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That would be a shame if I was boxed because of winning. I put a lot of work into my picks and I like to see others enjoying them. A lot of people were doing well with the games I posted. I have always been a fan of covers. I think the info here is the best. I have learned a lot from reading threads here as I am sure others have. Many people have relied on my picks in the NFL this year. I would hate from them not to be able to get them here on covers. I would like to stay here on covers but if everyone has to search for me elsewhere then I guess that's what they will have to do. BOL to you all
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Statsational | 56 |
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NFL Week 4 Results with 2 to go
WTD 6-2 75% 29-10-1 74.35% for the season 1. Tampa Bay -10 2. New England -4 3. Green Bay -13 4. Carolina +6.5 5. St. Louis pk 6. Houston -4 7. Tennessee +1 8. Detroit +1.5 9. Philadelphia -9 10. Baltimore -3.5 2 more to go and the week is a winner already. Congrats to those who were on these. -Stats |
Statsational | 84 |
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Quote Originally Posted by SAyR: These picks are amazing!!! Thanks heaps for them, i really hope you can produce 60%+ the whole season, cause that'd be amazing. Did you have similar results last season? I made some changes to what I have been doing the last few years. I was close to 60% last year. I felt great about what I had going into this year. So far so good. |
Statsational | 84 |
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NFL Week 4 Results with 2 to go
WTD 6-2 75% YTD 29-10-1 74.35% Picks 1. Tampa Bay -10......................64% (MNF) 2. New England -4.....................63% 3. Green Bay -13........................62% 4. Carolina +6.5.........................60% 5. St. Louis pk............................58% 6. Houston -4..............................58% 7. Tennessee +1.........................54% 8. Detroit +1.5.............................53% 9. Philadelphia -9...................53% 10. Baltimore -3.5.......................53% Not too much to complain about today, or this year for that matter. We keep on rolling along. -Stats |
Statsational | 297 |
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Picks
1. Tampa Bay -10......................64% (MNF) 2. New England -4.....................63% 3. Green Bay -13........................62% 4. Carolina +6.5.........................60% 5. St. Louis pk............................58% 6. Houston -4..............................58% 7. Tennessee +1.........................54% 8. Detroit +1.5.............................53% 9. Philadelphia -9...................53% 10. Baltimore -3.5.......................53% |
Statsational | 297 |
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Hey DJ sorry I was gone all weekend and just got back. I had AZ but not enough to warrant a bet.
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Statsational | 297 |
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Quote Originally Posted by KENMAN: thanks for posting your plays early ... I usually play 2-3 of 2 teams and 3teams parlay. Which 2 or 3 of the 10 plays would be your best to team to put in 2 and 3 teams parlay. Thank you and GL. The games are in the order of their strength. OK off to the golf course. BOL guys |
Statsational | 84 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Statsational: Picks 1. Tampa Bay -10......................64% (MNF) 2. New England -4.....................63% 3. Green Bay -13........................62% 4. Carolina +6.5.........................60% 5. St. Louis pk............................58% 6. Houston -4..............................58% 7. Tennessee +1.........................54% 8. Detroit +1.5.............................53% 9. Philadelphia -9...................53% 10. Baltimore -3.5.......................53% As expected the Philly line is on the board and is -9. Straight bets and parlays are all working. Some lines have moved in our favor since I posted the plays so you may be getting better lines than I did above. Moving these up to front page for easy access. Have a great weekend everyone. |
Statsational | 297 |
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Quote Originally Posted by BigWaveDave: Saw the movie's premier at the TIFF with my best friend visiting from N. Carolina who is a looooooong time fan club member so we saw the concert that night - row 3. Eddie came on stage after the screening of the movie to thank the producer and editors that were answering questions for doing such a good job. VERY cool!!!! Keep up the GREAT work - Betterman!! That had to be awesome. I just saw Eddie at the Beacon for his Ukelele tour. I sat behind the Olsen twins and a bunch of their model friends. I think I may miss part of the early games this week. I will be playing golf all weekend in the Hamptons, so I wont be home until mid afternoon. Hopefully we have a few locked up by then. |
Statsational | 297 |
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I have had some success in survivor pools in the past. My rules are
