swolesbee

Haven’t been around much since essentially bubbling the NFLSupercontest(out of the money by 1 point), but I like the Titans to cover 13.5 tonight. My line was NE -10.6.

NE has a non existent pass rush and a weak run defense. They have 2 elite corners but their dline should get mauled by the Titans VERY GOOD offensive line/big running back and the Titans best 2 weapons in the passing game are in the slot and TE. I expect NE to lock down the sidelines but for Ten to control the middle of the field. NE also has struggled with mobile QBs.

I see NE being 1 dimensional today. Remember that playoff game vs the Ravens where they scrapped the run game and passed it every play? I think we see a similar game plan today since Ten should control the line of scrimmage. Ten should be able to score and with much of a run game I think they can turn some of the Patriots long drives into FG’s rather than TDs. Hogan should be rusty, White is banged up, and I see lots of small advantages for Ten in this game, enough for them to hang around a bit Good luck.

I’m 1 point out of the money and 5 behind the leader. I Had to get all my picks in early so I could play Atlanta. Fortunately that worked out. My other 4 picks:

Titans -3

Vikings -2.5

My line was around 9 for both games.

Jets PK I had em-5

Eagkes +2. My line was Phi -2.5.

Good luck!

That means a lot. Thank you!

Went 4-1. 60.7% on the year. I game out of the money. I’ll be a big Cincy fan tonight- A ton of people at the top have Pit and I don’t want them pulling away. 

Here are my Supercontest picks:

Atl -9.5

KC -9.5

NYJ +4.5

Ten -3

Bal -7

As soon as I submitted my picks Buffalo said they were starting Tyrod Taylor and that Cedric Thornton and Matt Milano will be getting more minutes. All of those things would be huge upgrades. I hate the KC play now and actually think Buf has a little value. My line w/Peterman starting was KC -18.33. As of today my line is KC -8.66. But the pick is in so I'm just gonna hope for a little luck.

-I do have wagers on ATL -9.5 and NYJ +5.5.

-If I removed the KC pick, Jax was my 6th strongest play.

-I think Baltimore and Atl blow out their opponents.

-The Jets I actually had favored in this game.

My line in the Ten/Indy game was Ten -9.13

Good luck!

Giants +7.5-125

Giants have a legit shot to win this game. My line was Was -1.4. 

Had a good week last week(4-1) to get me back in the Supercontest race. I’m not using any of the Thanksgiving games for my week 12 picks but I did make a wager on the Chargers -1 today.

-Think QB is about even, slight edge to Dak, but the pass rush and coverage matchups give LA a big advantage. I don’t think Dallas has a single offensive mismatch today and will really struggle to score. Happy Thanksgiving. Also... Pray for La’el Collins y’all, Bosa and Ingram bout to ruin his Thanksgiving.

Thank you and you too!

In a pretty rough stretch luck wise. Arizona scores a garbage time to for the backdoor push. At least I still get a half point for that in the Supercontest. 

Thank you so much. And I need all the luck I can get right now.

GB marches down the field and has the fg blocked. Can’t make it up. Teams I’ve backed are literally 0-4 their last 4 Fg tries. None of them even 50 yarders...

GB +2

My line was GB -2.53

A couple of things. Yes obviously Stafford vs. Hundley is a mismatch. However, GB has huge advantges in skill position players, offensive lineman, and dline. The Detroit Oline was already bad but Robinson is out and his replacement at LT looks historically bad. Swanson has also been horrific. Detroit's other 3 lineman are very good- but GB has explosive pass rushers from every position on the dline and blitzes more so than most teams so I would expect Stafford to be under duress. Detroit has some good skill position players and GB's secondary hasn't been very good, but I doubt Stafford has the time he needs to hit anything deep. I think GB's defense shows out tonight.

Detroit has an above average dline, horrible linebackers, and solid safeties. I personally think they are making a big mistake not playing Killebrew at Safety instead of Wilson but that's just me. GB has enough solid recievers, RB's, and TE's(M. Bennett is out for this game which helps GB-Kendricks has been much better) that there should be GB players winning every play. The oline is elite and I doubt Hundley is under much pressure. Should have all day to throw back there.

The Miami push earns me a half point. 2.5 points should help me keep my same position, might fall a little bit but it could be worse. Pressing onwards. Will have a wager on tonight’s game.

Love when the team you back misses 3 field goals. Ridiculous.

Blair Walsh missed 2 easy kicks already for Seattle. Not a lucky day for me thus far.