Sports-Playa

Sports-Playa
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Member Since: December 2014
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created a topic SP's 4/17 MLB Picks
in MLB Betting
2015 Season YTD:
16-16 (+1.60 units)

ML Favs: 3-0 (100%)
ML Dogs: 6-5 (54%)
RL Favs: 3-5 (38%)
RL Dogs: 0-0 (---%)
RRL: 1-0 (100%)
Under Totals: 3-4 (43%)
Over Totals: 0-0 (---%)
Team Totals: 0-1 (0%)
F5: 0-1 (0%)

Thursday:
1-1 (-0.10 units)

Rays/Blue Jays Under 8.5 -105 (Risk 1.05 units to win 1 unit)
Phillies/Nationals Under 6.5 -110 (Risk 1.10 units to win 1 unit)

Today:

Athletics ML -116
(Risk 1.16 units to win 1 unit)

Braves ML +140
(Risk 1 unit to win 1.40 units)

Indians/Twins UNDER 8.5 -110
(Risk 1.10 units to win 1 unit)

Red Sox OVER 4.5 +100
(Risk 1 unit to win 1 unit)
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Sports-Playa 3
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replied to 4/16 Pitching Matchups with Statistics
in MLB Betting
I apologize, I won't be able to post the late game, had some last minute things come up. I'll be posting games tomorrow though so stay tuned for that!
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Sports-Playa 19
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replied to SP's 4/16 MLB Picks
in MLB Betting
Rays/Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 -105
(Risk 1.05 units to win 1 unit)

Phillies/Nationals UNDER 6.5 -110
(Risk 1.10 units to win 1 unit)
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Sports-Playa 2
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replied to 4/16 Pitching Matchups with Statistics
in MLB Betting
It's pretty time consuming so unfortunately not every day lol. But on days with lesser games, or slow days at work for me, I should be able to provide these stats on a thread for you guys. And as always, I'm free to suggestions for adding alternative stats that are noteworthy.
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Sports-Playa 19
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replied to 4/16 Pitching Matchups with Statistics
in MLB Betting
borje21 - No problem, keep up the good picks on your thread!

MOCKY44 - I apologize, Doug Fister and Aaron Sanchez should say "Home" not "Away". The stats shown are for Home, just wrong label from copy and paste lol sorry about that.
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Sports-Playa 19
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replied to 4/16 Pitching Matchups with Statistics
in MLB Betting
iConsciousness, VegasVandal, Vicious_Vikings - Thank you for the support guys, hope this helped you win some picks!

Late game will be posted later.
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Sports-Playa 19
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replied to 4/16 Pitching Matchups with Statistics
in MLB Betting
Marlins @ Mets (7:10 PM EST)

***Jarred Cosart***
2014 Totals: 30 GS, 13-11, 3.69 ERA, 1.36 WHIP

Away: 16 GS, 7-5, 3.35 ERA, 1.39 WHIP
Night: 21 GS, 8-9, 3.67 ERA, 1.29 WHIP
April: 6 GS, 1-2, 5.52 ERA, 1.29 WHIP
vs. NYM: 1 GS, 0-0, 3.00 ERA, 1.17 WHIP
--- @ NYM: 1 GS, 0-0, 3.00 ERA, 1.17 WHIP
NYM Lineup Career: 5 for 16, 0.313 AVG

NYM Lineup Today: 6 RHB and 3 LHB
vs. RHB: 89 for 345, 0.258 AVG
vs. LHB: 84 for 334, 0.251 AVG

with J.T. Realmuto: N/A

5 Days Rest: 14 GS, 8-5, 4.02 ERA, 1.45 WHIP

***Dillon Gee***
2014 Totals: 22 GS, 7-8, 4.00 ERA, 1.25 WHIP

Home: 13 GS, 5-4, 3.86 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
Night: 13 GS, 3-7, 4.92 ERA, 1.35 WHIP
April: 6 GS, 2-1, 2.88 ERA, 1.03 WHIP
vs. MIA: 2 GS, 1-1, 2.45 ERA, 1.09 WHIP
MIA Lineup Career: 15 for 69, 0.217 AVG

MIA Lineup Today: 7 RHB and 2 LHB
vs. RHB: 61 for 248, 0.246 AVG
vs. LHB: 67 for 264, 0.254 AVG

with Travis D'Arnaud: 16 GS, 4.30 ERA

5 Days Rest: 6 GS, 1-2, 4.04 ERA, 1.49 WHIP
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Sports-Playa 19
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replied to 4/16 Pitching Matchups with Statistics
in MLB Betting
I apologize, TOR Lineup Career should be 0.274 AVG

Phillies @ Nationals (7:05 PM EST)

