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Quote Originally Posted by Godfather16:
yeah you are right, 6 people = 12 cards, that is 10 more cards that they would know are "out" of the deck, and their odds are a lot better. If they have 15 outs in the deck, and they are all live, then they have 15/35 % or about 42% of hitting rather than 33% if they didn't know anyof the cards. And of course if 5 or 6 guys are working together they can easily chop a few of the players. I would like to online poker go away for this reason and when everything comes 0out maybe it will.
Collusion can happen anytime. I know the poker sites attempt to catch screen names that play on same tables too often. But you could have 5 accts. girlfriend, mom, bro , whatever, all with different IP addresses, and if you play high enough stakes, I mean like 2000 buy in, not 50000, then you ARE going to play with alot of same people so that is no help to the sites anyway. Of course cheating happens, is it rampant? I have no clue but does it happen? yes yes yes PS I do not think sites like pokerstars, partypoker etc etc are involved, just players But would I be SHOCKED if I was proven wrong?........no |
tb2 | 9 |
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Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:
bye bye Phil...i'm sure you'll come back again soon with another screen name...how about Mike_Matusow...he's also very well liked
Pack, We lost Phil??? What a shame, good suggestion though, he was more of a mike the mouth matusow. Little sad man who always laments how unlucky he is.
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Phil_Gordon | 12 |
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Good job on miami FR, hope you buried it.
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FrontRowCenter | 30 |
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replied to
How is this possible? They changed this wager from a push to a loss UCLA -7
in College Basketball Quote Originally Posted by gamblingallday:
if you had a betting ticket in vegas you would have cashed the ticket already. 24 hours later they cant ask for a refund. this is bullshit.
very true |
smartbet2 | 36 |
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Quote Originally Posted by takethedog70:
Have another play I just put in. I was waiting for this one to go to 5 at the place I am using and it just did.
Butler +5 2 units
Butler H1 +2.5 2 units
After today I will recap everything, I have 2 more plays so far for later unless a few people I am tailing take opposite views ( have not seen KRwood82, wussieman TSW opinions yet, have seen rush badlands stuckey billy buck and spoke to bator etc etc)
Whew!! Glad I waited till 5. First game I waited on a number on this acct in the whole tourney. Avoided a horrific OT beat |
takethedog70 | 135 |
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Quote Originally Posted by MidniteWriter:
Thanks for clarification on the posters. They are doing well.
I have never made as many comments on a thread
because I see the personal attacks on this board
all the time. I liked the idea of it and got enthusiastic.
You are a brave soul for doing this.. lots of work too.
You don't need any help from me.
Actually I appreciate your help. the more input the better. As long as it is not an F you fest that alot of threads become. To be honest I feel I know alot more about sportsbetting then the average poster, it is not me being full of myself it is just reality, I have probably in the last 15 years spend at LEAST 3 1/2 full years in vegas betting almost completely on sports. Also lifetime I am ahead which most people can not say. That being said I KNOW there are tons of people here that know things I do not, or have seen things that I have missed and I appreciate hearing from them. Like I said midnite I appreciate your input |
takethedog70 | 135 |
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Well so far on the early slate 3-1 with 2 plays pending ( wkent and butler game
Only 2 games left tonite where opinions are strong enough in one direction, to put them in so I will now. Since today so far 3-3 is already assured, at worst case, and last two days have been big plus days, it is still acceptable to play 2 unit wagers.
Miss St game +9.5 2 units
Miss st h1 +5.5 2 units
Arkansa game +10.5 2 units
Ark H1 +6 2 units
THIS is the end of week one....started down over 16 units ..Currently ahead over five units ...never making a wager over 2 units, and never betting over one unit while on a losing streak.
I will do a detailed breakdown after tonites card, of all wagers..by unit..game and half...ML etc etc
Good luck all, I hope you finish week strong
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takethedog70 | 135 |
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Quote Originally Posted by oldbud:
Why waste your time allowing someone else to determine how you lose your money? You might as well go with a tout. At least they will email them to you.
When a tout tells me he is 60% I have to just believe him? The guys I am tailing have posted their plays BEFORE they start of course and I SEE they are hitting at a successful rate. On a site like covers you have access to hundreds, maybe thousands of gamblers, and yes a handful of them can handicap and show a profit. Lets wait and see the results at the end of tourney to see if they "lose my money". Good luck to you |
takethedog70 | 135 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Dr. Luck:
who's bator like today dog
Arkansas ..points and ML |
takethedog70 | 135 |
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Have another play I just put in. I was waiting for this one to go to 5 at the place I am using and it just did.
