SJSharks99

Tuesday: The Sabres were in a 2-0 hole early despite having numerous chances in the 1st period. I was a little nervous, but felt confident they could rally if they kept the pressure up and they were able to do just that. It got a little dicey and it required OT but a W is a W and I'm thankful they were able to pull it out for my largest bet of the year. Also was fortune it enough to get a Coyotes OT win against the Rangers for a sweet 2-0, +6 unit day.

Season

YTD: 21-15 (+5.2 units)

ML: 9-6

PL: 1-0

Reg Only:2-1

Totals: 3-5

Team Totals: 3-1

Grand Salami: 1-2

Live in Play: 1-0

Wednesday Pucks

PIT/TB o6.5 (1 Unit)

BOL all

Thank you coveerit, contrarian and theboy

thanks man 

thanks AJ, much appreciated 

thank you thegriller and 165yds 

thanks bud 

thank you sir... it wasn't pretty but as a W is a W 

It’s the first period and it’s far from over either way

Make that down 2, but honestly I still wouldn’t change my bet. The Sabres are carrying the play. They’ve had a ton of pressure and scoring chances. Lot of hockey left

17-5 w/o him with an 11pt average winning margin. Not to mention a full year with Gasol and they added a couple nice complimentary pieces in Hollis-Jefferson and Stanley Johnson. The core wants to prove that last year wasn't just a Kawhi thing. I fired over 46 wins on the Raptors with confidence, they've got a good squad even without Kawhi and Green.

I'm pretty excited for the NBA to start this year as I fired a bunch of future wins so I'll have quite the season sweet this year (beyond regular daily betting).

NBA Futures

Overs

76ers 54.5 

Rockets 53.5

Jazz 53.5 

Blazers 47

Raptors 46.5

Heat 43

Kings 37.5

Unders

Clippers u54.5

Pacers u47

Grizzlies u28

Cavaliers u24.5

Tonight

Lakers ML (-135) Risking 2.7 units to win 2 units 

BOL All

1 unit play on the Coyotes as well (don't want to open a new thread) 

bol all

The Sharks are notorious for getting lots of love from Vegas when it comes to lines. They have been a very popular team to bet on in the regular season for years. 

and yes I'm fading my own team tonight... for what it's worth haha

Goodluck to anyone who tails or already on the Sabres tonight 

At the end of the day when it comes to sports betting we should all be looking for value spots and trying to find an edge anyway we possibly can to beat the book. I honestly feel like this one of those spots. We get a 7-1-1 team who is at home, playing much better hockey, with a red-hot goalie squaring off against a team who (for whatever reason) always struggles in Buffalo, has been struggling this year, have inconsistent goaltending in Jones and lots of questions about depth from their secondary bottom 6.

Sabres ML (-110) 5 Unit Max Bet

 For whatever reason the Sharks seem to have a very tough time winning in Buffalo. Since joining the league in 1992 the Sharks are just 3-17 in Buffalo. This includes a 2-7 mark from 2007 through 2018, where the assembled Sharks rosters have been loaded. The 2019 version of the Sharks don't look quite as deadly on paper as years past with some new and young pieces. The adjustment period has been on display as the Sharks are off to a shaky start coming in with a 3-5 record and a 1-3 mark on the road. The Sharks started 0-4 before they rattled off 3 wins in a row, however some bad habits crept back into their game in a 4-3 loss at home on Saturday to these same Sabres.

Meanwhile on the other side we have a Sabres team who is off to a red hot start with a 7-1-1 mark including a 4-0 unblemished record at home. The Sabres had a good stretch in the early stages of the season last year and people were ready to call them the Cinderella team of the year before they tapered off and the Hurricanes claimed that title. It's a little premature and it remains to be seen if this years version of the Sabres learned a valuable lesson or not. Staying in the now, we'd be foolish to ignore the early season success in between the pipes by Carter Hutton. Hutton is off to a red hot start going 5-0 with a 1.39 goals against with a .953 save percentage. Hutton enters tonight's contest coming off back to back shutouts including a 47 save effort in LA. These efforts led to him being NHL's 3rd star of the week. In tonight's game Hutton will face a Sharks offense who comes in 21st in the NHL in goals and average with 2.63 per contest. Breaking that down a little further the Sharks have only scored 13 even strength goals, which is tied for second to last in the league and only slightly (2 goals) better than dead last Rangers, who have played 2 fewer games. 

The only chance I see the Sharks having in winning this game is if they win the special teams battle. Even that I feel will be a stretch as I think Buffalo will be using it's speed, winning the puck battles and the possession game. They will limit the opportunities the Sharks get on the power play where over a third of the Sharks goals have come from this year. The Sharks do come in with the  #1 PK unit and I'd be naive to ignore it. That being said that is the only strength I see the Sharks having in this game and it could be tested by Buffalo's 4th ranked PP unit, and league leading 11 goals. The Sabres PK unit has struggled so they will be wise to stay out of the box in this game. The Sabres coaching staff should be urging the guys to stay out of the box and make the Sharks beat score 5 on 5, which again they have struggled this year to score. I'm no math wizard but 13 five on five goals in 8 games comes out to a dismal 1.65 per contest which isn't pretty by any stretch of the imagination. The success formula for the Sabres tonight is in the pudding.

haha that they do

Great find on the b2b at home info. Gonna look into the pistons more 

Shit I took the jazz over haha

Adding Grand Salami o24.5 goals (risking 1.15 units to win 1)