***Cole Hamels***
2014 Totals: 30 GS, 9-9, 3.60 ERA, 1.15 WHIP

Away: 16 GS, 6-6, 1.82 ERA, 1.13 WHIP
Night: 20 GS, 6-5, 2.65 ERA, 1.15 WHIP
April: 2 GS, 0-2, 6.75 ERA, 1.88 WHIP
vs. WAS: 4 GS, 0-2, 2.96 ERA, 1.13 WHIP
--- @ WAS: 2 GS, 0-2, 2.03 ERA, 1.13 WHIP
WAS Lineup Career: 54 for 258, 0.209 AVG

WAS Lineup Today: 7 RHB and 2 LHB
vs. RHB: 144 for 601, 0.240 AVG
vs. LHB: 32 for 147, 0.218 AVG

with Carlos Ruiz: 21 GS, 2.48 ERA

5 Days Rest: 9 GS, 2-4, 3.47 ERA, 1.37 WHIP

***Doug Fister***
2014 Totals: 25 GS, 16-6, 2.41 ERA, 1.08 WHIP

Away: 11 GS, 8-2, 1.72 ERA, 0.83 WHIP
Night: 18 GS, 11-5, 2.62 ERA, 1.21 WHIP
April: N/A
vs. PHI: 1 GS, 0-1, 6.35 ERA, 1.94 WHIP
PHI Lineup Career: 13 for 61, 0.213 AVG

PHI Lineup Today: 3 RHB and 6 LHB
vs. RHB: 70 for 307, 0.228 AVG
vs. LHB: 83 for 316, 0.263 AVG

with Wilson Ramos: 13 GS, 2.99 ERA

5 Days Rest: 9 GS, 8-1, 1.78 ERA, 0.99 WHIP
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Sports-Playa 19
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replied to 4/16 Pitching Matchups with Statistics
in MLB Betting
Rays @ Blue Jays (7:05 PM EST)

***Chris Archer***
Away: 17 GS, 5-4, 2.78 ERA, 1.20 WHIP
Night: 23 GS, 8-6, 3.74 ERA, 1.29 WHIP
April: 5 GS, 2-1, 4.11 ERA, 1.27 WHIP
vs. TOR: 6 GS, 1-1, 4.14 ERA, 1.27 WHIP
--- @ TOR: 3 GS, 0-0, 1.80 ERA, 1.05 WHIP
TOR Lineup Career: 20 for 73, 0.215 AVG

TOR Lineup Today: 6 RHB and 3 LHB
vs. RHB: 82 for 310, 0.265 AVG
vs. LHB: 95 for 419, 0.227 AVG

with Rene Rivera: N/A

5 Days Rest: 13 GS, 3-4, 4.04 ERA, 1.34 WHIP

***Aaron Sanchez***
Away: 0 GS (18 IP), 0-1, 1.50 ERA, 0.61 WHIP
Night: 0 GS (19 IP), 1-2, 1.42 ERA, 0.74 WHIP
April: N/A
vs. TB: 0 GS (5.2 IP), 0.00 ERA, 0.35 WHIP
TB Lineup Career: 0 FOR 5, 0.000 AVG

TB Lineup Today: 5 RHB and 4 LHB
vs. RHB: 8 for 69, 0.116 AVG
vs. LHB: 6 for 40, 0.150 AVG

with Russell Martin: N/A

5 Days Rest: N/A
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Sports-Playa 19
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replied to 4/16 Pitching Matchups with Statistics
in MLB Betting
Brewers @ Cardinals (1:45 PM EST)

***Mike Fiers***
Away: 4 GS, 1-3, 2.08 ERA, 0.96 WHIP
Day: 3 GS, 2-1, 2.25 ERA, 0.75 WHIP
April: N/A
vs. STL: 2 GS, 1-1, 1.98 ERA, 0.95 WHIP
STL Lineup Career: 11 for 61, 0.180 AVG

STL Lineup Today: 5 RHB and 4 LHB
vs. RHB: 24 for 137, 0.175 AVG
vs. LHB: 22 for 117, 0.188 AVG

with Jonathan Lucroy: 12 GS, 1.99 ERA

6+ Days Rest: 1 GS, 1-0, 1.13 ERA, 0.50 WHIP

***John Lackey**
Home: 15 GS, 7-3, 2.94 ERA, 1.20 WHIP
Day: 7 GS, 2-2, 4.50 ERA, 1.33 WHIP
April: 6 GS, 4-2, 3.83 ERA, 1.23 WHIP
vs. MIL: 2 GS, 1-1, 5.54 ERA
MIL Lineup Career: 32 for 82, 0.390 AVG