Butler +5 2 units
Butler H1 +2.5 2 units
After today I will recap everything, I have 2 more plays so far for later unless a few people I am tailing take opposite views ( have not seen KRwood82, wussieman TSW opinions yet, have seen rush badlands stuckey billy buck and spoke to bator etc etc)
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takethedog70 | 135 |
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Wussie,
Thanks for the winners...and the verbal abuse
I know Wussie every week "does not get rolling till thursday"..your mouth to gods ears
GL today
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WussieMan | 27 |
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Good run of late, 2 plays so far however I see alot of games where the guys I am following are on opposite ends
Nova H1 -3 2 units..
Nov game - 5.5 2 units
W kentucky game -5 2 units
W kentucky H1 -3 2 units
Nova game already started but I was too slammed to post, bator calling, and it is 6 am here .
GL all
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takethedog70 | 135 |
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Quote Originally Posted by justgetit:
I even want to add Kindergatencapper as one of the greats that could help with totals. He is really good. HARDLY EVER LOSES!
Kindergaren numbers BY far most impressive...the sample is HUNDREDS of games, granted he gets EVERY good number out there but even with that his stats are fantastic |
justgetit | 24 |
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TS,
I have been meaning to ask you , did you put that avatar on after your big win on ASU the other night?
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takethedog70 | 135 |
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Quote Originally Posted by MidniteWriter:
Nice turnaround Dog. The so far anonymous posters used probably weren't doubling the bets, but the games won so Congrats! If you aren't looking at "STUCKEY" as one of your posters, you should. The problem is..he is Too HOT.
Stuckey went 6-0 yesterday and is something
like 28-10 for March! Whoaa.
Maybe you ought to go against whatever he does
for the rest of the month.
I use stuckey, KOAJ told me to early in this thread. I stated who I am using early in this thread I just do not state whos pick it is game by game. The reason is if 4 guys like mich st and one likes pitt, I use mich st...if it is 2-2 I pass.... However if later I post KRwood82 liked mich st..someone will immediately ask ' well why did you not use his ND pick that lost??" I add up all the opinions of about 8 posters and take what I feel is there consensus picks. My picks are not from anonymous posters, look at top of thread. You also say they were not "doubling their bets" My first 25-30 bets were one unit!! Then we got on a run so I raised my bets one unit, then cut the raise in half when I was not sure if it was getting choppy again. I am sure when I look at the sheer numbers our winning % will be below 50% and we will be ahead $$$ as of the end of tonite. That is a good thing, and it was not done with a blind 8 unit chase where I pray I either win or beat my dog It was done with sound money management and discipline which is what I said I wanted to show at the very beginning of this thread, miraculously these principles are panning out the first week! But like I said when we were down double digit units, it is a marathon not a sprint, long way to go Stuckey will not be faded I assure you |
takethedog70 | 135 |
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I will say in the modern era if you pick ANY TEAM to win tourney and you are right it is a good pick.
These guys that get cute and pick an off the wall selection do not have to do so. A handful of teams have a real shot at winning, and a score of teams could have a dream run and win it so JUST PICK THE WINNER BABY!! One seed, two seed, six seed, whatever!!
You pick the winner you should get props, period
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swizzol | 36 |
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Quote Originally Posted by swizzol:
I slammed E Baylor for touting PITT on this site before the tourney. No hindsight here...straight up foresight...check the posts. slamming Ebaylor or a 3 time NCAA champ coach is a little different, however if you did state previously Pitt was a fraud kudos to you.....If I felt thatway I would have wrote this very thread about knight a few days ago.
but I do love izzo |
swizzol | 36 |
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stuckey ,
KOAJ told me to watch you, you helped my covers acct alot
well done today
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Stuckey | 83 |
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Quote Originally Posted by IceDevils:
I'm guessing you must have a perfect bracket at this point.
MSU is not a bad team. Izzo can coach come tourney time. We all know what wins tourney games....veteran guard play. Drew Neitzel anyone. The Spartans have just as good a chance as anyone to get to the Final Four.
And speaking of the number four...did you know that NO player who has played all four years for Tom Izzo has not gone to the Final Four?
IZZO is awesome |
swizzol | 36 |
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I am no fan of Bob Knight, but you need to post this before Pitt lost to have merit. Hindsight is 20-20.
I mean big east is having a huge tourney and they are big east champs, not the worst logic I have ever heard.
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swizzol | 36 |
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