1. Always take a home team unless there are no other options 2. I do not save teams for later in the season unless I have multiple choices that week, then I look ahead to see which I would want to take in the future. Injuries wind up changing things in the futre anyway. My logic is I have a better shot at picking a 3 or 4 pt fav in week 14 than I do in week 2. By week 14 I have more info. I let everyone else out think themselves early. Inevitably, in a large one, some guy will be alive in week 14 with a bunch of top teams left because he was able to dodge bullets along the way. He will have an advantage but I would rather get down to the end with weaker teams left then get knocked out early. I had to take 2 in week 1, I had AZ and SF. Probably lucky to be alive. Took Det and SD since. I am going with TB this week. I like GB, TB and PHI. I go to rule 2 and I have options with GB in the future. It comes down to who you like better PHI or TB for me. |
ironpat | 44 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Trav2282: Just read all the posts, you are extremely bright and it's awesome you're sharing with us. Let's win. BOLLLLL!!!!! Thanks so much. I had an awful day at work, just totally stressed out then I went out for a great meal, with great friends, followed by a showing of the new Pearl Jam movie at the IFC theater in the village. I am on a bit of a high after the movie. If you are a PJ fan it is a must see. Then I come home and check the site and get some nice feedback. It makes all th e work worth it. I think we have something special here. I hope I can continue to produce for you guys. |
Statsational | 297 |
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9. Philadelphia -9
I just got Phi at -9. It is now OTB. |
Statsational | 84 |
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Picks
1. Tampa Bay -10......................64% (MNF) 2. New England -4.....................63% 3. Green Bay -13........................62% 4. Carolina +6.5.........................60% 5. St. Louis pk............................58% 6. Houston -4..............................58% 7. Tennessee +1.........................54% 8. Detroit +1.5.............................53% 9. Philadelphia -9...................53% 10. Baltimore -3.5.......................53% As expected the Philly line is on the board and is -9. Straight bets and parlays are all working. Some lines have moved in our favor since I posted the plays so you may be getting better lines than I did above. |
Statsational | 297 |
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Quote Originally Posted by bowlingratjr: how would this system work in reverse meaning if a team has two home game in a row and the home team didnt cover the first game 80-65 since 05. Nothing of much significance. Gets worse prior to 05. |
Luckydan | 272 |
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Just a thought but if you feel the need to bet huge ML favorites you are better off parlaying them. For straight ML bets I agree with some others who said you need to look for live underdogs.
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GunShard | 185 |
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Thanks admins
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Statsational | 84 |
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I am not sure of the protocol but how can we remove the spam post above?
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Statsational | 84 |
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Quote Originally Posted by manstar10: WHERE IS THE BILLS!!??!?!?!?!?!?! Cincy was actually close to being a play but they fell just short so no play on the game. |
Statsational | 84 |
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Quote Originally Posted by SAyR: What do you make of this trend stats? Indianapolis @ Tampa Bay Tampa Bay is 1-7 ATS in the first of back-to-back home games much BOL I do not put much weight into trends like this. You can go to the matchups on covers and click on trends and there will be numerous trends that you can use for either team in a game. Like these
I can not guarantee a TB win but I can tell you the probability of them covering is high so they warrant a bet. For you guys who play poker I am sure you have lost with a set to a flush draw many times. Well that's what we have in this game (almost). Let's hope we are not sucked out on. |
Statsational | 84 |
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Quote Originally Posted by trendsetterSIA: Great job stats. I have a question to ask you. Is straight bets working better than kelly or vise versa?.. Thanks you and looking forward taling you again this week. It is really close right now. We would be ahead a bit more using the kelly had the Washington game Monday been on the board before the Sunday games. Because it was not we lost out on a lot of winning parlays. Also the PHI Sunday night game would have been over a $200 swing, maybe even $300 had Vick not gotten hurt. But those things happen and we will get lucky on a few along the way as well. That one hurt because it was the biggest play of the week. If we start hitting the top games more than the bottom ones the kelly will help us otherwise flat betting is going to win out. Lets hit the top 4 this week and really get rolling. |
Statsational | 297 |
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