MIL Lineup Today: 6 RHB and 3 LHB
vs. RHB: 104 for 380, 0.274 AVG
vs. LHB: 102 for 396, 0.258 AVG

with Yadier Molina: 5 GS, 4.08 ERA

6+ Days Rest: 5 GS, 5-0, 2.08 ERA, 0.75 WHIP
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Sports-Playa 19
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created a topic SP's 4/16 MLB Picks
in MLB Betting
2015 Season YTD:
15-15 (+1.70 units)

ML Favs: 3-0 (100%)
ML Dogs: 6-5 (54%)
RL Favs: 3-5 (38%)
RL Dogs: 0-0 (---%)
RRL: 1-0 (100%)
Under Totals: 2-3 (40%)
Over Totals: 0-0 (---%)
Team Totals: 0-1 (0%)
F5: 0-1 (0%)

Wednesday:
3-1 (+2.50 units)

Astros ML -108 (Risk 1.08 units to win 1 unit)
Brewers/Cardinals Under 7 +100 (Risk 1 unit to win 1 unit)
Blue Jays RL -1.5 +150 (Risk 1 unit to win 1.50 units)
Phillies ML +129 (Risk 1 unit to win 1.29 units)

Much needed winning night with an easy Astros and Blue Jays victory. Brewers and Cardinals had 5 runs through the first 4 innings but managed to just score 1 more in the remaining 5 innings thankfully. Back in the green!

Today:

Small slate of games today, still analyzing matchups and waiting for starting lineups to be introduced. I will have a pick or two as soon as possible.
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Sports-Playa 2
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created a topic 4/16 Pitching Matchups with Statistics
in MLB Betting
All stats are compiled from the 2014 season, excluding the Lineup Career numbers. I will post each game as the starting lineups are declared.

Royals @ Twins (1:10 PM EST)

***Jason Vargas***
Away: 14 GS, 5-4, 2.73 ERA
Day: 10 GS, 2-5, 3.69 ERA
April: 6 GS, 2-0, 2.40 ERA
vs. MIN: 4 GS, 3-0, 0.96 ERA
MIN Lineup Career: 48 for 177, 0.271 AVG

MIN Lineup Today: 8 RHB and 1 LHB
vs. RHB: 148 for 556, 0.266 AVG
vs. LHB: 49 for 183, 0.268 AVG

with Salvador Perez: 29 GS, 3.59 ERA

6+ Days Rest: 2 GS, 0-1, 3.97 ERA, 1.06 WHIP

***Tommy Milone***
Home: 11 GS, 3-1, 4.14 ERA, 1.36 WHIP
Day: 8 GS, 2-3, 5.06 ERA, 1.27 WHIP
April: 4 GS, 0-2, 4.56 ERA, 1.39 WHIP
vs. KC: 2 GS, 0-1, 12.15 ERA, 2.55 WHIP
KC Lineup Career: 23 for 113, 0.204 AVG

KC Lineup Today: 6 RHB and 3 LHB
vs. RHB: 104 for 381, 0.273 AVG
vs. LHB: 24 for 93, 0.258 AVG

with Kurt Suzuki: 5 GS, 7.40 ERA

6+ Days Rest: 4 GS, 2-1, 3.42 ERA, 1.35 WHIP
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Sports-Playa 19
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created a topic SP's 4/15 MLB Picks
in MLB Betting
2015 Season YTD:
12-14 (-0.80 units)

ML Favs: 2-0 (100%)
ML Dogs: 6-4 (60%)
RL Favs: 2-5 (29%)
RL Dogs: 0-0 (---%)
RRL: 1-0 (100%)
Under Totals: 1-3 (25 %)
Over Totals: 0-0 (---%)
Team Totals: 0-1 (0%)
F5: 0-1 (0%)

Tuesday:
1-2 (-1.00 units)

Marlins ML -105 (Risk 1.05 units to win 1 unit)
Indians RL -1.5 +170 (Risk 1 unit to win 1.70 units)
Giants Over 4 +125 (Risk 1 unit to win 1.25 units)

Carrasco dying in the first inning didn't help, but the Indians couldn't hit the damn ball all day so it didn't matter. Also, Posey given the day off right after I submitted the Giants Over bet was a kick in the you know what.

Today:

Astros ML -108
(Risk 1.08 units to win 1 unit)

Phillies ML +129
(Risk 1 unit to win 1.29 units)

Brewers/Cardinals Under 7 +100
(Risk 1 unit to win 1 unit)

Blue Jays -1.5 +150
(Risk 1 unit to win 1.50 units)
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Sports-Playa 2
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replied to SP's 4/14 MLB Picks
in MLB Betting
Marlins ML -105
(Risk 1.05 units to win 1 unit)

Giants Over 4 +125
(Risk 1 unit to win 1.25 units)
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Sports-Playa 3
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replied to SP's 4/14 MLB Picks
in MLB Betting
Indians -1.5 +170
(Risk 1 unit to win 1.70 units)

