porcelainfist

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Last Activity: 29 July 2020

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
created a topic Grand Salami under 127.5 in MLB Betting Degrom, Scherzer, Hendricks, Cole, Cueto, Paddack, Bumgarner, Soroka, Morton, Giolito not to mention some other quality guys like Heaney View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	1	July 29, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to What I do sometimes, you too probably in MLB Betting Quick, exactly. I like Dodgers, but if they score I’ll probably take them with extreme juice anyway, something like -2000 ML View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	4	July 26, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic What I do sometimes, you too probably in MLB Betting Sometimes when I’m up a little but not a lot, I put it all on one play. Either I get a healthy boost or try again next week. Tonight: LAD score first, -160. All my wins for 62.5% more View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	4	July 26, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Need advice in NFL Betting You need to find a way to gain discipline in three major areas: 1. Bankroll discipline. You need to find a reptilian way to decide EXACTLY how much money you will put on a pick. To do this, you need a way to quantify your confidence into an exact number. 2. Handicapping discipline. My guess with you if you’re losing is that you are a bright football fan who notices nuances and knows in game whether you are likely to win or lose. But this is the bare minimum to wager on sports. You haven’t quit after being down 170 units, it makes me think that you have the determination to make this work. You need to develop a system for QUANTIFYING your beliefs in teams. Without some form of statistical system to turn your confidence and beliefs into data, you will not know what your confidence in team A’s defense is compared to team B’s offense. Try to find statistics you believe are important. Try to find each team’s average and try to find a way to make these averages “talk” to one another. This will give you a “master number”, and try to find what this master number means to the spread. Discipline can get you out of a 170 unit hole. The best advice is to lower your unit size to .10 units and try to get 1 unit up. You can add as you go. View Post \| View Thread	Beantownsports	51	October 29, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to I need advice from the veteran gamblers - dead serious here in NFL Betting Don’t do it. You need to drastically lower your wager size and forget what you’ve already lost. It’s gone. This game doesn’t go up, it goes down. Do yourself a favor and put $500 on what you think would win. If it wins, consider that your bankroll. If it loses, you’ll be nearly $4000 richer for having discipline. View Post \| View Thread	ActionMagnet	94	September 23, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Of course took the OVER anddddd in NFL Betting When I wrote that the score was 17-14, they took the 2 pt off the board View Post \| View Thread	shoclo	20	September 15, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Of course took the OVER anddddd in NFL Betting I took Over 52, so just 3 TDs left come on View Post \| View Thread	shoclo	20	September 15, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Of course took the OVER anddddd in NFL Betting Quick strike. Now over bettors only need four TDs and a FG View Post \| View Thread	shoclo	20	September 15, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to J-E-T-S! Jets! Jets! Jets! in NFL Betting I believe the Jets have a very good chance to win outright. View Post \| View Thread	DoctorSuccess	7	September 15, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to New Orleans Saints @ Los Angeles Rams in NFL Betting Oh sweet, the Rams are the “better team”, these are some incredibly revelations! View Post \| View Thread	EastsideBangers	23	September 14, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to When Belichick Shows Mercy in NFL Betting Weather is rough too. View Post \| View Thread	lancer89074	10	September 13, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to anyone else stoked about mia +18.5??? in NFL Betting Hmmm you have Pats winning 38-10 in 70% humidity and first half rain? I am dropping the Patriots total from 38 to 31 for the humidity alone. Let’s say the score is 31-10 in the fourth quarter, 8 minutes left. Do you really want that -17 ticket? Cuz i definitely want my +19 at that moment. True score: Patriots win 27-20 The Dolphins fight for their lives. Fitzpatrick runs head first all day. Maybe bleeds a little. View Post \| View Thread	clubtnt	45	September 11, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA Summer League Thread in NBA Betting ADDED Lakers ML 1u +115 View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	5	July 05, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic NBA Summer League Thread in NBA Betting no one seems interested rn so here goes nothing: Croatia ml +190 1u Croatia +4 (bad number) 1u Bucks -1, 110 1u TWolves -1 1u Heat -1 1u Spurs over 170.5 1u Got mostly good numbers, but Croatia could’ve gotten 6.5 if I waited. Also parlayed all of the above with Lakers ML and Lakers Over for .15 u wins 12 units