2 WON

RELIABLE HOME DOG CHI +3.5 WON

RELIABLE AWAY DOG NONE

RELIABLE picks... PHI -2.5 WON / NYK -1.5 WON / HOU -2.5 LOST / SAC -3.5 LOST / CHI +3.5 WON (Well, it was progress.)

Decent line-up for a Thursday. And, no TNT drama.

MOST UN-RELIABLE TEAM NOP IND MIN

NOP has got to be the worst team in the league, on the ROAD, for a consistent game. You have to expect a crazy game. IND is almost as bad on the ROAD. It is so strange to see MIN have so many games with comebacks at HOME. They love to play catch-up and have an 11-1 HOME record to show for it.

MOST RELIABLE TEAM CHI (MEM MIL)

The 2nd most rock solid team in the NBA is in action CHI. These guys know how to play a straight game. Just behind are MEM MIL. This is the stable side of the league.

RELIABLE FAVORITES DET -2.5 / CHI -6 / MEM -2.5 / MIL -8.5 (CHI is hot. DET is not. MEM has Ja. MIL blew the cover last game vs. SAS.)

ROAD FAVORITES NOP -3.5

RELIABLE HOME DOG NONE

RELIABLE AWAY DOG SAS +6

RELIABLE picks... DET -2.5 / CHI -6 / MEM -2.5 / MIL -8.5 (Going to stick with the HOME DOGS and fade the ROAD DOGS until the New Year and re-evaluate.)

RELIABLE Season: 71-78-1 ATS

---

RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023

SU 91-44 / ATS 70-64-1

SU (67-26 HOME / 25-17 AWAY)

ATS (48-44-1 HOME / 22-20 AWAY)

@packersbackers

 There was the Lockdown in 2020. How can anyone look at professional sports that year and not think all this stuff is political?

Got to adapt in this betting game and try to find the angles.

NBA superstar LeBron James calls Hamas attacks on Israel ‘tragic and unacceptable’

October 12, 2023 - https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/12/sport/lebron-james-hamas-israel-nba-spt-intl/index.html

So, the face of the NBA has definitely sided with Israel.

I am not betting on the Pistons any time soon. They are probably going to set the record for the worst season in NBA history if this Israel/Hamas stuff keeps going.

A 20+ game losing streak certainly sent the message to me that the NBA wants the Detroit Pistons to be an embarrassment. And, if I got the message, so did the Palestinian Congress critter.

Now, someone asked me why haven't the Detroit Lions suffered the same fate. Simple. The NFL and the Ford Family (that owns the Lions) have nothing to do with Hamas/Israel.

Sometimes you learn things betting on this stuff.

@BigMick87

https://www.nba.com/news/nba-nbpa-issue-statement-on-israel

"The NBA and NBPA mourn the horrific loss of life in Israel and condemn these acts of terrorism. We stand with the people of Israel and pray for peace for the entire region."

I don't know about that. The NBA has definitely picked a side here.

If Israel and the Mossad wanted the Pistons to intentionally lose games to send a message to Rashida Tlaib, I can't say that's an impossibility.

There are a lot of Muslims around Detroit and the only Palestinian Congress critter is from Detroit.

Did Joel Silver and the NBA sabotage the Pistons because they play in Detroit because of that and the Israel/Hamas thing.

Can't understand how an NBA team can lose 20 games in a row with the roster Detroit has.

Asking for a friend.

2 out of 8 with BLOWN LEADS. IND/WAW HOU/MEM It was a rather ordinary night of action. Kind of surprising to see one of the safest match-ups of the night, have a wild outcome in MEM.

Got a little sidetracked and missed the early game. Still going to count it, despite MIL leading at HT.

RELIABLE FAVORITES PHI -15.5 WON / BOS -5 WON / TOR -2 LOST / HOU -4 WON / PHO -4.5 LOST (A nice little up day.)

ROAD FAVORITES NOP -9.5 WON / IND -8.5 LOST / LAL -6.5 LOST / HOU -4 WON (This line has definitely cooled off.)