Indians ML -125
(Risk 0.67 units to win 0.50 units)

This is unusual for me to put more than 1 unit on a game, but I really feel good about the match-up tonight. Carlos Carrasco was my sleeper at the beginning of this season to contend for an AL Cy Young. At the end of last season, he really brought things together and dominated the competition which in return landed him a nice contract extension recently. Carrasco is familiar with this White Sox lineup who he faced twice down the stretch last season:

Aug 28: 6.2 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 SO (WIN)

Sep 7: 8.2 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 8 SO (WIN)

I'd say those are pretty dominating performances against a lineup that hasn't changed much coming into this season with the White Sox. After a very successful first start against the Astros, I expect more of the same from him today at home. I'm going to ride the Carrasco train to start the year until the tires come off the track.

On the other end, Jose Quintana is an underrated pitcher that quietly gets it done for the White Sox. He had two starts down the stretch against the Indians with mixed results.

Aug 26: 5 IP, 9 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 3 SO (ND)

Sep 6: 6 IP, 7 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 SO (ND)

Nothing overpowering there, but still far from anything really good or really bad. No surprise either on the ND's for Quintana who leads the majors since 2012 with 40 ND's. He is also a notoriously slow starter in his career with a 3.82 ERA in April that ranks second highest out of all months. The Royals pounded him in his first start this year, albeit against the hottest team in the league, but it's not the start he was looking for. It's going to be hard to turn it around against a division rival and an opposing pitcher with a lot of momentum and a lot to prove this season. I see a 5-2 type of game today with the Indians coming out on top.
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Sports-Playa 3
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created a topic SP's 4/14 MLB Picks
in MLB Betting
2015 Season YTD:
11-12 (+0.20 units)

ML Favs: 2-0 (100%)
ML Dogs: 5-4 (56%)
RL Favs: 2-4 (33%)
RL Dogs: 0-0 (---%)
RRL: 1-0 (100%)
Under Totals: 1-3 (25 %)
Over Totals: 0-0 (---%)
F5: 0-1 (0%)

Monday:
2-2 (+0.30 units)

Royals RL -1.5 +130 (Risk 1 unit to win 1.30 units)
Yankees ML +100 (Risk 1 unit to win 1 unit)
Cardinals RL -1.5 +130 (Risk 1 unit to win 1.30 units)
Mariners ML +116 (Risk 1 unit to win 1.16 units)

Really thought the Mariners would pull off the victory last night but they couldn't hang on. Still another slightly profitable night with back-to-back +0.30 unit nights, rolling in the dough!

Tuesday:

I will provide my picks shortly with an analysis for each. Decent looking card today, but have my eyes set on a few nice values.
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Sports-Playa 3
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replied to SP's 4/13 MLB Picks
in MLB Betting
Royals -1.5 +130
(Risk 1 unit to win 1.30 units)
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Sports-Playa 2
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replied to 4/13 Pitching Matchups with Statistics
in MLB Betting
FYI...if anyone has suggestions for other stats to add next time, please let me know and I'll take care of it
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Sports-Playa 15
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created a topic SP's 4/13 MLB Picks
in MLB Betting
YTD: 9-10 (-0.10 units)

ML Favs: 2-0
ML Dogs: 4-3
RL Favs: 1-3
RL Dogs: 0-0
RRL: 1-0
Under Totals: 1-3
Over Totals: 0-0
F5: 0-1

Sunday: 2-2 (+0.30 units):

Blue Jays RRL -1.5 (Risk 1 unit to win 1.45 units)
Cubs ML -105 (Risk 1.05 units to win 1 unit)
Tigers/Indians Under 8 (Risk 1.15 units to win 1 unit)
Astros/Rangers Under 8 (Risk 1 unit to win 1 unit)

Today:

Finished Sunday at 2-2 with a slight 0.30 unit gain, I'll take it. No write-ups for today but I will have a few picks to lock in. 

Cardinals -1.5 +130
(Risk 1 unit to win 1.30 units)

Yankees ML +100
(Risk 1 unit to win 1 unit)

Mariners ML +116
(Risk 1 unit to win 1.16 units)
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Sports-Playa 2
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replied to 4/13 Pitching Matchups with Statistics
in MLB Betting
Beningo88 - Thank you sir. I grabbed the info from ESPN, nothing special, they just seem to have a good amount of main data in an organized fashion. Still looking around for other sites though with some other angles to collect, always free to suggestions. DailyBaseballData is good for batter vs. pitcher data and weather, and BaseballPress is a nice one for starting lineups.

I'm also analyzing public percentages on SportsInsights for games this year so far, seem to be noticing a trend hitting around 75% the last 3 days for every game. I will collect numbers for another week and hopefully have that ready to present if the trend continues.
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Sports-Playa 15
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