View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	5	July 05, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Stop Betting Before The Game !! DUBS/ROCKS G4 in NBA Betting The biggest problem I see w this philosophy is that you will lay around 10 cents more juice live. However, you will always get a better line. In the rare instances when you don’t, you can always lay off View Post \| View Thread	OldGreg808	28	May 07, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Similar Strategy in NBA Betting Bought out 1.70units Bucks to win 1 unit. Effective risk is now 0u on Celtics moneyline to win .9 units Going to hold on the plus money under, 212 is too high. If it reaches 190 I will buy a middle of not I’ll just let it ride unless it gets really really tight at the end. Anyway, not big di.cking anyone my dogs, just showing my strategies here for fun. Enjoy and I’ll see you guys hours before warriors. View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Similar Strategy in NBA Betting That’s what it was my boi, and by guaranteed profit I meant one sided profit if the spurs win. However, if I wanted to I could have split the risk and gotten guaranteed profit. However, it was hovering around -240 for a long time, so just imagine I bought it then instead, would have been the same result 2.4 u wins 1 unit leaving a possible 1.5 units profit. I was stoked I got 130 but in the end it doesn’t matter as long as it’s under 390 (or equal to for that matter) View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Similar Strategy in NBA Betting Live total is already at 215.5, deciding whether I want guaranteed profit or a middle. View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Similar Strategy in NBA Betting I didn’t profit. Spurs didn’t win. But my total odds were 1u wins 3.90 original parlay. This means any amount of odds lower than -390 presents a buyout opportunity. I would gladly lose 1u if need be, and it sure looked that way, but when Spurs pulled within 2 the liveline was -130, allowing me to buy out my unit. View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Similar Strategy in NBA Betting I got Celtics +260 ml, 1u wins 2.6. I’m hoping for a smooth start for close to ev money on a buyback on the Bucks. Goal is to negate the 1u of risk to end up with 0units risk to win 1.6. Also took a bite on the series price with Celtics in 7 and Celtics in 6 at incredible +money. Didn’t even play Celtics series price, if they win it’ll be in 6 or more. This will be a slugfest. I also have alternate total under 215.5 +180, if live line drops to 215 I will buy out the risk for 0u risk to win 0.80 no prob. Might seek a middle if things go just right. View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
created a topic Grand Salami under 127.5 in MLB Betting Degrom, Scherzer, Hendricks, Cole, Cueto, Paddack, Bumgarner, Soroka, Morton, Giolito not to mention some other quality guys like Heaney View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	1	July 29, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to What I do sometimes, you too probably in MLB Betting Quick, exactly. I like Dodgers, but if they score I’ll probably take them with extreme juice anyway, something like -2000 ML View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	4	July 26, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic What I do sometimes, you too probably in MLB Betting Sometimes when I’m up a little but not a lot, I put it all on one play. Either I get a healthy boost or try again next week. Tonight: LAD score first, -160. All my wins for 62.5% more View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	4	July 26, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Need advice in NFL Betting You need to find a way to gain discipline in three major areas: 1. Bankroll discipline. You need to find a reptilian way to decide EXACTLY how much money you will put on a pick. To do this, you need a way to quantify your confidence into an exact number. 2. Handicapping discipline. My guess with you if you’re losing is that you are a bright football fan who notices nuances and knows in game whether you are likely to win or lose. But this is the bare minimum to wager on sports. You haven’t quit after being down 170 units, it makes me think that you have the determination to make this work. You need to develop a system for QUANTIFYING your beliefs in teams. Without some form of statistical system to turn your confidence and beliefs into data, you will not know what your confidence in team A’s defense is compared to team B’s offense. Try to find statistics you believe are important. Try to find each team’s average and try to find a way to make these averages “talk” to one another. This will give you a “master number”, and try to find what this master number means to the spread. Discipline can get you out of a 170 unit hole. The best advice is to lower your unit size to .10 units and try to get 1 unit up. You can add as you go. View Post \| View Thread	Beantownsports	51	October 29, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to I need advice from the veteran gamblers - dead serious here in NFL Betting Don’t do it. You need to drastically lower your wager size and forget what you’ve already lost. It’s gone. This game doesn’t go up, it goes down. Do yourself a favor and put $500 on what you think would win. If it