RELIABLE HOME DOG CHO +9.5 LOST / MEM +4 LOST (This line has died this season.)

RELIABLE AWAY DOG NYK +4.5 WON (This line just keeps stacking the ATS wins. And... this was SU!)

RELIABLE picks... CHO +9.5 WON / PHI -15.5 WON / BOS -5 WON / TOR -2 LOST / MEM +4 LOST / PHO -4.5 LOST (Started strong and died by the end of the night.)

Lots of late games for Saturday. Probably afraid of the day time college action.

MOST UN-RELIABLE TEAM GSW MIN (ATL)

These are some scary teams to play if you expect an easy game GSW MIN. Almost as bad is ATL, who either collapses, or comes back every other game.

MOST RELIABLE TEAM NYK (CHI SAC)

It is fascinating that NYK have been so consistent for so long. They are the class of the league. Not quite on the same level, but also VERY stable are CHI SAC.

RELIABLE FAVORITES MIL -16.5 / PHI -12 / DAL -5 / SAC -10

ROAD FAVORITES PHI -12 / DAL -5

RELIABLE HOME DOG CHO +12

RELIABLE AWAY DOG NONE DET +16.5 / CHI +6 / NYK +6

RELIABLE picks... MIL -16.5 / CHO +12 / DAL -5 / MIA -6 / LAC -6 / SAC -10 (Going to stick with the HOME DOGS and fade the ROAD DOGS until the New Year and re-evaluate.)

RELIABLE Season: 68-76-1 ATS

---

RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023

SU 79-40 / ATS 60-58-1

SU (56-23 HOME / 23-17 AWAY)

ATS (40-38-1 HOME / 20-20 AWAY)

1 out of 7 with BLOWN LEADS. MIN/DAL Kind of surprised there was only a single inconsistent game on the night. Thought for sure OKC or GSW would be wild. Oh well. They were small LIVE bets anyway.

Not a good night with a PUSH and a LOSS. That was the first PUSH of the season and it almost seemed as if CLE/BOS were trying to keep the score in a small range after halftime. For some reason, it felt as if DAL would collapse after their early LEAD. MIN is the worst in the league for wild games, and they lived down to their reputation.

RELIABLE FAVORITES BOS -9 WON / DAL -1 LOST (This line has cooled!)

ROAD FAVORITES NONE

RELIABLE HOME DOG NONE

RELIABLE AWAY DOG NONE

RELIABLE picks... BOS -9 PUSH / DAL -1 LOST (LIVE betting saved the night with BOS.)

There are a good mix of games for Friday. Almost every game looks like it gets action.

MOST UN-RELIABLE TEAM ATL (IND)

The bane of my betting existence is the wildest team of the night ATL. Just behind, is another team that always seem to nail me IND.

MOST RELIABLE TEAM MEM NYK

It is truly amazing how consistent these teams are MEM NYK. For the whole season, these teams just never surprise you (well, except for NYK last game in UTA). They were like this last season. Rock solid, consistent, stable teams.

RELIABLE FAVORITES PHI -15.5 / BOS -5 / TOR -2 / HOU -4 / PHO -4.5 (This line has not been good since Tuesday.)

ROAD FAVORITES NOP -9.5 / IND -8.5 / LAL -6.5 / HOU -4

RELIABLE HOME DOG CHO +9.5 / MEM +4 (This line just crapped the bed in December. 2-4 ATS L6.)

RELIABLE AWAY DOG NYK +4.5 (As far as ATS, this is no longer the loser line. On the other hand, it is 15-45 SU Season)

RELIABLE picks... CHO +9.5 / PHI -15.5 / BOS -5 / TOR -2 / MEM +4 / PHO -4.5 (Strange picks, but there should be lots of LIVE betting opportunities with teams this consistent.)

RELIABLE Season: 65-73-1 ATS

---

RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023

SU 76-38 / ATS 57-56-1

SU (54-21 HOME / 22-17 AWAY)

ATS (38-36-1 HOME / 19-20 AWAY)

3 out of 7 with BLOWN LEADS. NOP/WAW ATL/TOR NYK/UTA Lots of wild action for the night. Once again, I tried to outsmart ATL, and they still nailed me.

It was an uneven night with the erratic play of TOR and NYK. Those teams had been very stable recently. Should have known ATL would quit after getting the early LEAD. And, NYK had no business being favored that much on the ROAD in UTA.

DOGS are still getting killed. And, FAVORITES lost the late games. So, it was a down day for the picks.

RELIABLE FAVORITES TOR -1.5 WON / HOU -7.5 WON / PHO -2 LOST / NYK -5 LOST (And, just like that, the line cooled off.)

ROAD FAVORITES PHI -12 WON / NOP -8 WON / LAL -3 PUSH / NYK -5 LOST (This line is still going strong. Why does LAL have so many weird games?)

RELIABLE HOME DET +12 (Lost 20 in a row. How is this possible for highly paid professionals?)

RELIABLE AWAY DOG MEM +7.5 LOST (Finally, this line produces a predictable game.)

RELIABLE picks... DET +12 LOST / TOR -1.5 WON / HOU -7.5 WON / PHO -2 LOST / NYK -5 LOST (I stopped blindly betting these picks after that 5-17 run.)

There are a decent number of games for Thursday, but only 2 have consistent teams.

MOST UN-RELIABLE TEAM GSW (MIN)

The wackiest, wildest team in the league is in action GSW. They went from one of the most consistent last year, to the wildest, this year. And, now you have drama with Draymond Green. Ever since December of 2022, MIN has just been plain nuts. These teams have BLOWN LEADS almost every other game!

MOST RELIABLE TEAM DAL (BOS)

How in the world did DAL become the most consistent team in the NBA, the past 2 weeks? It is truly amazing to watch, because I keep expecting them to go crazy. BOS has been quietly putting together a nice stretch of consistent games.

RELIABLE FAVORITES BOS -9 / DAL -1 (The run is done.)

ROAD FAVORITES NONE

RELIABLE HOME DOG NONE

RELIABLE AWAY DOG NONE

RELIABLE picks... BOS -9 / DAL -1 (Seems decent enough, but I will wait for the early LEAD and do some LIVE betting.)

RELIABLE Season: 65-72 ATS

---

RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023

These numbers are correct and up-to-date for the season.

SU 75-37 / ATS 57-55

SU (53-20 HOME / 22-17 AWAY)

ATS (38-35 HOME / 19-20 AWAY)

UPDATE.

RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023

Had to run this through a couple of calculators to get the numbers to add up correctly.

SU 73-35 / ATS 55-53

SU (52-20 HOME / 21-15 AWAY)

ATS (37-35 HOME / 18-18 AWAY)

@Fuse

2 out of 5 with BLOWN LEADS. CLE/BOS GSW/PHO TNT came through with the drama. It was a wild night of NBA action.

Kind of an uneven night. CHI and PHO got the moose. Forgot to put in BOS, who didn't cover. For my records, they are counted (especially since I lost that game). But, for posted plays, it was not.

RELIABLE FAVORITES BOS -11.5 WON / PHO -3.5 WON

ROAD FAVORITES LAL -2 LOST / DEN -7.5 WON (Still going strong despite LAL.)

RELIABLE HOME DAL +2 WON / CHI +7.5 LOST (This line finally won a game. It was the first time this month.)

RELIABLE AWAY DOG SAC +3 LOST (Now, this is what I expect.)

RELIABLE picks... PHO -3.5 LOST / DAL +2 WON / CHI +7.5 LOST / LAC -3 WON

---

Lots of games for Wednesday. Got some interesting match-ups in action.

MOST UN-RELIABLE TEAM NOP (ATL LAL)

Year after year, NOP has always played erratic, inconsistent games. And here they are again, this season. Just behind are ATL LAL. Never understood how to bet ATL games, no matter what system I tried. That team has always been a mystery to me. But, LAL was my money team last year. Now, they've gone crazy.