wins, consider that your bankroll. If it loses, you’ll be nearly $4000 richer for having discipline. View Post \| View Thread	ActionMagnet	94	September 23, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Of course took the OVER anddddd in NFL Betting When I wrote that the score was 17-14, they took the 2 pt off the board View Post \| View Thread	shoclo	20	September 15, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Of course took the OVER anddddd in NFL Betting I took Over 52, so just 3 TDs left come on View Post \| View Thread	shoclo	20	September 15, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Of course took the OVER anddddd in NFL Betting Quick strike. Now over bettors only need four TDs and a FG View Post \| View Thread	shoclo	20	September 15, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to J-E-T-S! Jets! Jets! Jets! in NFL Betting I believe the Jets have a very good chance to win outright. View Post \| View Thread	DoctorSuccess	7	September 15, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to New Orleans Saints @ Los Angeles Rams in NFL Betting Oh sweet, the Rams are the “better team”, these are some incredibly revelations! View Post \| View Thread	EastsideBangers	23	September 14, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to When Belichick Shows Mercy in NFL Betting Weather is rough too. View Post \| View Thread	lancer89074	10	September 13, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to anyone else stoked about mia +18.5??? in NFL Betting Hmmm you have Pats winning 38-10 in 70% humidity and first half rain? I am dropping the Patriots total from 38 to 31 for the humidity alone. Let’s say the score is 31-10 in the fourth quarter, 8 minutes left. Do you really want that -17 ticket? Cuz i definitely want my +19 at that moment. True score: Patriots win 27-20 The Dolphins fight for their lives. Fitzpatrick runs head first all day. Maybe bleeds a little. View Post \| View Thread	clubtnt	45	September 11, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA Summer League Thread in NBA Betting ADDED Lakers ML 1u +115 View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	5	July 05, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic NBA Summer League Thread in NBA Betting no one seems interested rn so here goes nothing: Croatia ml +190 1u Croatia +4 (bad number) 1u Bucks -1, 110 1u TWolves -1 1u Heat -1 1u Spurs over 170.5 1u Got mostly good numbers, but Croatia could’ve gotten 6.5 if I waited. Also parlayed all of the above with Lakers ML and Lakers Over for .15 u wins 12 units View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	5	July 05, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Stop Betting Before The Game !! DUBS/ROCKS G4 in NBA Betting The biggest problem I see w this philosophy is that you will lay around 10 cents more juice live. However, you will always get a better line. In the rare instances when you don’t, you can always lay off View Post \| View Thread	OldGreg808	28	May 07, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Similar Strategy in NBA Betting Bought out 1.70units Bucks to win 1 unit. Effective risk is now 0u on Celtics moneyline to win .9 units Going to hold on the plus money under, 212 is too high. If it reaches 190 I will buy a middle of not I’ll just let it ride unless it gets really really tight at the end. Anyway, not big di.cking anyone my dogs, just showing my strategies here for fun. Enjoy and I’ll see you guys hours before warriors. View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Similar Strategy in NBA Betting That’s what it was my boi, and by guaranteed profit I meant one sided profit if the spurs win. However, if I wanted to I could have split the risk and gotten guaranteed profit. However, it was hovering around -240 for a long time, so just imagine I bought it then instead, would have been the same result 2.4 u wins 1 unit leaving a possible 1.5 units profit. I was stoked I got 130 but in the end it doesn’t matter as long as it’s under 390 (or equal to for that matter) View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Similar Strategy in NBA Betting Live total is already at 215.5, deciding whether I want guaranteed profit or a middle. View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Similar Strategy in NBA Betting I didn’t profit. Spurs didn’t win. But my total odds were 1u wins 3.90 original parlay. This means any amount of odds lower than -390 presents a buyout opportunity. I would gladly lose 1u if need be, and it sure looked that way, but when Spurs pulled within 2 the liveline was -130, allowing me to buy out my unit. View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Similar Strategy in NBA Betting I got Celtics +260 ml, 1u wins 2.6. I’m hoping for a smooth start for close to ev money on a buyback on the Bucks. Goal is to negate the 1u of risk to end up with 0units risk to win 1.6. Also took a bite on the series price with Celtics in 7 and Celtics in 6 at incredible +money. Didn’t even play Celtics series price, if they win it’ll be in 6 or more. This will be a slugfest. I also have alternate total under 215.5 +180, if live line drops to 215 I will buy out the risk for 0u risk to win 0.80 no prob. Might seek a middle if things go just right. View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread

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