MOST RELIABLE TEAM MEM NYK (TOR)

Ol' reliable are in action MEM NYK. Somehow, someway, TOR has become a perfectly predictable team the last few weeks. I hate betting games with TOR in them. Well, let's see how this goes.

RELIABLE FAVORITES TOR -1.5 / HOU -7.5 / PHO -2 / NYK -5 (9-3 ATS/10-2 SU L12.)

ROAD FAVORITES PHI -12 / NOP -8 / LAL -3 / NYK -5 (11-2 ATS L13.)

RELIABLE HOME DET +12 (This line is 1-11 SU/ATS L12 since 11/29. DET had 4 of those losses. How does a team lose 19 in a row?)

RELIABLE AWAY DOG MEM +7.5 (9-5 ATS & 3-11 SU since 11/30.)

RELIABLE picks... DET +12 / TOR -1.5 / HOU -7.5 / PHO -2 / NYK -5 (DET is the proper play, but you know they are on a bad ATS & SU run.)

RELIABLE Season: 63-69 ATS

---

RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023

These numbers are correct and up-to-date for the season.

SU 74-36 / ATS 57-53

SU (52-20 HOME / 21-15 AWAY)

ATS (38-34 HOME / 18-18 AWAY)

4 out of 13 with BLOWN LEADS. IND/DET CLE/ORL DEN/ATL MIN/NOP As expected, given the in-season tournament is done.

Finally, a decent performance from the RELIABLE teams. Hopefully, this is the start of the long recovery of the bankroll from that AWFUL in-season tournament stretch.

Actually got a sweep on the FAVORITES. First time all season with that many games.

RELIABLE FAVORITES NYK -4 WON / HOU -9.5 WON / DAL -1.5 WON / SAC -4.5 WON (Sweep!)

ROAD FAVORITES MIA -4 WON / IND -7.5 WON / DEN -3 WON / DAL -1.5 WON  (Sweep!)

RELIABLE HOME DET +7.5  LOST / MEM +1.5 LOST (O-fer.)

RELIABLE AWAY DOG CHI +11.5 WON (This line just keeps covering, lately.)

RELIABLE picks... DET +7.5 LOST / MIL -11.5 LOST / NYK -4 WON / HOU -9.5 WON / DAL -1.5 WON / SAC -4.5 WON (This line has gone 9-19 since 11/30. But, it is getting better.)

---

The dreaded TNT Tuesday is here. Let's see if they keep the pattern of one close game and one blowout.

MOST UN-RELIABLE TEAM GSW (CLE)

Times have changed, because GSW is the most erratic team in action. Almost half their games are wild. Now, CLE is giving them a run for the money, because they can't seem to play a straight game. Their games should have a lot of back and forth, in the early action.

MOST RELIABLE TEAM PHO DAL (CHI SAC)

Once again, PHO plays their consistent ball. But, somehow, DAL has become as stable. What a strange early season. The old standbys of CHI SAC are doing their thing, being consistent, as usual.

RELIABLE FAVORITES PHO -3.5 (8-2 ATS L10. Out of nowhere, this line is HOT!)

ROAD FAVORITES LAL -2 / DEN -7.5 (10-1 ATS L11. This line is running wild!)

RELIABLE HOME DAL +2 / CHI +7.5 / (This line is 0-10 SU/ATS L10 since 11/29. It is a bankroll buster.)

RELIABLE AWAY DOG SAC +3 (9-4 ATS & 3-10 SU since 11/30. Who would have thought this would be a winner in December.)

RELIABLE picks... PHO -3.5 / DAL +2 / CHI +7.5 / LAC -3 (I am LIVE betting this stuff, since it is a TNT night. But, these are the RELIABLE plays.)

RELIABLE Season: 61-67 ATS

---

RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023

These numbers are slightly off. The ATS record wins seems to be correct, but the HOME/ROAD record is not matching. Close, but not correct. Will update next time.

SU 71-34 / ATS 54-51

SU (50-19 HOME / 21-15 AWAY)

ATS (37-32 HOME / 18-18 AWAY)